Category: Weekly Outlook

Feb 05

VIDEO: Short-Term Update And Long Range Pattern Discussion To Close Out February…

Updated 02.05.22 @ 8a

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-short-term-update-and-long-range-pattern-discussion-to-close-out-february/

Dec 16

Long-Winded Discussion Diving Into The Pattern As We Welcome In 2022…

Updated 12.16.21 @ 6:07p

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/long-winded-discussion-diving-into-the-pattern-as-we-welcome-in-2022/

Oct 10

Weekly #AGwx And #Harvest21 Outlook…

Updated 10.10.21 @ 10:14a

The predominant pattern in the week ahead will feature an eastern ridge and western trough.
Temperatures will run well above normal across the East while an early taste of winter will reside across the West.
Rainfall will run well above normal this week from the southern Plains into the western Great Lakes along with the northern Plains.
We think most central Indiana rain gauges accumulate between 0.75” and 1.25” in the 7-day period.
We continue to track the potential of strong to severe storms Monday afternoon and evening.

Forecast Period: 10.10.21 through 10.17.21

While the bulk of the forecast period will run well above normal, this will be a much more active 7-day period than we’ve seen of late. The first storm system will approach Monday afternoon. After a warm, breezy, and mostly dry day, a line of storms will move through from west to east during the afternoon and evening. Strong damaging straight line winds appear to be the greatest threat but there will also be the potential of an isolated tornado. We bracket the hours from 2p to 10p for this line of storms to impact the state. Another storm system will move through the area late in the work week with widespread rain and a shot of much cooler, fall-like air as we head into next weekend. Dry conditions should return just in time for the weekend.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/weekly-agwx-and-harvest21-outlook-6/

Sep 19

Weekly #AGwx and #Harvest21 Outlook…

Updated 09.19.21 @ 9:04p

A trough will settle into the eastern portion of the country as we move into the 2nd half of the week. Meanwhile, ridging will expand across the West.
Warmer than normal conditions will dominate the period across the West and northern tier while cooler than average temperatures settle into the Ohio Valley and Southeast.
Well above normal rainfall is expected in the Ohio Valley into the eastern Great Lakes.
We forecast between 2″ and 3″ of rain to fall across central Indiana in the upcoming 7-day period- heaviest totals are expiated across far eastern parts of the state.

Forecast Period: 09.19.21 through 09.26.21

A much more active weather pattern will take control of the region during the above mentioned forecast period. An area of low pressure will track north into the Ohio Valley during the overnight and Monday morning which will help lead to an expanding area of rain and embedded thunder to kick off the work week. Rain is expected to be most widespread across the southern half of the state early in the day before making progress north. As this is taking place, a cold front will take aim on the region from the west, and should push through the Hoosier state Tuesday with a line of showers and thunderstorms. While there could be a couple of stronger storms widespread severe weather isn’t expected. Perhaps what will be a bigger “headache” will have to do with the evolution of things as the front is moving east across Indiana. A wave of low pressure is expected to develop to our south Tuesday before lifting north…

As of Sunday evening, two of our more trusted forecast models (GFS and European) differ with respect to exactly where the developing surface low will track (GFS is more progressive while the European is slower). Regardless, MUCH cooler air will pour into the region through the middle of the week. Should the slower European solution (our lean at the moment) come to fruition, then we’re looking at a midweek rain out, combined with October-like daytime temperatures. Chili weather, anyone?! Stay tuned for future updates as we fine tune things for midweek. High pressure will return in time for the weekend, allowing sunshine and pleasant fall temperatures to claim headlines.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/weekly-agwx-and-harvest21-outlook-3/

Sep 05

Weekly #AGwx And #Harvest21 Outlook…

Updated 09.05.21 @ 8a

The upper air pattern this week will feature a trough across the Northeast and Great Lakes with an upper ridge anchored over the Four Corners.
Temperatures will run below average from the Ohio Valley into the MS Valley, with well above normal temperatures expected across the West.
Most of the country can expect below to well below average precipitation in the week ahead. The one exception? Northern New England.
We only forecast 0.10″ to 0.25″ of rain here in central Indiana during the 7-day period.

Forecast Period: 09.05.21 through 09.12.21

A very quiet weather pattern will settle into the region as we go through the upcoming week. The one exception to that is Tuesday night as a cold front quickly passes through the area. Moisture levels will return ever so slightly ahead of the boundary and may be enough to produce a couple of storms Tuesday evening (widely scattered coverage). The front will help to reinforce the dry airmass in place, along with provide cooler temperatures for mid and late week. As we look ahead beyond this week, indications are that things will moderate and turn a bit more active (though that’s admittedly not saying much, considering just how quiet things will be this week).

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/weekly-agwx-and-harvest21-outlook/