Category: Heavy Rain

Mar 17

VIDEO: Warm And Active Is The Theme To Close March…

Updated 03.17.21 @ 8:23a

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Mar 07

Weekly #AGwx And Severe Weather Outlook…

Updated 03.07.21 @ 8:48a

I. Unseasonably mild open to the week

II. Heavy rain/ potential flooding threat looms late week across OHV

Widespread above normal temperatures can be expected this week. Only exception to this will be across the West and far Southeast.
Above normal precipitation will target the MO Valley and into the western OHV.
We expect between 1″ and 2″ for most of IN in the week ahead.
Widespread significant drought continues across the West, especially Southwest/ Four-Corners region.

Forecast period: 03.07.21 through 03.14.21

While our weather will remain “eerily quiet” to open this forecast period, significant changes await on deck by the 2nd half of the week. These changes will be ushered in from a cold front that will lead to increasing shower (maybe even embedded t-storm) chances Thursday before rain becomes widespread Thursday night into Friday. The GFS and European computer models begin to disagree on the evolution of things next weekend. The GFS stalls the front just to our south before a surface wave of low pressure rides along the boundary over the Saturday-Sunday period. Meanwhile, the European shoves the front off to the south in a quicker fashion, allowing for a drier weekend. We’ll need to keep a close eye on things and update in the days ahead. Should the GFS idea be correct, a flood threat would ensue, including weekend rainfall totals of several inches. We’re not ready to jump on the excessive rainfall idea yet, due to the differences in the handling of the frontal boundary/ associated surface wave, but will keep a very close eye on things. Stay tuned.

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Feb 27

VIDEO: Analyzing Latest Short-Term Heavy Rain Trends; Guidance Trends Colder For The Eastern Seaboard Days 5-10…

Updated 02.27.21 @ 10:15a

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Feb 27

Heavy Rain Axis Shifts North…

Updated 02.27.21 @ 3a

While we’re dealing with areas of light rain early this morning, most of our Saturday will be precipitation-free. That will all begin to chance during the overnight and predawn hours Sunday. Computer model guidance has begun to trend north with the heavy rain axis during this time frame. Southern portions of the state will still get in on the heavy rain show, but it now appears as if there will be a window for heavy rain across more of central Indiana in the 2a-9a window Sunday.

Forecast radar 5a Sunday
Rainfall totals through noon Sunday.

More later this morning in our video update.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/heavy-rain-axis-shifts-north/

Feb 26

VIDEO: Heavy Rain Train Sets Up Along The KY/ IN Border This Weekend…

Updated 02.26.21 @ 7:55a

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