Category: Severe Weather

VIDEO: Big Changes On Deck; Looking Into August…

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Weekly #AGwx And Severe Weather Outlook…

Forecast period: 07.21.19 through 07.28.19

7-Day Precipitation: Rainfall is expected to run near average through the period.

7-Day Temperature Outlook: Temperatures are expected to run below average through the forecast period.

Severe Outlook: A strong cold front will slice into the unusually hot and humid air tomorrow afternoon and likely spark an increase in overall thunderstorm coverage. A few storms may become severe with large hail and damaging winds. Otherwise, after Sunday, severe weather isn’t expected through the remainder of the forecast period.

Summary: Hang in there, friends. Today will be the last ridiculously hot and humid day before we start to note relief. Sunday will still be hot and plenty humid, but will be the start of a cooler regime that will take hold in earnest by early parts of the work week. Before that, a cold front will spark scattered to numerous thunderstorms Sunday afternoon and evening and a few of these could become strong to severe. Linger upper level energy will keep shower chances in our forecast Tuesday with the much cooler temperatures. As we look forward, the next organized chance of rain and thunderstorms will come next weekend as another cold front sweeps through the Ohio Valley along with reinforcing pleasantly cool air behind the boundary.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/weekly-agwx-and-severe-weather-outlook-7/

“Sneaky” Storms Precede Dangerous Heat…

As we prepare for the hottest air of the summer, we’ll have to remain on guard for the potential of thunderstorms impacting at least a part of the state Thursday morning.

Upper level energy will track southeast into the state late tonight and early Thursday and combine with just enough energy to allow thunderstorms that should develop during the overnight (across southern WI and northern IL) to track into western Indiana during the predawn hours. (It should be pointed out this is separate from the convection that is currently resulting in warnings across MO and IL- as of 6:20p eastern time). Thereafter, these storms are expected to rumble into central Indiana in a weakening format around the morning rush Thursday.

Upper level energy will likely result in a weakening complex of storms pushing into central IN Thursday morning.
Forecast radar at 8a Thursday.

Thereafter, the big story will be the high heat and humidity that will lead to truly dangerous conditions across central Indiana beginning tomorrow afternoon into Sunday. Heat indices will top out between 100-105 each afternoon and in some cases a few degrees higher. It’ll be important to build in frequent breaks inside and drink plenty of water. Most, if not all, neighborhoods can expect to remain rain-free through the first half of the weekend (after we deal with our Thursday morning storms).

Thankfully, we still are forecasting a “game changer” of a cold front to plow through the region late Sunday and early Monday with storms (a few could be severe) followed by a much cooler and more refreshing air mass next week.

This is likely the first of a couple of cold fronts that will pass through the region between now and the end of the month, ensuring we wrap up July seasonal to cooler than average.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/sneaky-storms-precede-dangerous-heat/

Weekly #AGwx And Severe Weather Outlook…

Forecast period: 07.14.19 through 07.21.19

7-Day Precipitation: Rainfall is expected to run near to slightly above average through the period.

7-Day Temperature Outlook: Temperatures are expected to run well above average by the end of the period.

Severe Outlook: While widespread, organized severe weather isn’t expected through the forecast period, a couple isolated strong to severe cells are possible this afternoon (large hail is the primary concern, along with downburst wind potential). Additionally, we’ll also keep an eye on the threat of thunderstorm complexes riding southeast through the state late in the period- towards next weekend.

Summary: The story early in the forecast period will be Barry’s remnant moisture moving north and northeast across the Ohio Valley early in the work week. While we’re not expecting excessive rain across central Indiana, rain chances will be on the increase Monday through Wednesday. Thereafter, heat and humidity will be the story as a ridge of high pressure expands over the region. Dangerous heat and humidity is in store, including highs in the middle 90s and lows of 75-80 degrees into next weekend.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/weekly-agwx-and-severe-weather-outlook-6/

VIDEO: Strong Storm Threat NW Tomorrow; Where Will Soon-To-Be Barry’s Remnants Track Next Week?

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