Category: Rain

May 28

Less Humid Today…

Screen Shot 2015-05-28 at 7.29.08 AMHighlights:

  • Less humid today
  • Best rain chances Saturday, but plenty of dry time too
  • Much cooler early next week

High pressure and a northeast flow will help provide a much less humid feel today, but it’ll still be warm.  Moisture will slowly increase again Friday and isolated to widely scattered storm coverage will return.  Best rain and storm chances will arrive Saturday afternoon and evening as a cold front passes through the region, but we want to make sure we also stress there will be plenty of dry time, as well.  The big story early next week will be a MUCH cooler air mass moving into the region.  Models are behaving in an inconsistent manner Sunday in regards to the timing and position of the frontal passage.  As of now, we’re leaning towards the drier solutions, but stay tuned.

Upcoming 7-Day rainfall potential: 1″ to 1.2″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/less-humid-today/

May 26

More On The Rain Situation, Or Lack Thereof…

Things are growing a bit dry around these parts.  Officially we’re down 3.25″ for the month and close to 5″ on the year.  (Climate information for IND: http://w2.weather.gov/climate/index.php?wfo=ind)

Rains the past (14) days have favored the central region, falling apart as the systems push east and northeast.  Texas and Oklahoma continue to make news headlines from severe flooding.  – Too much of a good thing all at once.

nws_precip_conus2_14Officially we’re not even listed in the “abnormally dry” shading, but that very well may change with the Thursday update.  Courtesy of the Regional Drought Monitor:

20150519_midwest_noneAnytime you go through May with a significant rainfall deficit it raises a concern for continued dry times going through summer.  Dry typically breeds dry this time of year, and eventually heat.  That said, a strengthening El Nino will fight the recent trend.  Around these parts weak to moderate summer El Ninos tend to yield average (to slightly above) precipitation and average (to slightly below normal) temperatures.  Recent trends, combined with longer term forecasts certainly prove to lead to a battle in the coming weeks and months…

Shorter term as we progress through the coming days, here’s how we currently assess rainfall coverage:

  • Wednesday: Scattered- favoring eastern and southern portions of the state
  • Thursday: Mostly dry
  • Friday: Widely scattered
  • Saturday: Scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms, but many dry hours, as well.
  • Sunday: Scattered coverage

* Rainfall potential through the weekend: 0.50″-1″ for most, with locally heavier totals under stronger storms.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/more-on-the-rain-situation-or-lack-thereof/

May 25

Strong To Severe Storms Possible Tuesday PM…

Screen Shot 2015-05-25 at 7.13.18 PMHighlights:

  • Strong to severe storms possible Tuesday afternoon/ evening
  • Drier skies Thursday-Friday
  • Weekend cold front

hires_ref_indy_28Forecast radar above (courtesy of Weatherbell.com) shows our next weather concern and that has to do with an upper air disturbance moving northeast tonight into Tuesday.  This will likely ignite scattered strong to severe thunderstorms across the area Tuesday afternoon and evening.  Remain weather-aware tomorrow for the possibility of these severe storms. Large hail is the big concern.  Should we see morning sunshine of significance then that would “up the ante” for afternoon severe potential.  We remain in a rather unsettled, warm, and humid pattern this week, but there will be plenty of dry time.  Coverage of thunderstorms Thursday and Friday will be diminished from what we can expect tomorrow and Wednesday.  A cold front will arrive over the weekend, helping to increase shower and thunderstorm coverage.

A blend of short and mid range computer guidance prints out an average of 1.5″-2″ of rain over the upcoming ten days.  This is needed after what’s been several weeks in a row of a lack of widespread rains.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/strong-to-severe-storms-possible-tuesday-pm/

May 21

Great Weekend Weather Ahead…

Screen Shot 2015-05-21 at 10.40.39 PMHighlights:

  • Another chilly start
  • Lots of weekend sunshine
  • Rain chances continue to decrease for the Indy 500
  • More humid times next week

Screen Shot 2015-05-21 at 10.43.59 PM

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

An unseasonably chilly air mass continues to engulf much of the region (shown above).  As we flip the page and head into the long holiday weekend, we’ll note moderating temperatures and increasing humidity levels once to race day.  An isolated or widely scattered storm is possible Sunday, but rainfall coverage continues to diminish with each passing computer model run.  Even if we do see a passing storm Sunday, it’ll likely arrive later in the evening.  A more humid regime will build in here next week and we’ll keep mention of showers and thunderstorms, particularly during the afternoon and evening.  We’ll highlight Tuesday and Wednesday as days with potentially the most widespread coverage of showers and storms.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/great-weekend-weather-ahead/

May 19

Chilly Now; Continuing To Keep A Close Eye On Sunday…

Temperatures are more remenesant of early fall than late May and a stark contrast to the humid 70s to near 80 Monday. As we type this note both the 24…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/chilly-now-continuing-to-keep-a-close-eye-on-sunday/