Tonight’s video update highlights:
- Tuesday severe threat
- Big-time weekend heat
- Cooler pattern to wrap up August
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/severe-weather-threat-tuesday/
Aug 18
Mon. |
Tue. |
Wed. |
Thr. |
Fri. |
Sat. |
Sun. |
64/ 83 |
65/ 85 |
68/ 87 |
69/ 89 |
71/ 90 |
72/ 92 |
72/ 93 |
Mostly Dry Start To The Work Week…Dense fog is around in spots this morning, particularly northwest of the city. Otherwise, a broad circulation around a departing area of low pressure may help spark an isolated shower or thunderstorm across east-central parts of the state this afternoon. The key word here is “isolated,” however, and most will remain rain-free today.
Better Rain/ Storm Chances…Details on timing are still murky, but we forecast better rain and storm chances Tuesday afternoon on through the mid week period. With all of the moisture in the air, locally heavy downpours can be expected. The nature of the showers and thunderstorms will be what you would expect this time of year- scattered, meaning not everyone will see beneficial rains.
Serious Heat And Humidity…Temperatures will reach the hottest levels of the summer late week into the weekend. Plenty of humidity will be in place as well and conditions may warrant watches, warnings, or advisories for the heat and humidity Friday-Sunday. In a summer that’s spoiled many of us with unseasonably cool conditions, we’ll make up for at least a portion of lost time over the upcoming weekend.
7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/the-heat-is-on/
Aug 17
Sun. |
Mon. |
Tue. |
Wed. |
Thr. |
Fri. |
Sat. |
67/ 79 |
67/ 81 |
69/ 85 |
68/ 87 |
69/ 88 |
70/ 88 |
71/ 89 |
More Like Summer…The upper air pattern this week will be unlike what we’ve seen the majority of the summer. A ridge of high pressure will expand across the southeast region and build northwest. Meanwhile, a trough and associated cooler air mass will impact the northern Rockies and northwest region.
Low pressure will dominate our sensible weather today with lots of clouds and widespread rain downstate. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will impact central portions of the state. As we progress into the work week, we’ll have to remain on our toes for thunderstorm complexes that may ride the periphery of the expanding hot dome to our south. This will keep things rather active and unsettled through the forecast period.
The other topic of interest will be our temperatures. Whether we crack the official 90 degree mark or not is yet to be seen, but it’ll certainly feel very hot and humid around these parts through the week, especially the back half of the week. “Air you can wear” will be the weather theme this week.
7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/active-week-ahead/
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/talking-heat-humidity-and-rain/
Aug 16
With each passing day our thoughts turn more and more towards the upcoming busy fall and winter months ahead. Among the vast array of data to sort through, we wanted to show you the latest JAMSTEC (Japan Agency For Marine-Earth-Science And Technology) take on the upcoming fall and winter. Admittedly, we’re still a ways off from being able to tell you with any sort of certainty what the upcoming winter holds in store, as far as the “concrete details” go. That said, thinking, at least here, remains on the side of the camp that believes another colder/ snowier than normal winter lies ahead for our region.
As far as the fall goes, we’re likely to see a predominant southeast ridge dominate the pattern, with more of a “back and forth” fight across our immediate neck of the woods. In some ways, we’re beginning to see this type reflection in the pattern this week.
In any event, the latest JAMSTEC fall (Sept-Nov) idea as far as temperature anomalies go:
Note the southeast ridge should keep the south-central and south-east (on up along the eastern seaboard) a touch warmer than average. The center of the cool will back west for a time to include the Rockies, N Plains, and northern Lakes. Again, more of a back and forth fight here, and quite active!
Before we close, as stated above, we think another cold, snowy winter lies ahead for our area. The JAMSTEC remains bullish on another cold winter (Dec-Feb) for the 3rd month in a row:
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/jamstec-take-on-upcoming-fall-winter/