Category: snow

Client Brief: Rain To Snow? Yes, But Bigger Deal Damaging Wind Potential And Bitter Cold…

Updated 01.10.24 @ 5:33p

Type: Severe Winter Weather

A prolonged period of strong, gusty, and potentially damaging winds will develop Friday into Saturday.
Expected maximum wind gusts

What: Rain changing to snow; prolonged period of strong winds, and bitter cold

When: Friday, 1/12/24 and Saturday, 1/13/24

Wind: Variable 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH

Temperatures: Middle 40s Friday falling below freezing Friday night and below zero by Sunday morning.

Pavement Impacts: Salting will be required Friday night through the weekend.

Summary: A rapidly deepening area of low pressure will track through central Indiana Friday. What will likely be a SLP in the low 990s (millibars) Friday morning is liable to be in the low 970mb range by Friday night in southern Michigan. This will undoubtedly lead to a “big blow” across all of the region as we close out the work week and head into the weekend and that’s where we want to start with the headlines. A prolonged period of 20-30 MPH winds with gusts close to 50 MPH can be expected during this time frame.

As far as precipitation goes, rain is forecast to move into central Indiana Friday morning, falling heavy at times. If you have travel plans up north across northern Indiana, more in the way of wet snow is forecast during this time period. We’re not expecting to transition to snow until after sunset Friday (from west to east) as colder air pours in on the backside of the strengthening low. Snow showers will continue to fall into Saturday morning and with the strong and gusty northwest winds in place, lowered visibility and some slick spots can be expected across the region. Only light snow amounts are forecast, locally, to the tune of 0.50″ to 1.50″, but good luck measuring that in all of the wind. Scattered snow showers (arctic haze) will continue into Sunday as brutal arctic air oozes into the region.

Confidence: High

Next update: 7:30a Thr

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VIDEO: Another Strong Storm On Deck; Bitterly Cold Air Follows…

Updated 01.10.23 @ 7:44a As we catch our breath from the recent active turn in the pattern, eyes are already shifting west for a new storm that will emerge over…

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Tuesday Evening Thoughts On The Weekend And Beyond…

Updated 01.09.24 @ 5:06p To say there’s a lot going on right now with this weather pattern is an understatement of understatements. When this involves an area such as central…

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Updated Thinking On Monday Night-Tuesday And Late Week…

Updated 01.07.24 @ 3:27p

While we’ll enjoy a quiet open to the work week, our next storm system is already organizing to our west and will deliver a heavy wind-whipped rain event, bookended by wintry precipitation Monday night into Wednesday morning.

Rainfall numbers will approach, if not exceed, the 1″ mark for most Indiana rain gauges with this system- the majority of which falls overnight Monday through the 1st half of Tuesday.

A wintry mix of wet snow and/ or sleet will likely be the predominant precipitation type along and north of I-70 at the onset of precipitation tomorrow night, but this doesn’t appear as if it’ll last long enough to create long lasting travel problems. In short, a quick transition to plain ole rain is anticipated after the onset of wintry precipitation. Safe to say, the Tuesday morning commute will be a messy one across the region.

Winds will also to around 40 MPH overnight into Tuesday morning as the area of low pressure lifts up to our west.

As colder air wraps back into the region Tuesday night, left over rain will transition to wet snow, continuing into Wednesday morning.

Just as soon as we finish with this system, attention will shift to a brewing winter storm as we close out the work week. While it’s impossible to get too specific on the all-important track of this system, it’s safe to say that this should be another potent area of low pressure, including more in the way of cold air to work with. With the arctic branch of the jet digging south, it won’t take much for this system to phase and actually be a more intense storm than its predecessor. That said, we have a long, long way to go before we can talk about where the heaviest swath of snow will set up in the Friday/ Saturday timeframe. It’ll be important to stay abreast of future forecast updates in the days ahead.

Bitterly cold, arctic air will be unleashed east through mid-January. Note the coast-to-coast arctic air taking up residence towards Day 10.

Our benchmarks have been set

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/updated-thinking-on-monday-night-tuesday-and-late-week/

VIDEO: What A Pattern…

Updated 01.07.24 @ 7:32a Light snow will slowly come to an end through the morning hours and we’ll have around 24 hours, or so, to catch our breath before the…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-what-a-pattern/