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Category: Heavy Rain
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/10/19/video-quick-wednesday-evening-video-update/
Oct 18
Much Cooler Times Await On Deck…
Highlights:
- Wet weather moves in from south to north Wednesday PM
- Raw Thursday
- Much cooler, fall weather this weekend
Find The Rain Gear…Most of Wednesday will feature dry conditions with lots of sunshine to start, but clouds will be on the increase and rain will follow. We expect rain coverage to increase from south to north as evening gives way to nighttime. This is all in association with a surface low developing along a stationary boundary to our south. This area of low pressure will track along the Ohio River (Thursday) to the interior northeast (Friday). (Indiana snow enthusiasts know that’s a perfect track for the snowy “goods” if only it was a month, or so, later). We will continue to dream… 🙂
Back to regularly scheduled programming…
Rain will grow in coverage and intensity Wednesday night into early Thursday morning and periods of rain will be with us through the day Thursday. Heaviest rains should fall through the southern half of the state (where localized 2″+ totals are possible). The other weather element we’ll have to deal with Thursday is an increasingly chilly and raw northeast wind shifting to the north late. Temperatures will remain steady and slowly fall by evening.
As the area of low pressure pulls off to the northeast, it’ll help drive the coolest air of the season southward. Patchy frost is possible for outlying areas Saturday morning. Fall foliage should be looking “really nice” this weekend across central IN.
Dry, but breezy, conditions will be with us early next week, but we’re eyeing our next storm system by the middle to latter portions of the week.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1.00″ – 1.50″ (locally heavier amounts southeast)
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/10/18/much-cooler-times-await-on-deck/
Oct 18
VIDEO: Colder Changes To Close The Week; Wet Thursday Ahead…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/10/18/video-colder-changes-to-close-the-week-wet-thursday-ahead/
Oct 17
Warm Winds Give Way To Rain And Cooler Air…
Highlights:
- Warm SW winds
- Cooler air arrives mid week with rain
- Much cooler to close the week
A Little Something For Everyone…The big story over the next 24-48 hours will be unseasonably warm temperatures, but equally as impressive, strong and gusty winds (30-40MPH). Enjoy the extended period of shorts and short sleeves, but please note a “big hair warning” is in effect through Tuesday night. 🙂
A cold front will slip through the state Wednesday (from north to south) and could spark a scattered shower as it drifts south. Eventually the front will stall along the KY border. This is in response to an area of low pressure developing to our southwest. The surface low will lift northeast and help spread widespread soaking rain across the state Thursday. Additionally, we’ll note a much cooler air mass and winds that will shift around to the north in the PM, helping drive a much cooler close to the week. Moderate to locally heavy rainfall can be expected Thursday.
As we get set to put a wrap on the week, we’ll get back to weather we’d expect for this time of year: dry, cool, and crisp! In fact, patchy frost is possible Saturday morning across outlying areas away from the city.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1.00″ – 1.50″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/10/17/warm-winds-give-way-to-rain-and-cooler-air/
Sep 17
Drying Out; Late Season Push Of Summer Air…
Highlights:
- Showers become more scattered this afternoon
- Nice Sunday on deck
- Late season push of summer heat before cooler times
Drying Out Sunday…It was a wet and stormy night across central IN, including locally hefty rainfall totals (some neighborhoods picked up more than 2″). We’ve been dealing with widespread soaking rain across central IN through the morning, but as we progress into the afternoon, most concentrated rain will remain east of the city and on into Ohio. Scattered showers will remain possible until the cold front presses through the region tonight.
High pressure will build overhead Sunday and supply increasing sunshine and a pleasant second half of the weekend. Lower humidity will promote overnight lows into the upper 50s to open the week.
A secondary (weak) front may yield an isolated to widely scattered shower Tuesday, but the bigger story will be late season heat building to close the week. Highs will approach the 90 degree mark by Friday as a big ole ridge expands across the region.
Longer term, a significant cold front looms just beyond the current forecast period that will offer up thunderstorms and a big blast of fall-like air to close the month…
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1.50″ – 2.00″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/09/17/drying-out-late-season-push-of-summer-air/
Sep 16
Turning Unsettled This Afternoon…
The initial push of moisture will ride into central IN this afternoon (likely between 2p-3p time frame). Embedded thunder will be a good bet, but the storms pushing in should be in a weakened state compared to what our neighbors to our west will experience a few hours earlier.
