Category Archives: Rain

BIG Reversal Coming…

Through August and the first half of September, the mean trough position has been located across our part of the country.  This has helped lead to an extended period of below normal temperatures and an early start to fall.

Well below normal temperatures have dominated the first half of September.

You knew summer wouldn’t go away without fighting back at least once more, didn’t you?!  Sure enough, over the next couple of weeks, ridging will expand across the east and this will provide late-season summer heat in the exact area where it’s been coolest month-to-date.

This will deliver temperature anomalies 5° to 10° above average as we traverse the back half of the month, including highs in the mid-to-upper 80s.

Meanwhile, our friends out west (where it’s been warm, month-to-date) will begin to experience early winter-like conditions, including high elevation snowfall across the central and northern Rockies.

Looking ahead, after our period of summer-like conditions comes to an end late month, a more transient (active) pattern should develop.  This will serve to do a couple of things:

  • Lead to a rather wet regime
  • Pops of cold air become increasingly likely behind FROPAs

It’ll be interesting to see what the NEW Weeklies look like today, including the European and JMA.  We’ll post on our thoughts with both later.

No Comments Autumn, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Rain, Summer, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm

Irma’s Remnants Limp Into The Region; Warming Up This Weekend…

Highlights:

  • Showers and breezy conditions thanks to what’s left of Irma
  • Sunshine returns
  • Warmth builds

Irma’s Remnants…What’s left of Irma will begin to impact the state today.  As promised, this won’t be a big deal, locally.  We’ll notice scattered to numerous showers lifting north through the day, continuing Wednesday.  Greatest overall rainfall coverage across central parts of the state should occur tonight into Wednesday.  We’ll also note east and northeast winds gusting over 20 MPH at times.  All in all, not a big weather event in the least for our region and our thoughts and prayers remain with our neighbors to our south beginning clean up/ rebuilding efforts.

High pressure will return as we wrap up the work week and move into the weekend.  Additionally, a southerly air flow will help pump unseasonably warm conditions northward to encompass the Ohio Valley and Mid West.  Our next weather maker will be a cold front that will make a run at the region Monday.  Early indications are this front will “wash out” as it nears the region with only a few showers/ embedded thunder expected.

Looking ahead, much more active times loom as we progress through late September and open October…

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.25″ – 0.50″
No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Irma, Rain, Unseasonably Warm

Monday Evening Rambles: Looking Towards October….

Irma: Irma’s remnants will begin to impact the state Tuesday. We noticed an increasing mid and high level cloud deck today and moisture will spread north to encompass southern Indiana…

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

No Comments AG Report, Autumn, European Model, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Irma, Rain, Summer, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm, Windy

Chamber Of Commerce Weather…

Highlights:

  • Plentiful sunshine
  • Unseasonably cool
  • Watching Irma

High Pressure Dominates…There’s no reason to get “wordy” with the short-term forecast, as high pressure will dominate our region.  This will result in plentiful sunshine, low humidity, and unseasonably cool, refreshing temperatures.  Find time to spend the weekend outside!

All eyes will most certainly be on dangerous Hurricane Irma as she begins to impact the Florida peninsula as early as Saturday.  Our thoughts and prayers are with all in Irma’s path, including interior portions of the southeast that will also deal with hurricane conditions late in the weekend into early next week.  Here on the home front, we still only expect minimal impacts from Irma.  We’ll notice an increasingly gusty easterly breeze late Monday into Tuesday.  Additionally, showers are possible (especially across the southern half of the state) Tuesday.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.10″ – 0.25″
No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Irma, Rain, Unseasonably Cool Weather