Category: Rain
Today can be labeled as the so called “calm before the storm,” as sunny skies greet us out the door. It’ll be a very pleasant Monday with highs in the middle 60s. Sunny skies this morning will turn increasingly cloudy later in the day as moisture continues to stream north associated with Patricia’s remnants.
This morning’s satellite picture:
When we look at the weather picture tomorrow we note the remnant moisture of Patricia continuing to lift north while a cold front approaches from the west. The “squeeze play” that will ensue over the region will be just what the doctor ordered as widespread rain develops during the daytime Tuesday before growing heavy Tuesday night.
8a Tuesday Futurecast
8p Tuesday Futurecast
Overnight Tuesday-Wednesday morning Futurecast
Locally heavy rainfall can be expected. When you average (5) computer models at this point then you get the idea rainfall totals will be somewhere in the range of 1.5″-2″ inches, with locally heavier totals.
Modeled rainfall totals by Wednesday morning
The story after the big rain storm moves away? A very windy and much cooler feel as a strong trough moves into the eastern portion of the country. This will keep temperatures significantly below normal for the 2nd half of the week on into the weekend.
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Highlights:
- Cooler and breezy
- Soaking rain builds in Tuesday
- Watching Halloween
A cold front moved through the area Saturday afternoon and evening and high pressure is now in control with dry skies, cooler temperatures, and breezy conditions. All in all, a beautiful autumn day is on tap! Enjoy!
Remnant moisture of Patricia will track north and team up with a cold front in the Tuesday-Wednesday time period. Embedded thunderstorms and locally heavy rain can be expected. This, of course, is much needed after what’s been a dry time of things the past couple months.
The cold front will sweep through the area Wednesday night and put an end to the rain. Strong northwest winds will usher in a much cooler air mass to wrap up the work week.
We’ll continue monitoring the goings on for Halloween. Models have varied from run to run over the past few days and timing issues will likely continue.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.25″ – 1.75″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/feeling-more-like-fall-rain-builds-in-tuesday/
Highlights:
- Dry, warm, and breezy in the short term
- Weekend rain chances
- Better rain chances next week
The ups and downs of fall continue. It was only a few days ago temperatures were in the 20s and widespread frost and freeze conditions were felt across central IN. Flip forward to Thursday and some neighborhoods will flirt with the 80 degree mark with a gusty SW wind in place. Dry weather will continue through the daytime Friday before we introduce shower chances Friday night. Rain chances continue Saturday.
A cold front will sweep through the area Saturday night and provide a more fall-like feel for the second half of the weekend with increasingly sunny skies as the day progresses.
Our next weather maker will come in the form of a cold front the middle of next week and enough Gulf of Mexico moisture may get entrained into the system to present a better threat of more significant rains than what we’ve seen over the past month, or so. We’ll keep our fingers crossed. Model solutions as of now vary from an absolute deluge (GEM and European) to more of a 0.5″-1″ type event. For now, we’ll “split the difference.”
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1″ – 1.5″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/dry-weather-continues-for-now/
Highlights:
- Breezy open to the work week
- Moderating temperatures
- Weekend rain chances
Two back-to-back freezes were felt across central IN over the weekend, including several reports of middle to upper 20s in neighborhoods away from the city. As we open the work week, our air flow will shift to the SW and help boost temperatures with wind gusts up to 30 MPH Monday afternoon. Dry conditions will prevail until Wednesday when an isolated shower/ sprinkle will be possible.
Better rain chances are expected this weekend as a cold front moves in. Modeling suggests this boundary may be able to tap into just enough Gulf moisture to allow for more widespread rain coverage than what we’ve seen recently. We’ll keep our fingers crossed.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.25″ – 0.50″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/moderating-trend/
*Our annual Winter Outlook will be posted Saturday.* After a chilly start this morning (patchy frost has been reported), sunshine and a gusty SW wind will help temperatures recover into…
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