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Category: Severe Weather
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-agwx-and-severe-weather-update-what-role-will-soon-to-be-barry-play-down-the-road/
Jul 01
Weekly #AGwx And Severe Weather Outlook…
Forecast period: 07.01.19 through 07.08.19
7-Day Precipitation: Rainfall is expected to run above average through the period.
7-Day Temperature Outlook: Temperatures are expected to run above average through the period.
Severe Outlook: A ‘Marginal’ risk of severe weather is hoisted from the Storm Prediction Center for Wednesday, July 3rd. Otherwise, widespread organized severe weather isn’t anticipated.
Summary: A “rinse and repeat” pattern will spell daily chances of showers and thunderstorms along with an overall continuation of our hot and humid pattern from last week. Coverage of thunderstorms will likely be greatest Tuesday afternoon and evening, Wednesday afternoon and evening, and Friday evening into Saturday morning. Widespread rainfall amounts through the period should top out between 1″ and 1.5″, but there will be locally heavier amounts where stronger storms track. (A wholesale pattern change back to much cooler conditions is still on deck just past this forecast period).
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/weekly-agwx-and-severe-weather-outlook-5/
Jun 30
VIDEO: “Rinse And Repeat” Through The Short-Term; Updated Long Range Thoughts…
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Jun 23
Bumpy Ride Possible This Afternoon And Evening…
While the weather is currently quiet across central Indiana, that will likely change in a significant way as we progress into the afternoon and evening hours.
As we look at the current radar, note the widespread showers and thunderstorms off to our southwest. More importantly, the latest couple of frames indicate a strengthening line of storms beginning to “bow” out along the eastern flank (along the MO/ IL state line).
The environment in place upstream into southern and central Indiana remains one that would tend to favor these storms strengthening further in the coming hours.
We note the Storm Prediction Center has nudge the Slight Risk further north to encompass more of southern and central Indiana with their latest update and we would agree with this.
We think storm coverage (and intensity) will really begin to ramp up after 3p and the latest HRRR shows this nicely:
Greatest concern with any severe storms that develop has to do with strong and potentially damaging straight line winds. It’ll be important to remain weather-aware this afternoon into the evening hours.
*More later this evening, including our finalized July Outlook.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/bumpy-ride-possible-this-afternoon-and-evening/
Jun 23
Weekly #AGwx And Severe Weather Outlook…
Forecast period: 06.24.19 through 06.30.19
7-Day Precipitation: Rainfall is expected to run near to slightly above average through the period.
7-Day Temperature Outlook: Temperatures are expected to run above average through the period.
Severe Outlook: While a couple of strong storms are possible during the period, widespread organized severe weather isn’t anticipated during the above forecast period.
Summary: The forecast period will feature an overall drier and warmer theme than what we’ve been used to of late. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will linger to open the work week before high pressure builds overhead and results in an overall dry forecast Tuesday. Upper level energy will allow scattered storms to return Wednesday before we dry things out again Thursday and Friday. As we look ahead to next weekend, a “backdoor” cold front will likely result in an uptick in rain chances Saturday followed by a cooler push of air by the 2nd half of next weekend.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/weekly-agwx-and-severe-weather-outlook-4/