Category Archives: Weekly Outlook

Weekly #AGwx And Severe Weather Outlook: Heat, Humidity Top Story, Locally; Henri Impacts New England…

Updated 08.22.21 @ 6:30a

An upper level ridge will expand across the Ohio Valley through the upcoming week. Meanwhile, a trough will continue to provide unseasonably chilly air for the northern Rockies and inner-mountain region.
Well above average temperatures will take up shop from the central Plains into the Great Lakes and Northeast. Unseasonably chilly conditions will prevail across the northern/ central Rockies.
Above normal precipitation is expected in association with Henri across New England. The northern Plains and upper Midwest can also expect above normal rainfall in the week ahead.
We forecast on average between 0.50″ and 1.00″ of rain across central Indiana in the upcoming 7-day period.

Forecast Period: 08.22.21 through 08.29.21

The overall weather pattern in the week ahead will feature an expanding ridge of high pressure into the Ohio Valley and lower Great Lakes. This will lead to oppressive heat and humidity expanding northeast (multiple days of highs into the lower 90s with high humidity values will make it feel closer to 100° through early and middle parts of the work week). Meanwhile, a persistent trough will continue to take up residence through the early part of the forecast period across the northern Rockies (additional early season snow will fly for the high peaks above 12k feet). The other big story during this forecast period? Henri, of course. Henri will deliver quite a blow to our friends in New England beginning later today, continuing a heavy interior rainfall threat through the early and middle part of the work week.

Back here on the home front, each and every day will feature isolated storm coverage. While “isolated” is the key word, if you find yourself under one of these storms, a quick 1″+ of rain is a good bet with the moisture content we’ll be dealing with. Somewhat better storm coverage is anticipated during the 2nd half of the work week (we’ll label it “widely scattered to scattered.” ;-)).

No Comments 7-Day Outlook, AG Report, Client, Forecast Discussion, snow, T-storms, Tropics, Unseasonably Warm, Weekly Outlook

Weekly #AGwx And Severe Weather Outlook…

Updated 08.15.21 @ 8a

The 7-day period will be dominated by an eastern ridge while a trough carves itself into the inner-mountain West.
Below normal temperatures will take up shop across the inner-mountain West and spread throughout the south. Meanwhile, anomalous warmth will prevail across the upper Midwest, Great Lakes, and into the Northeast, and Mid Atlantic.
Tropical moisture will lead to well above normal rainfall across the Southeast and into southern Appalachia.
We forecast on average between 0.50″ and 1.00″ of rain across central Indiana during the week ahead.

Forecast Period: 08.15.21 through 08.22.21

The past 36 hours has provided a nice change of pace as of late with lower humidity and cooler temperatures. (Several reporting sites across northern Indiana are in the lower 50s this morning with middle 50s as far south as the Indianapolis suburbs). As we look to start the new week, humidity will be on the increase along with a daily chance of scattered thunderstorms beginning as early as Monday, continuing Tuesday. We will try and inject briefly drier air in here Wednesday which should reduce coverage of “splash and dash” storms before scattered storms return to close the week. As we look ahead to Saturday, better storm coverage is expected as a cold front moves through the region.

A couple of other items of interest on a broader scale include the first snow of the young season falling across the northern Rockies this week, as an early shot of winter-like air descends south from Canada. Also, from a tropical perspective, we’ll keep close eyes on what comes of Fred and Grace. As it sits today, we still don’t anticipate impacts here in central Indiana from either systems.

No Comments 7-Day Outlook, AG Report, Client, Forecast Discussion, Rain, T-storms, Tropics, Weekly Outlook

Weekly #AGwx And Severe Weather Outlook…

Updated 06.13.21 @ 8:33a

The “hot dome” will shift to the Four Corners in the upcoming week. A much cooler and less humid airmass will infiltrate the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes, into the Northeast.
The upcoming 7-days will feature unseasonably cool air from the Ohio Valley into the Northeast. Meanwhile, significant heat will bake the West.
A much drier pattern will emerge in the upcoming forecast period for a large chunk of the country.
We forecast rainfall amounts to run around 0.50″ or less across most of central IN in the upcoming week.

