Category: Labor Day Weekend

Brief Break In The Pattern Gives Us Time To Look Ahead To The Remainder Of Met. Summer; Open To Autumn…

Updated 07.04.23 @ 6:14a

There’s something about the 4th of July that signals a shift within. It’s been this way for me since back in the high school days. Back then, the following week meant 2-a-days were beginning as a new football season was only a few weeks away. Fast forward to today, and I understand some of the big box retailers are preparing to display their fall and Halloween decor over the next couple weeks. SEC Media Days, the unofficial “official” start of the college football season gets rolling in Nashville on July 17th. Heck, before you know it, we’ll be producing our annual winter outlook.

Okay, back to present.

As the Nino continues to mature, we believe the rest of meteorological summer (through end of month August) continues to keep any significant or long lasting heat away from our neck of the woods. In addition, the dry stretch that typically develops at some point each and every summer is also behind us. Simply put, the next 6-7 weeks appear to run near normal from a temperature standpoint and slightly above to above normal from a precipitation perspective. Overall, I prefer to lean on the latest JMA monthly product.

July

Temperatures

Precipitation

August

Temperatures

Precipitation

As we look ahead to autumn, the early call is for a warmer than normal open to fall as a whole. Certainly fits the bill with recent autumn trends…

We note both the JMA and latest European Seasonal product going towards this mild look. More on the entire fall seasonal outlook over the next few weeks.

From our family to yours, we’re wishing you a blessed Independence Day! A fresh batch of storms arrive later Wednesday and our short-term update later tonight will handle the latest look there.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/brief-break-in-the-pattern-gives-us-time-to-look-ahead-to-the-remainder-of-met-summer-open-to-autumn/

Happy Labor Day: Getting To Be That Time Of Year Where Cold Fronts Become A Bit More Potent; Mid-September Pattern Evolution…

Updated 09.05.22 @ 8:45a

I hope this finds you enjoying a relaxing Labor Day. Below are some headlines that have our attention as we progress through the week ahead and look forward to the middle of September.

1.) Brighter Days Ahead: Our region has been under the influence of an area of low pressure and associated upper level trough for the past few days. Unfortunately, gloomy skies will prevail today along with scattered slow moving downpours. While everyone won’t get wet, those that do find themselves under one of these convective downpours could easily pick up a quick 1″+ of rain in under an hour. Thankfully, a drier airmass will begin to build in Tuesday before really taking hold in earnest Wednesday through Friday. This will deliver an increasingly sunny sky and lower humidity levels.

A drier airmass will arrive by midweek. This will allow overnight lows to fall into the 50s for most areas Thursday and Friday mornings.

2.) Potent Weekend Cold Front: When the calendar turns to September, we always have to start paying a little more attention to approaching cold fronts. That, of course, becomes even more the case the deeper into the fall season we go. The fall severe weather season occasionally rivals that of the spring around these parts and temperature changes become more significant as the days go by. This weekend will feature the 1st true autumn-like frontal passage of the young meteorological fall season.

Ahead of the boundary, southerly winds will pull an increasingly moist and unstable airmass northward (you’ll really notice a difference in the airmass Friday morning compared to that of Saturday morning). It also wouldn’t surprise me if the Storm Prediction Center is forced to hoist a risk of severe weather across the Ohio Valley Saturday, including here in Indiana. The front is expected to sweep through the state Sunday morning and then we’ll deal with a brief, but significant, “pop” of much cooler, drier air (coolest so far of the season) as we open up next week.

Moisture will be pulled back northward ahead of an approaching front Saturday.
Note the drastic change in dew points Sunday morning as the fall front progresses east.
Some gusty to severe storms are possible ahead of the front Saturday.

3.) Mid-September Warm Up…Despite the aforementioned “pop” of cooler air to open up next week, all indications continue to point towards another significant warmup with a building ridge over our part of the country as we head into the middle of September. In fact, don’t be shocked if we’re still not quite done with the 90s for the year…

As it sits right now, it appears as if the heat will really start to build towards the end of next week and into the weekend of the 17th. Based on longer range pattern drivers, the balance of the 2nd half of September should run above normal.

An upper ridge will expand over our part of the country through the middle and latter part of September.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/happy-labor-day-getting-to-be-that-time-of-year-where-cold-fronts-become-a-bit-more-potent-mid-september-pattern-evolution/

VIDEO: Setup In Place To Present Localized Flooding Through The Labor Day Holiday…

Updated 09.03.22 @ 6:52a

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-setup-in-place-to-present-localized-flooding-through-the-labor-day-holiday/

VIDEO: Area Of Low Pressure Keeps Things Unsettled At Times Through The Holiday Weekend…

Updated 09.02.22 @ 7:51a

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-area-of-low-pressure-keeps-things-unsettled-at-times-through-the-holiday-weekend/

VIDEO: Looking At The Pattern Into Mid-September…

Updated 09.01.22 @ 7:48a

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-looking-into-the-pattern-into-mid-september/