Storms Tonight; Heat Builds This Week…

Screen Shot 2015-06-08 at 5.57.06 PMHighlights:

  • Stormy tonight for some
  • Heat builds this week
  • Better storm chances return for the weekend

A cold front remains off to our northwest as we type this and big storms are firing across northern portions of the state.  We’ll keep a close eye on those as they move southeast tonight and begin to pick up more forward momentum in the coming hours.  They’ve had a history of producing damaging hail.  Remain weather-aware this evening.

Thankfully we’ll begin to inject a drier air mass (briefly) into the region Tuesday.  A nice day is coming with lower humidity.  Most of the second half of the work week will also remain dry, but as humidity increases we have to mention the threat of an isolated to widely scattered storm.  The big story will be the heat as highs push into the 90 degree territory.  Prepare to sweat!

Better chances of showers and thunderstorms will push back into the region over the upcoming weekend.  We’re not forecast a complete washout either Saturday or Sunday, but with a very humid air mass in place, any shower or storm that develops will have the capability of producing torrential downpours.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Potential: 1.5″ – 2.5″

Timing Sunday Severe Potential…

A cold front will slice into a hot and humid air mass Sunday evening.  The daytime hours Sunday are expected to provide plenty of sunshine to go along with that hot and increasingly humid air mass (courtesy of strong southwest winds), but things will turn stormy Sunday night.  We’re growing close enough now to begin to bracket the most likely time for potentially strong to severe thunderstorms and focusing in on the hours between 10p and 2a.  Damaging straight line winds are of greatest concern, but large hail and a quick spin-up tornado can’t be totally ruled out.  It’ll be important to set those weather radios before going to bed tomorrow night, or have a means of getting the latest watches and warnings.

Forecast radar 11p Sunday

11pForecast radar 2a Monday

2aForecast radar 8a Monday

8aThe line of storms will weaken in rather dramatic fashion as they continue to push south into the lower Ohio Valley and Tennessee Valley Monday morning.

Stay tuned.

Warmer Days; Continuing To Watch Sunday Evening…

Screen Shot 2015-06-03 at 9.37.15 PMHighlights:

  • More like summer
  • Mostly dry weekend
  • Keeping a close eye on Sunday night storm threat
  • Unsettled to open the week

The story to wrap up the work week will be one much more typical of early June- warmer days are on deck with increasing humidity.  The combination of the increasingly muggy air mass coupled with a weak upper level disturbance, could ignite a shower or storm Friday.  Most of the day will be dry, however.  The upcoming weekend will feature beautiful weather conditions- dry and warm to hot.  We continue to watch a storm complex that could deliver a round of strong to severe cells (damaging straight line winds being the biggest concern) Sunday evening and night. We’ll have to tighten up potential timing as we progress closer to Sunday, but think most of the daytime hours will be dry.  Early next week will likely open a bit unsettled.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Potential: 0.50″ – 0.75″

Chilly Now, But Warmer Days Coming…

Screen Shot 2015-06-01 at 10.16.25 PMHighlights:

  • Unseasonably chilly air begins to moderate
  • Dry weather returns
  • Eyeing the next cold front late in the weekend

The past couple of days have felt more like late spring or fall rather than the first day of meteorological summer (June, July, August).  No need to fret, however, as milder air will return beginning Tuesday afternoon…after another very chilly start.  The next couple of days will feature plenty of sunshine!  Enjoy!  Moisture will slowly begin to increase to end the week and an isolated to widely scattered storm chance will accompany the warmer, more humid air.  Best rain and storm chances look to come Sunday as a cold front moves closer.  Drier and cooler air will work back into the region Monday evening.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Potential: 0.50″ – 0.75″

Friday Morning: Already Sticky Out There…

A quick step out of the door this morning and you’ll note the significant uptick in humidity overnight. A very warm, humid day is on tap with an isolated or…

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