Category Archives: Summer

Less Humid Today…

Screen Shot 2015-05-28 at 7.29.08 AMHighlights:

  • Less humid today
  • Best rain chances Saturday, but plenty of dry time too
  • Much cooler early next week

High pressure and a northeast flow will help provide a much less humid feel today, but it’ll still be warm.  Moisture will slowly increase again Friday and isolated to widely scattered storm coverage will return.  Best rain and storm chances will arrive Saturday afternoon and evening as a cold front passes through the region, but we want to make sure we also stress there will be plenty of dry time, as well.  The big story early next week will be a MUCH cooler air mass moving into the region.  Models are behaving in an inconsistent manner Sunday in regards to the timing and position of the frontal passage.  As of now, we’re leaning towards the drier solutions, but stay tuned.

Upcoming 7-Day rainfall potential: 1″ to 1.2″

No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather

More On The Rain Situation, Or Lack Thereof…

Things are growing a bit dry around these parts.  Officially we’re down 3.25″ for the month and close to 5″ on the year.  (Climate information for IND: http://w2.weather.gov/climate/index.php?wfo=ind)

Rains the past (14) days have favored the central region, falling apart as the systems push east and northeast.  Texas and Oklahoma continue to make news headlines from severe flooding.  – Too much of a good thing all at once.

nws_precip_conus2_14Officially we’re not even listed in the “abnormally dry” shading, but that very well may change with the Thursday update.  Courtesy of the Regional Drought Monitor:

20150519_midwest_noneAnytime you go through May with a significant rainfall deficit it raises a concern for continued dry times going through summer.  Dry typically breeds dry this time of year, and eventually heat.  That said, a strengthening El Nino will fight the recent trend.  Around these parts weak to moderate summer El Ninos tend to yield average (to slightly above) precipitation and average (to slightly below normal) temperatures.  Recent trends, combined with longer term forecasts certainly prove to lead to a battle in the coming weeks and months…

Shorter term as we progress through the coming days, here’s how we currently assess rainfall coverage:

  • Wednesday: Scattered- favoring eastern and southern portions of the state
  • Thursday: Mostly dry
  • Friday: Widely scattered
  • Saturday: Scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms, but many dry hours, as well.
  • Sunday: Scattered coverage

* Rainfall potential through the weekend: 0.50″-1″ for most, with locally heavier totals under stronger storms.

No Comments Drought, Forecast Discussion, Long Range Discussion, Rain, Summer, T-storms

No Changes To What’s Going To Be A Great Weekend, Weather-wise.

sat_20Mid and high level clouds are around this morning, but expect increasing sunshine as we progress into the afternoon hours.  All-in-all, there are no changes to our going forecast this weekend, weather-wise.  Expect fantastic conditions today and Sunday.

Indy 500 Weekend Quick-cast:

Saturday: Partly cloudy this morning becoming mostly sunny.  Warmer.  High around 80.

Saturday night: Partly cloudy.  Low in the upper 50s to lower 60s.

Sunday: Mixed clouds and sunshine.  Increasingly humid.  High in the lower to middle 80s.

Memorial Day: Partly to mostly cloudy with a widely scattered shower or storm.  Mostly dry for the better part of the day.  High in the middle 70s.

No Comments Forecast, Indy 500, Memorial Day weekend, Summer

Great Weekend Weather Ahead…

Screen Shot 2015-05-21 at 10.40.39 PMHighlights:

  • Another chilly start
  • Lots of weekend sunshine
  • Rain chances continue to decrease for the Indy 500
  • More humid times next week

Screen Shot 2015-05-21 at 10.43.59 PM

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

An unseasonably chilly air mass continues to engulf much of the region (shown above).  As we flip the page and head into the long holiday weekend, we’ll note moderating temperatures and increasing humidity levels once to race day.  An isolated or widely scattered storm is possible Sunday, but rainfall coverage continues to diminish with each passing computer model run.  Even if we do see a passing storm Sunday, it’ll likely arrive later in the evening.  A more humid regime will build in here next week and we’ll keep mention of showers and thunderstorms, particularly during the afternoon and evening.  We’ll highlight Tuesday and Wednesday as days with potentially the most widespread coverage of showers and storms.

No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Indy 500, Memorial Day weekend, Rain, Spring, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather

Lots Of Dry Time This Weekend, But Scattered Storms Will Be Around…

Screen Shot 2015-05-09 at 10.38.36 AMHighlights:

  • More dry time than not this weekend
  • Strong storm potential Monday
  • Cooler and much drier air moves in Monday night

The region remains in a very warm and moist air mass this weekend and this could help promote a scattered shower or thunderstorm really at any point over the next couple of days.  That said, best concentration of rain and storms will come during the afternoon and evening hours.  All-in-all, the weekend will feature many more dry hours than not.  A final push of showers and thunderstorms will blow through Monday and some of these could reach strong to severe levels.  We’ll keep a close eye out.  A much cooler and drier air mass arrives Monday night and that will carry us through Thursday.

hrrr_ref_indy_10Most of today will be dry, but forecast radar (courtesy of Weatherbell.com) suggests showers and thunderstorms build into central IN this afternoon and evening.  Plan on taking rain gear with you if you have outdoor plans and have a means of getting inside should a storm be nearby.

day3otlk_0730The SPC has highlighted a large portion of the Ohio Valley for the threat of severe weather Monday.  Large hail and damaging winds appear to be of greatest concern at this time.  While this doesn’t look like a significant widespread severe weather outbreak for our immediate region, let’s remember it only takes one severe storm impacting a community to be significant in that particular neighborhood.

No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Hail, Heavy Rain, HRRR, Rain, Severe Weather, Spring, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm