Category: Winter thoughts…

Storms For Some; More Winter Chatter…

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SST CA Model Weighs In On The Upcoming Winter…

It may only be August, but thoughts here are solely focused now on the upcoming fall and winter seasons.  We received an update today from the sea surface temperature constructed analogue model and the look is a “mighty fine one” if you enjoy wintry conditions, locally.

As we’ve mentioned in previous video and text posts, the once-thought moderate to strong La Nina doesn’t appear to be taking shape and instead we’re likely left with a weak La Nina to neutral look.  Factor in the positive PDO and the overall pattern is one that could yield cold, snowy times, locally, especially the middle and latter parts of the winter season.  (No reason to get too specific this far out).

In any event, today’s update is an “intriguing” one for winter enthusiasts across the region.

Upper air pattern for DJF and JFM, indicating the colder, more wintry regime for mid and late winter:

Screen Shot 2016-08-03 at 6.36.29 PM

Screen Shot 2016-08-03 at 6.18.03 PMPrecipitation DJF

Screen Shot 2016-08-03 at 6.17.55 PMTemperature anomalies DJF and JFM

Screen Shot 2016-08-03 at 6.38.08 PM

Screen Shot 2016-08-03 at 6.17.47 PMHmmmmm… 🙂

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The Last Month Of Meteorological Summer Is Upon Us…

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Storm Brewing, But Questions Abound…

In the transition period from the “step down” cold pattern that we’re in now and the more sustained cold that looms for the second half of the month, we’re going…

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Winter Delayed, Not Denied: Updated Canadian; MJO

We’ll talk later today about the upcoming winter storm threat next weekend. While nothing is set in stone at this juncture, the pattern is aligning in a fashion for the…

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