Forecast Period: 06.13.21 through 06.20.21

While not AS hot and sultry as Saturday, today will once again flirt with 90° across most of central Indiana under a mostly sunny sky. If you’re a fan of the heat, enjoy today as a transition in the overall pattern will deliver a much less humid and cooler airmass to our neck of the woods throughout the majority of the upcoming week (and what is looking more and more like beyond). We’ll track two cold fronts that will push through the region between Monday and Tuesday afternoon. Both of these frontal passages should be mostly uneventful from a precipitation perspective (only an isolated shower or storm is expected). As we look ahead, somewhat better chances of scattered showers and thunderstorms look poised to impact our region Friday (30% to 40% aerial coverage) as yet another cold front moves through. This will set us up for drier conditions once again for Father’s Day weekend.

No Comments AG Report, Client, Forecast Discussion, Rain, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm, Weekly Outlook

02.22.21 Weather Bulletin: A Much Milder Week…

Updated 02.22.21 @ 8:15a

Gusty Out This Morning…Westerly winds are blowing at a good clip this morning, including gusts of 30-40 MPH. These will continue into the afternoon before diminishing. All in all, we’re looking at a much milder stretch of weather in the week ahead. Compared to the past couple of weeks, most days will be downright balmy. Sunshine will return tomorrow and remain with us through the day Friday. It continues to look like Wednesday night’s frontal passage will be an uneventful one.

As we look ahead to the weekend, shower chances return Saturday as a couple of systems team together. As of now, the northern and southern stream energy doesn’t look like it’ll phase until over the Northeast/ New England region. As such, this doesn’t look like a big deal here, but we’ll continue to keep an eye on things.

Averages: H: 43°/ L: 26° on the 22nd –> H: 45°/ L: 28° on the 28th

No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Client, Forecast Discussion, Rain, Unseasonably Warm, Weekly Outlook, Windy

02.18.21 Weather Bulletin: Another Snowy Day…

Updated 02.18.21 @ 8:38a

More Shoveling Ahead…Widespread snow continues to blanket central Indiana and this will remain the case through early afternoon. Throughout immediate central Indiana, reports indicate we’ve already seen 2″ to 3″ for most and we’ll likely tack on an additional 1″ to 2″ before the steady snow exits early afternoon. (Please keep those reports coming by sending to us via Twitter @indywx or email bill@indywx.com. As always, your ground-truth reports are invaluable- and greatly appreciated)!

“System” snow will diminish from southwest to northeast this evening and arctic reinforcements arrive on the scene tonight and Friday. Additional snow flurries and scattered snow showers are a good bet Friday, but with minimal additional accumulation.

As high pressure builds overhead Friday night and Saturday morning, we’ll likely “go low” on the thermometer and rival numbers seen around these parts Wednesday morning. Sunshine and just enough return flow around that area of high pressure will go a long way to helping us out Saturday afternoon though as we forecast a “balmy” 30° ;-).

Our next storm system will blow through here Sunday into Sunday night. You know our concern. Despite forecast model data trying to warm things up, I’m afraid data still isn’t understanding the situation at hand, especially given the prolonged nature and magnitude of the cold. We’ll continue to keep a close eye on things, but as it sits now, I’m still very much concerned we’re looking at more of a wintry mix/ icing type event Sunday PM as opposed to a cold rain the majority of data currently shows.

Next week will open on the milder side of things, but we’re already eyeing the next possible round of wintry “mischief” late next week…

More on all of this, including a longer range update later this evening in our video discussion.

No Comments Arctic Cold, Client, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Rain, snow, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Weekly Outlook, Winter Storm, Wintry Mix