Category Archives: T-storms

Tropical Feel This Weekend…

Screen Shot 2016-08-26 at 6.01.18 AMHighlights:

  • Scattered weekend storms
  • Humid air mass
  • Less storm coverage early next week

Air You Can Wear…A very warm, moist, and unstable air mass will remain in place across the region this weekend.  While storms will be scattered, the moisture-laden air will help promote locally heavy storms at times.  Get used to heat indices in the mid-upper 90s into early next week.  Yuck!

Storm coverage will be on the decrease, overall, as we open the new work week.  That said, we have to maintain isolated coverage.  A weak boundary will slip through central IN the middle of next week and lead to scattered to numerous storms Wednesday.

In the tropics, Invest 99L remains at the forefront.  There are many more questions than answers at this time, but if the disturbance (somehow, someway) can make it into the southeastern GOM early next week, conditions will be much more favorable for development.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall:  0.75″-1.25″ (locally heavier amounts)
7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Tropics, Unseasonably Warm

Wednesday Morning Weather Notebook…

1.)  Humidity is on the rise this morning and scattered showers and thunderstorms will follow late morning into the early afternoon.

CODNEXLAB-1km-C_Illinois-rad-ani24-201608241115-100-100-022.)  HRRR futurecast radar delivers thunderstorms into central IN around the lunchtime hour.

13.) Scattered thunderstorms remain Thursday (some strong to severe), but drier air will briefly push in across the northern half of the region Friday.  We think from Indianapolis and points north, it’ll be a very pleasant end to the work week.  That said, “briefly” is the key word.  Moisture will surge north again Saturday and Sunday and isolated to scattered storms will follow suit.

DryMoist4.)  Attention next week will shift to the tropics.  There are many more questions than answers at this point, but understand the potential is there for significant tropical troubles next week.  Intensity and track are far from etched in stone, but if your travels take you to the Gulf Coast, we suggest you remain abreast of the latest developments- particularly the southeastern FL coast and the north-central Gulf Coast.

Here on the home front, it’s not entirely out of the equation our region deals with tropical remnants in the Week 2 time period.

Patience is required as we sort through the data in the coming days…

AL99_current

7-Day Outlook, Dew points, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, HRRR, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Tropics, Weather Rambles

It’s Still Summer, After All…

Screen Shot 2016-08-23 at 7.09.32 AMHighlights:

  • Dry pattern continues today
  • Mid week storms
  • Questions abound this weekend

Heat And Humidity Return…High pressure will give way to an approaching cold front as we progress from early to mid week.  Ahead of the front, a southwest air flow will transport an increasingly warm and muggy air mass northward.  It’ll, unfortunately, feel much more humid Wednesday and Thursday.  With the frontal boundary nearby and the increased humidity, expect scattered to numerous thunderstorms Wednesday and Thursday (along with locally heavy downpours).  A couple strong storms are also possible.

We still think drier air will press into central IN to wrap up the work week and head into the first half of the weekend.  That said, moisture returns as early as Sunday and leads to a mention of thunderstorms, especially during the PM.  Stay tuned as we continue to fine tune timing.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall:  1.00″-1.50″
7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Warm