Periods of scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue Saturday. The good news? After the initial round of showers this afternoon, most high school football games could very well be dry tonight.
It won’t rain the entire time Saturday, but scattered storms are a good bet through the day. Some locally heavy rainfall is likely, but rain amounts won’t be uniform. On average 0.75″-1″ is a good bet.
Sunday will be the pick of the weekend as high pressure builds in and supplies a drier air mass. Flipping the page to next week, the big story will be a late season push of summer heat followed by a significant cold front next weekend. Behind this front, a true push of bonafide autumn air will push in. Sweaters and jackets will likely be needed as we put a wrap on September…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/09/16/turning-unsettled-this-afternoon/
Sep 13
VIDEO: Two Cold Fronts This Week And Late Sept. Talk…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/09/13/video-two-cold-fronts-this-week-and-late-sept-talk/
Sep 10
Drier, Cooler Air On Our Doorstep…
Highlights:
- Greatest storm coverage and intensity this morning
- Turning much drier and cooler
- Reinforcing mid week cool air
Turning Much Drier This Evening…It’s been a wet and stormy time of things as of late. Locally heavy rain will continue to accompany stronger storms this morning, but we note greatest storm coverage should begin to shift ENE as the morning progresses into afternoon. Renewed showers will likely develop this afternoon as the cold front moves through the state. We’ll then enjoy a marked NW wind shift this evening and that will help push much drier and cooler air in to help create a true fall feel tonight. The second half of the weekend look beautiful- sunny and crisp!
Much needed dry time will be with us for the balance of the upcoming work week. We note a reinforcing push of cool air mid week that could spark a shower, but rainfall amounts don’t look impressive (the air will be much drier than the “soupy” feel we’ve been dealing with for the past week). A more significant rain-maker should arrive next weekend…
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1″-2″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/09/10/drier-cooler-air-on-our-doorstep/
Sep 08
Periods Of Heavy Rain Then Much Cooler…
A “wavy” frontal boundary will be located over our region through the next 36-48 hours before getting a “shove” south from a cold front Saturday.
The combination of the stationary front along with a tropical-rich air mass in place will be enough in and of itself to produce periods of heavy rain today into Saturday morning. Add in a couple of disturbances moving along the boundary and the heavy rain prospects grow even higher. A strong to severe storm also can’t be ruled out-primarily this afternoon and again Friday afternoon.
Already this morning (6:30a) we note widespread showers and embedded thunder impacting IL and northern IN.
As mentioned, the air mass is plenty “juicy” to fuel locally heavy rain through the period. Precipitable water values (PWATs) will surge north of 2″ for all of central IN later today.
While it won’t rain the entire time, periods of heavy rain will remain in our forecast today through Saturday morning. Widespread 1″-2″ totals will be common, with locally heavier totals.
High pressure will build overhead Sunday and lead to quite the change. A much cooler and drier air mass will return along with brighter skies to wrap up the weekend.
Lows in the middle 50s will be common for the city, itself, Sunday through Tuesday mornings. Upper 40s to lower 50s are a good bet away from the metro.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/09/08/periods-of-heavy-rain-then-much-cooler/
Aug 15
Wet Day; Enhanced Flood Risk Tonight For Some…
The National Weather Service has expanded the Flash Flood Watch to encompass more of the viewing area. This is in effect until 8p Tuesday.
No doubt about it, today will be very wet across the entire region, including periods of heavy rain- especially across the western half of the state.
Tropical moisture will continue to stream into the state tonight into Tuesday. In fact, most intense rains will likely set up tonight and may feature “banding” signatures that would train over the same areas. Within these intense rain bands, prolific rainfall rates can be expected, enhancing the flash flood risk. Latest short-term model data shows this threat, and would place a premium focus on areas generally west of US-31. We’ll have to keep a close eye on things.
Plenty of “juice” is available to tap into across western sections tonight. Precipitable water values (PWATs) of 2″-2.5″ will be more than enough to fuel torrential rainfall.
Eventually (mid and late week), we’ll dry things out and a significant cool down is still in store developing this weekend into early next week. Lows will fall deep into the 50s with highs only in the 70s. Talk about an early taste of fall…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/08/15/wet-day-enhanced-flood-risk-tonight-for-some/