Category: Unseasonably Warm

Sep 20

September: Where We’ve Been And Where We’re Going…

Month-to-date, September has been a warm (+3.5 degrees) and wet (+1.17″) month across central Indiana.

month-tdevmonth-ppercThe warmth continues in the days ahead, but we’re going to run much drier, overall, as strong ridging remains the dominant factor through late week.

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cfs_tprecip_anom_conus_2016092000_21The past (90) days have featured hefty rains across the Mid West.

nws_precip_conus2_90Late season heat will grip most of the east over the upcoming (7) days. Note those population areas (nearly 90% of the lower 48) to experience at, or above, 80 degree heat between now and next Tuesday. Even areas into the Lakes and New England get in on the late summer feel.

ndfd_pop_over_80_8In the shorter term, an isolated shower is possible this evening, but most should remain dry as the air is very dry across the region.

hires_ref_indy_16The upper air pattern features strong ridging over the central and east over the upcoming several days. A cold front and associated trough will deliver cooler air by the early to middle part of next week.

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4In between the warmth and pending cooler, more fall-like, air will be a round of scattered showers and thunderstorms early next week. Modeling differs on precipitation amounts, but, as of now, heavy rains aren’t looking likely.

gefs_qpf_ens_ky_33As mentioned, early to middle parts of next week should feature temperatures much closer to where we should be this time of year, if not a few degrees below average.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/september-where-weve-been-and-where-were-going/

Sep 18

Dry, Warm Week…

screen-shot-2016-09-18-at-8-36-26-pmHighlights:

  • Dry week for the most part
  • Unseasonably warm
  • Significant cold front looms

Extended Stretch Of Dry Weather…Despite a weak frontal boundary getting close enough to create an isolated shower Tuesday, we’re looking at dry conditions this week, complete with plentiful amounts of sunshine.  Average temperatures for mid September include lower 50s for lows and highs in the lower 70s.  With highs this week surging into the middle to upper 80s with lows in the middle 60s, it’s safe we’ll enjoy some bonus “summer time!”

For those longing for the chilly, crisp conditions of the fall season, hang in there.  A strong cold front will approach the region late in the weekend and will be accompanied by showers and thunderstorms late Sunday into Monday. MUCH cooler air awaits behind the boundary…

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.50″ – 1.00″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/dry-warm-week/

Sep 17

Drying Out; Late Season Push Of Summer Air…

screen-shot-2016-09-17-at-10-22-44-amHighlights:

  • Showers become more scattered this afternoon
  • Nice Sunday on deck
  • Late season push of summer heat before cooler times

Drying Out Sunday…It was a wet and stormy night across central IN, including locally hefty rainfall totals (some neighborhoods picked up more than 2″).  We’ve been dealing with widespread soaking rain across central IN through the morning, but as we progress into the afternoon, most concentrated rain will remain east of the city and on into Ohio.  Scattered showers will remain possible until the cold front presses through the region tonight.

High pressure will build overhead Sunday and supply increasing sunshine and a pleasant second half of the weekend.  Lower humidity will promote overnight lows into the upper 50s to open the week.

A secondary (weak) front may yield an isolated to widely scattered shower Tuesday, but the bigger story will be late season heat building to close the week.  Highs will approach the 90 degree mark by Friday as a big ole ridge expands across the region.

Longer term, a significant cold front looms just beyond the current forecast period that will offer up thunderstorms and a big blast of fall-like air to close the month…

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 1.50″ – 2.00″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/drying-out-late-season-push-of-summer-air/

Sep 16

Turning Unsettled This Afternoon…

The initial push of moisture will ride into central IN this afternoon (likely between 2p-3p time frame).  Embedded thunder will be a good bet, but the storms pushing in should be in a weakened state compared to what our neighbors to our west will experience a few hours earlier.

1Periods of scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue Saturday.  The good news?  After the initial round of showers this afternoon, most high school football games could very well be dry tonight.

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3It won’t rain the entire time Saturday, but scattered storms are a good bet through the day.  Some locally heavy rainfall is likely, but rain amounts won’t be uniform.  On average 0.75″-1″ is a good bet.

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kind_2016091521_tqpfSunday will be the pick of the weekend as high pressure builds in and supplies a drier air mass.  Flipping the page to next week, the big story will be a late season push of summer heat followed by a significant cold front next weekend.  Behind this front, a true push of bonafide autumn air will push in.  Sweaters and jackets will likely be needed as we put a wrap on September…

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/turning-unsettled-this-afternoon/

Sep 15

VIDEO: Weekend Weather And Late Month Talk…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-weekend-weather-and-late-month-talk/