Category: T-storms
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Hail, Heavy Rain, Rain, Severe Weather, T-storms, Unseasonably Warm, Windy
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May 20, 2014
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The daytime hours into the evening will be very pleasant today- mostly sunny to partly cloudy, warm, and breezy! A windy warm-up is underway as temperatures are running 17 degrees warmer than 8 o’clock Monday morning. Highs both today and Wednesday will approach 80. We’re eyeing a couple rounds of thunderstorms in our future- late tonight/ early Wednesday and then again Wednesday afternoon. That said, we caution bust potential is high and while a slight risk of severe weather is up for the region for both potential thunderstorm complexes, conditions are far from a “lock.” We’re confident portions of the Ohio Valley will deal with a couple rounds of severe thunderstorms, but there’s the chance the first wave of severe weather is across far eastern portions of the state and targeting more of Ohio and there’s also the chance that round two Wednesday is mostly across downstate Indiana. We’ll keep an eye on things and update later this evening. Regardless, large hail and damaging winds will be of greatest concern. Stay tuned for further updates this evening. Rainfall potential is around half an inch tonight through Wednesday, with locally heavier downpours. As we move forward, we’re very confident on a glorious late week stretch and Memorial Day weekend- lots of sunshine and very pleasant temperatures! A warm front will introduce a chance of an afternoon thunderstorm Monday afternoon, along with a much hotter, more humid feel.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/eyeing-storms-wednesday-beauty-of-a-weekend-on-deck/
Good morning and happy Friday, Hoosiers! The region will remain under the influence of a swirling upper level low as we put a wrap on the work week. This will keep chilly, unsettled weather in our forecast. Temperatures will remain below normal through the weekend, though begin to moderate from the ridiculously chilly readings of late week.
We’re dealing with showers around the area now, but showers will intensify this afternoon and with all of the cold air aloft could easily produce small hail. Here’s a look at forecast radar early this afternoon- 2pm.
The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) highlights the region for the possibility of small hail.
The other huge story will be the very cold temperatures tonight into Saturday. In fact, we wouldn’t be surprised to hear reports of light frost in outlying areas Saturday morning with forecast lows in the mid 30s! Sunshine will increase as we progress through the weekend and temperatures will respond, albeit slowly! We’ll take what we can get!
- Friday: Mostly cloudy, scattered showers and thunderstorms (some stronger storms could produce small hail), 41/55
- Saturday: Cold start to the day! Increasing sunshine, still a possible light shower, 35/59
- Sunday: Partly cloudy and nice! 38/64
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/weekend-look-hail-producing-showers-storms-this-afternoon/
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We’re locked into a cloudy, raw, and wet weather pattern and there’s no let up until later into the upcoming weekend. A big upper low is positioned across Iowa this morning and will remain the primary driver in our weather here through Saturday. Unseasonably chilly conditions, gusty northwest winds, and periods of drizzle and rain can be expected through the period. We’ll finally begin to shake the clouds and rain, but unseasonably cool air will linger into early next week. As for the pick of the weekend, it still easily appears to be Sunday, with mostly dry conditions, increased sunshine, and moderating temperatures. An additional one half to three quarters of an inch of rain will be possible between today and Saturday. Warmer times are ahead early next week as a warm front blows through the area with a possible shower or storm Tuesday.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/raw-and-chilly/
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, NAM Model, Rain, Severe Weather, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Weather Videos
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May 13, 2014
Note how dramatic of a temperature shift is occurring to our west- temperatures are down more than 30 degrees from this same time last night.
That cool air will filter into our region tonight and Wednesday. As a matter of fact, we still think Thursday has the potential to remain in the 40s for the better part of the day. The video below has more details on this and a look ahead to continued rainy times.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/tuesday-evening-video-brief-the-cool-down-is-on/
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Heavy Rain, NAM Model, Rain, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm
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May 13, 2014
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Stepping outside this morning you would think it was July or August. Unseasonably warm conditions are coupling with dew points in the middle to upper 60s to help create quite the muggy feel to the central Indiana air mass once again. This will help fuel showers and heavy rain producing thunderstorms today, especially during the PM. Perhaps the most widespread rain and thunderstorms will arrive Wednesday into early Thursday as a wave of low pressure moves up along a cold front that will be just east of our region by that time frame. We still forecast locally heavy rainfall amounts during the course of the next 48 hours, including widespread additional 1.25″-1.50″ totals. The other big story will be the dramatically cooler temperatures that filter in tomorrow. We’ve called Wednesday our transition day and that remains our idea now, as well. Temperatures will likely fall through the afternoon and evening hours. Speaking of cool, temperatures will remain in the 40s for the better part of your Thursday (hope you haven’t put those jackets and sweaters away just yet)! We’ll slowly begin to shake the showers and clouds over the weekend and have trended more optimistic for Sunday’s forecast into early next week.
Most widespread shower and thunderstorm activity will likely occur Wednesday into early Thursday.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/showers-and-storms-then-much-cooler/
