Updated 06.27.23 @ 7:32a
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Category: Heavy Rain
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/06/27/evolving-wet-stormy-pattern/
Jun 24
Active Sunday On Tap As We Track 2 Rounds Of Storms…
Updated 06.24.23 @ 9:20p
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/06/24/active-sunday-on-tap-as-we-track-2-rounds-of-storms/
Jun 10
Nice Saturday Gives Way To A Wet And Stormy Sunday…
Updated 06.10.23 @ 7:14a
Today is easy. Despite some lingering haze, sunshine will be with us for the better part of the day along with unseasonably pleasant humidity levels. Highs will top out in the middle 80s for most of central Indiana.
Things begin to change overnight as moisture levels rise. For instance, about the time most head off to bed, dew points will still be quite low for this time of year (low 50s), but as we head through the morning and on into the afternoon Sunday, dew points will rise into the muggy 60s. This is all thanks to a surface area of low pressure and associated cold front. These 2 features will deliver the best opportunity for a widespread, soaking rain we’ve seen around these parts in close to 2 months.
We think rain showers early Sunday morning congeal into a more widespread, area-wide rain with embedded thunder late morning into the afternoon and evening hours.
There will also be an opportunity of some stronger storms downstate during this time period.
Rain will end from west to east late Sunday evening into the overnight hours and we’ll be left with an unseasonably cool but dry Monday. By that point, most area rain gauges can expect to pick up between 0.50″ and 1.00″ of badly needed rain, but there will be a few “winners” with amounts well in excess of 1″. Despite the timing of this occurring during the weekend, I don’t suspect we’ll hear many complaints…
More on the week ahead a bit later today in our updated client video discussion.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/06/10/nice-saturday-gives-way-to-a-wet-and-stormy-sunday/
May 11
Rounds Of Showers And Storms Through Mother’s Day Weekend; Pop Of Cooler Air Mid Next Week…
Updated 05.11.23 @ 6a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/05/11/rounds-of-showers-and-storms-through-mothers-day-weekend-pop-of-cooler-air-mid-next-week/
May 10
VIDEO: Back Into The Soup This Weekend…
Updated 05.10.23 @ 6:58a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/05/10/video-back-into-the-soup-this-weekend/
May 07
VIDEO: Muggy And Stormy Open To The Work Week; Cooler Pattern Returns Late Month…
Updated 05.07.23 @8:25p
High resolution guidance continues to grow more and more bullish on another round of rain and thunder Monday morning. Localized heavy rain and vivid lightning is a good bet with this storm cluster. All in all it’s another case of the “messy” specific details regarding placement/ timing of storm clusters in the immediate term, in what’s otherwise been a nice job from global guidance 7-10 days ago.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/05/07/video-muggy-and-stormy-open-to-the-work-week-cooler-pattern-returns-late-month/
Apr 18
Note On Late Week…
Updated 04.18.23 @ 7:15p
Today’s guidance is starting to hone in on the most likely scenario as we close out the work week and head into the weekend. After a couple days of what sure seemed like “far fetched” solutions being printed out by the GFS, it’s trended much closer towards what the European was showing this morning. The model is actually more like a “blend” of the two ideas from this morning.
We continue to believe the initial wave of moisture will arrive Thursday evening (after a very warm and dry day). This will then be followed by a second surge of moisture Friday night into Saturday morning (lasting into Saturday afternoon across eastern Indiana). This second wave of precipitation will likely be more widespread and heavier for the eastern half of the state during the aforementioned time frame. As colder air gets pulled into the region, wrap-around precipitation will mix with wet snow (yet again) Saturday night into Sunday morning. High pressure should then build overhead allowing for the coldest air to settle in Sunday night and Monday morning (potentially with a repeat Tuesday morning depending on the timing of our next system). If skies clear as anticipated, the potential remains for overnight lows to dip into the upper 20s.
As mentioned above, forecast models are now in much better agreement regarding rainfall placement and amounts (heaviest across central and eastern IN) with this event.
We’ll see if these trends hold firm overnight and be sure to cover this (and more) in our Client video discussion Wednesday morning!
Make it a relaxing evening!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/04/18/note-on-late-week/
Apr 17
VIDEO: Ugly Open To The Work Week Ahead Of A Brief Spike In Temperatures; More Pleasant Weather. Hard Freeze Threat Early Next Week…
Updated 04.17.23 @ 7:45a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/04/17/video-ugly-open-to-the-work-week-ahead-of-a-brief-spike-in-temperatures-more-pleasant-weather-hard-freeze-threat-early-next-week/
Mar 26
VIDEO: Gusty Storms Arrive This Evening; Bigger Late Week System On Deck…
Updated 03.26.23 @ 9a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/03/26/video-gusty-storms-arrive-this-evening-bigger-late-week-system-on-deck/
Mar 25
VIDEO: Winds Increase This Afternoon And Tracking Sunday Evening Storms; Strong Storm Potential Late Next Week? Longer Range Outlook Into Mid-April…
Updated 03.25.23 @ 8:08a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/03/25/video-winds-increase-this-afternoon-and-tracking-sunday-evening-storms-strong-storm-potential-late-next-week-longer-range-outlook-into-mid-april/