Aug 31
Cool August: Despite the warm close to August, the month, as a whole, has been cooler than average across the Plains, Ohio Valley, and Tennessee Valley. Heat Expands: …
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/monday-weather-notebook-2/
Aug 27
Cool and Dry: We’re off to a cool start this morning with many reporting sites in the lower 50s. Note the cooler than normal air extends all the…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/thursday-weather-notebook-2/
Aug 26
Highlights:
After a couple days of variably cloudy skies, we should see more in the way of sunshine as we get set to wrap up the work week. Conditions will remain unseasonably pleasant to be outdoors.
We’ll begin to transition to warmer and more humid times this weekend and with a disturbance nearby, an isolated to widely scattered shower or thunderstorm has to be included in our forecast. Most should remain rain-free, however.
Overall dry and increasingly hot conditions will be the rule next week as ridging develops over the Great Lakes region. Folks longing for more summer before fall truly sets in look to have their wish granted over the upcoming couple weeks ahead.
In the tropics, all eyes remain on Erika. Though many questions remain, folks from the east coast of Florida up along the Southeast coast should remain abreast of the latest developments. It’s likely Erika will go through a strengthening process over the next couple days.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.10″ – 0.25″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/early-fall-like-now-but-heat-builds/
Aug 26
Refreshing: We’re off to another pleasantly cool start this morning. Also note the cooler air has been able to ooze into the southeast. Speaking of cool, it’s been a…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/wednesday-weather-notebook/
Aug 24
First and foremost, I’ll apologize in advance for a lack of posts today and go ahead and apologize for the same tomorrow. We’ve been incredibly busy over the past couple days and as a result posting has (and will be) out of schedule until mid week.
We wanted to briefly touch on early September with this post. (This isn’t our September forecast, as that will be posted by the end of the week).
Speaking of September, we’ve always had September as a warmer than normal month. Despite the warm September forecast, we did initially think we may have a 2-3 day period in early September that would feature yet another pop of cooler than normal air. That’s speaking specifically at the period around 9.3-9.5 (give or take a day or two) and after a warmer than normal stretch this weekend into early next week. (By the way, after a warm September, we think things turn cold rather fast in October and November, but that’s for another day).
The reasoning behind our thinking of a few days of cooler air in the 9.3-9.5 time frame was from the overall pattern that is leading to Typhoon Atsani recurving in the western north Pacific. It’s important to note that it isn’t the recurving typhoon itself, but the overall pattern that provides a good hint at what’s ahead downstream 6-10 days later- be it ridging or the tendency for “troughiness.”
However, modeling has been trending towards Atsani stalling in the north Pacific and even some data likes to drift the system northwest over time through the upcoming weekend before significant weakening.
The end result here? Much less emphasis on cool and attention that turns to a rather lengthy period of warmer than normal temperatures through the month of September, including early September.
Much more later!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/a-word-on-early-september/