Highlights:
- Isolated PM storm
- Drier and much cooler air coming
- Late week storm chance
Much Cooler Weather On Deck…A secondary cold front will slip through central IN this evening. While most of today will be rain-free, an isolated to widely scattered shower or storm can’t be ruled out as the front moves through later this evening. Following the frontal passage, an unseasonably cool air mass will pour into the area and set up a very pleasant mid week stretch. Hard to beat lower-middle 50s at night and 70s during the day in late June.
Our next chance of rain and storms will arrive Friday. Early indications as of now suggest dry conditions and pleasant temperatures going into the long Independence Day weekend.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.25″-0.50″
The teleconnections aren’t much help in trying to generate longer term thoughts. They would favor more of a “normal” period temperature-wise, locally. (BTW, thanks to the fine folks at MAD US Weather and ESRL for the data below).
Looking at some of the model data, the general consensus is for a warm look to go through the back half of the month, but we caution that we can’t simply “broad brush” the forecast through the EOM as warm and relatively quiet (a note on that in a moment).
As mentioned above, despite an overall warm look on the models there will likely be periods of cooler “jabs” and it sure looks like a rather transient pattern to us across the Mid West and Ohio Valley, featuring more of the sustained heat across the Southwest region. Transient patterns usually also yield for potential wetness and we note the GFS Ensembles trending in that direction to wrap up the month.
In the shorter term, there will also be localized heavy downpours, but it’s a continued case of “haves and have nots.” There won’t be any particular rhyme or reason to the specific placement of heavy, gully-washer type showers and storms mid week.
