Updated 01.16.23 @ 6:40p
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Jan 16
Updated 01.16.23 @ 6:40p
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/01/16/video-old-man-winter-you-now-have-our-attention/
Jan 16
Updated 01.16.23 @ 11:17a
We’ll have a more detailed video discussion posted this evening but wanted to highlight an opportunity for perhaps a more intriguing winter weather setup in the 8-10 day period.
While the time period is too far out for specifics, it does appear as if the pattern will become more favorable for cold and moisture to “marry.” It’s not necessarily a setup for a blockbuster storm, but rather a series of waves of moisture riding northeast along a pressing cold airmass moving southeast. The combination of the PNA (negative) and EPO (negative) means there should be enough resistance from the southeastern ridge to lead to this being more of an Ohio Valley and interior Northeast threat vs “suppression depression.”
For now let’s just circle next weekend into early the following week to see if more of the models begin to catch on to this threat, similar to what the European model is already suggesting perhaps…
More later today!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/01/16/window-opening-for-a-wintry-threat-in-the-8-10-day-period/
Jan 08
Updated 01.08.23 @ 9:55a
While the day has started off on a quiet note, light snow will overspread portions of central Indiana, including Indianapolis this afternoon. This won’t be a big deal by any stretch of the imagination but a light coating is possible along the I-70 corridor by evening as the light snow becomes more persistent. This is all part of the same weak, pesky system we’ve been tracking since about this time last week (yes, the same one that at times was modeled to be a much bigger deal). In any event, please keep us posted on what you’re seeing this afternoon into the evening hours.
The steadier light snow should end from west to east between 5p and 8p and give way to a quiet start to the work week. By this time, all eyes will be on a much stronger, more organized system that will move into the Ohio Valley. This should be a mostly liquid event, but we do note both the GFS and European models working enough cold air into the system to all the rain to begin mixing with and changing to wet snow Thursday PM.
Of course timing is always an important part of changeover scenarios, especially on the tail end of the precipitation shield. However, given the 500mb pattern in eastern Canada, we should watch for the possibility of the overall solution trending colder with time over the next couple of days.
As additional upper level energy dives in behind the primary low, wind-whipped snow showers and squalls with additional light accumulation potential will be present to close the work week.
Side note, I’ve been without a Fiber connection since last Thursday (thanks to a main line cut). Trying to make do the best way possible, but hence a reason for the lack of videos the past couple of days. Hopeful things will get back to BAU tomorrow, but know your patience is appreciated greatly right now. Regardless, we’ll be back with another update this evening reviewing trends for mid-late week off the 12z suite.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/01/08/light-snow-develops-today-tracking-stronger-midweek-storm/
Jan 05
Updated 01.05.23 @ 7:55a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/01/05/video-short-term-and-long-range-update-into-late-january/
Jan 04
Updated 01.04.23 @ 7:55a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/01/04/video-colder-today-light-snow-returns-thursday/
Jan 03
Updated 01.03.23 @ 6:29p I. There’s still an opportunity for some stronger storms into central parts of the state later this evening, especially west-central Indiana. While the dynamics are nothing…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/01/03/tuesday-pre-dinner-rambles/
Jan 02
Updated 01.02.23 @ 9:10a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/01/02/video-from-storms-to-snow-potential-in-the-week-ahead/
Dec 08
Updated 12.08.22 @ 6:11a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/12/08/video-tracking-4-storm-systems-between-now-and-this-time-next-week/
Dec 07
Updated 12.07.22 @ 7:37a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/12/07/video-multiple-chances-of-precipitation-over-the-upcoming-week-above-normal-chance-of-a-white-christmas/
Dec 01
Updated 12.01.22 @ 7:50a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/12/01/lr-update-for-december-early-january/