Jul 15
July so far has been unseasonably wet and unseasonably cool for our part of the country (what’s new this summer)?! As we progress through the next couple days, refreshingly…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/wednesday-morning-rambles-5/
Jul 14
Highlights:
One more round of showers and thunderstorms will fire this afternoon, some of which may be strong to severe. Thankfully, needed drier (and cooler) air will build in tonight and help set up a very pleasant mid week.
With all of the rain, hot weather fans haven’t been able to enjoy much in the way of significant summer heat this summer; however, things will change (briefly) this weekend. Very humid air will expand into the region over the weekend, including true summer heat as highs go into the lower 90s both Saturday and Sunday. Showers and thunderstorms may accompany the push of hot, humid air, Friday but we think the weekend will be dry at this point.
The hot, humid weather won’t last long as a cold front moves in Monday with widespread showers and thunderstorms. A much cooler air mass will return next week behind the frontal boundary.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1″ – 1.5″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/pm-storms-cooler-and-more-pleasant-air-coming-for-mid-week/
Jul 12
Highlights:
A very active weather pattern will remain through the short-term. Overnight storms have exited to the southeast and we’re now dealing with dry weather and sunshine. A few storms could bubble up this afternoon in the very humid air mass, but the more widespread showers and thunderstorms will hold off until late tonight as another northwest to southeast moving complex rumbles in. Similar to early this morning, flash flooding will be a concern, along with the potential of damaging wind, and hail.
Perhaps more concerning is what we think will be a secondary thunderstorm complex Monday evening into Monday night. Furthermore, conditions appear to favor the threat of a couple super cells developing in advance of the big storm cluster. These individual super cells will have the potential of producing tornadoes and large hail. We’re then concerned of a widespread damaging wind threat with the large storm complex as it moves southeast. Torrential rains and flash flooding will also be a big concern.
Showers and thunderstorms will continue Tuesday, but there’s a light at the end of this wet tunnel by mid week. We forecast a few days of dry weather in the Wednesday through Saturday time period. As ridging expands, heat and humidity will build in a big time way. For those holding out for true summer heat, next weekend may be your time! That said, the long range pattern still supports a wetter/ cooler than normal regime quickly returning so enjoy!
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 2″-3″ with locally heavier totals
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/active-pattern-severe-weather-a-major-concern/
Jul 07
Highlights:
A frontal boundary will slip south of central IN later this evening and take most of the heavy rain and storms south tonight into a good chunk of Wednesday. However, the boundary will return north Wednesday evening in response to an area of surface low pressure moving northeast out of the lower and middle MS River Valley. This will return the focus of showers and heavier thunderstorms for our region Wednesday evening into the first half of Thursday. Similar to that of today, locally heavy rainfall is a good bet at times.
The area of low pressure will track east Thursday afternoon and take most of the moisture with it. We’ll forecast drier times to wrap up the work week along with rising temperatures. While we can’t shake weekend storm chances, Friday through Sunday will be drier, overall, when compared to the next couple days. With the heat and humidity around, a few strong to severe storms are possible- particularly Sunday afternoon. We’ll keep an eye on things.
Scattered, “splash and dash,” coverage of storms returns early next week.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 2″ – 2.5″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/more-rain-and-storms-ahead/
Jun 18
Highlights:
The day is dawning with overcast skies and humid conditions. Dew points in the lower 70s coupled with lower 70 degree air temperatures have things feeling very tropical. Showers and thunderstorms will fire later this afternoon and a few of these could become strong to severe. With the moisture-laden air mass in place, torrential rainfall will remain likely with storms.
As we shift into Friday and Saturday all eyes will be on the remnant moisture of what once was Tropical Storm Bill. Latest model data focuses in on southern IN for the greatest threat of widespread heavy rain and potential flash flooding, including rainfall amounts of 3″ to 4″ in spots. We’ll continue to keep a close eye on the precise track of Bill’s remnants, but, as of now, folks downstate are at highest risk of flooding problems.
As we move into next week the active and stormy times continue. There are questions in regards to an expanding heat dome. Latest data has backed down dramatically on the potential heat next week. With the wet ground in place it’s hard to argue with that idea.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Potential: 1.5″ – 2″ (locally heavier totals)
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/afternoon-storms-watching-bills-remnants/