Category: Unseasonably Warm

Jun 01

Drier Trend Continues This Weekend…

Highlights:

  • Dry close to the work week
  • Mostly dry weekend
  • Slightly cooler next week

Models Continue To Trend Drier…It was only a couple days ago that models were suggesting the threat of heavy rain and scattered strong storms this weekend- beginning Friday.  In this business, it doesn’t take long for things to change sometimes, but this is the first legitimate change for the “drier” that we’ve seen with storm systems since winter.  Time and time again as we draw closer to events, modeling has had to play “catch up” for the wetter over the past few months.

The end result is one that will feature a mostly dry weekend, including only isolated storm coverage Saturday afternoon and evening (most stay dry) and scattered coverage Sunday.  As a whole, many more dry hours are expected this weekend than stormy.

The other big takeaway over the past few days is the cool bias models have had.  This is noted and documented and we’re adjusting our forecast accordingly moving forward.  Drier and cooler air will arrive after Monday showers, but temperatures won’t run nearly as cool as once projected.  For the second week in a row, very pleasant and refreshing weather is ahead for the middle of the week.  Not bad, at all, by June standards.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.50″ – 0.75″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/drier-trend-continues-this-weekend/

Jun 01

JMA Weeklies: Cool Gives Way To More Seasonal Conditions…

The new JMA Weeklies are in and the highlights include:

  • Unseasonably cool conditions Week 1
  • Anomalously wet across the Southeast
  • Warmer, more seasonal early-summer weather arrives

Week 1:

The pattern is dominated by an eastern trough and western ridge. Accordingly, cooler than average conditions will dominate the central and eastern portions of the country.  Very wet conditions should dominate the southern and eastern tier of the country (heaviest rains should fall east and south of Indiana).

Week 2:

The pattern begins to “relax” a bit, locally, with warmer conditions set to develop.  We note three areas of anomalously wet weather- west coast, northern Plains and Southeast.

Weeks 3-4

While the pattern doesn’t seem to promote any sort of significant heat or cool (relative to normal), this is certainly a warmer look, overall, to close the month than how we’re starting.  This look would suggest warm, seasonal, summer conditions locally with average precipitation.  Wet weather continues to dominate the pattern across the south and begins to emerge into the central.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/jma-weeklies-cool-gives-way-to-more-seasonal-conditions/

May 23

VIDEO: Unsettled Weather Returns For Midweek And Looking Ahead To Race Day Weather…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-unsettled-weather-returns-for-midweek-and-looking-ahead-to-race-day-weather/

May 22

Busy Week Of Weather…

Highlights:

  • Sunny open to the work week
  • Midweek storms
  • Storm chances remain for the long race and holiday weekend ahead

Pleasant Open To The Work Week…High pressure will support dry and pleasant weather conditions as we open up the work week. Expect plentiful sunshine and comfortable conditions to spend time outdoors today!  Enjoy!

Unsettled weather will return for midweek as low pressure moves into the Ohio Valley.  Scattered showers Tuesday will increase in overall coverage and intensity Wednesday, including the potential of locally heavy rainfall.  With all of the clouds and rain around through midweek, temperatures will run significantly below average.

Thankfully, we’ll get a breather Friday, with a mostly dry day expected.  We’ll turn the temperature up a couple notches heading into the long race and Memorial Day weekend.  Additionally, expect an increasingly muggy feel with scattered thunderstorms returning to the forecast this weekend.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall:  1.50″ – 2.00″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/busy-week-of-weather/

May 18

Unsettled Stretch Of Weather Ahead…

Highlights:

  • Scattered storms
  • Turning cooler next week
  • Continued unsettled

Periods Of Storms In The Days Ahead…While we’ll have more dry time than not into the weekend, multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms can be expected as we close the work week and move into the weekend.  With a moisture-rich air mass in place, locally heavy rain is possible.  Storms will reach most widespread coverage during the afternoon and evening hours through Saturday.

A cold front will sweep through the state Sunday with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms followed by drier, cooler air for Monday.

As we progress through next week, the region will remain in a much cooler, challenging northwest flow.  Individual disturbances will race southeast and result in continued unsettled weather as race weekend and the Memorial Day holiday draws closer.  We’ll keep a very close eye on things.  The balance of next week will be significantly cooler than average.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 1.50″ – 2.00″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/unsettled-stretch-of-weather-ahead/