Updated 07.19.22 @ 7:32a
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Category: Heavy Rain
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/07/19/video-line-of-storms-tomorrow-pm-hot-weekend-on-tap-and-looking-ahead-to-a-wet-close-to-the-month-open-to-august/
Jul 18
VIDEO: Time To Dry Out; Heat Builds Through The 2nd Half Of The Week…
Updated 07.18.22 @ 7:24a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/07/18/video-time-to-dry-out-heat-builds-through-the-2nd-half-of-the-week/
Jul 08
Central Indiana Poised To Finally Cash In On Heavy Rains…
Updated 07.08.22 @ 7:30a
0.14″. That’s it in the rainfall department, officially recorded at IND, for the month so far. While several neighborhoods have seen much more rainfall than that, it reiterates just how dry it’s been here for most immediate central Indiana communities. In fact, we have to go all the way back to June 12th to find the last 24 hour period where IND recorded anything close to even half an inch of rain (0.49″).
With all of that said, a combination of ingredients should come together to finally allow a widespread chunk of central Indiana to accumulate hefty rain totals as we get set to close out the work week.
I. We have added forcing from a cold front and wave of low pressure that will move along the boundary as it sags south this evening. This will aid in helping more widespread coverage of rain and thunderstorms fire, especially as we progress into the afternoon and evening.
II. A truly tropical airmass engulfs the region this morning and this will remain in place until the cold front clears the area late tonight. Precipitable water values in excess of 2″ combined with dew points in the lower to middle 70s will allow rain and storms to feed off the juicy air this afternoon and evening. Rainfall rates of 2″+ per hour will be common in the heavier cells. Should storms train over the same areas, flash flooding will likely develop.
III. As the wave of low pressure moves across the state this afternoon and evening, it could help enhance the threat of severe weather, especially along and south of the I-70 corridor. A quick spin-up tornado isn’t out of the realm of possibility but the bigger severe threats appear to be from wet microbursts (damaging wind/ hail).
We anticipate many central Indiana neighborhoods to accumulate at least an inch of rain today with some communities seeing locally heavier totals. Again, where heavier cells train, localized flash flooding will develop.
Eventually the front will settle south and clear the state tonight. This will allow drier and MUCH less humid to return to the region just in time for the weekend. We expect plentiful sunshine, low humidity, and cooler temperatures to dominate through the day Monday.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/07/08/central-indiana-poised-to-finally-cash-in-on-heavy-rains/
Jul 06
VIDEO: Looking At The 2nd Half Of The Week And Into Week 2…
Updated 07.06.22 @ 5:05p
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/07/06/video-looking-at-the-2nd-half-of-the-week-and-into-week-2/
Jul 05
And Then Came The Rain (And Storms)…
Updated 07.05.22 @ 7:58a
A very busy mid-summer pattern will take up residence through the remainder of the week. Multiple storm clusters will ride southeast into the region, some of which will feature severe wind gusts. The Storm Prediction Center includes a threat of severe weather for Indiana today through Thursday (this will likely get extended into the Friday/ Saturday time period before drier, more stable air can work in here).
Localized flash flooding will also become a concern, especially towards mid and late week as these storm clusters track over the same areas. Juicy precipitable water values (2”+) will help feed these storm clusters, turning them into prolific rain makers at times. It should be noted that some central IN communities have missed out on recent rains, so rainfall rates of 2”+ / hour falling on rock hard soils will have no problem running off and leading to flash flooding at times.
Drier air will eventually build in here by the weekend and this will lead to a temporary pull back in rain/ storm coverage, and a much more pleasant airmass. Timing, yet again, is on our side.
Tomorrow is a travel day so please expect a later than normal client video post. Should have things online by mid evening, or so, Wednesday.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/07/05/and-then-came-the-rain-and-storms/
Jun 13
VIDEO: Chance Of Severe Storms This Afternoon; Evening Before The Heat Builds. Much Cooler, Less Humid Weekend On Tap…
Updated 06.13.22 @ 6:40a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/06/13/video-chance-of-severe-storms-this-afternoon-evening-before-the-heat-builds-much-cooler-less-humid-weekend-on-tap/
Jun 11
VIDEO: Stormy Intro And Exit From Hot, Humid Pattern…
Updated 06.11.22 @ 11:24a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/06/11/video-stormy-intro-and-exit-from-hot-humid-pattern/
Jun 06
Weekly Severe And #AGwx Outlook…
Updated 06.06.22 @ 7:50a
Forecast Period: 06.06.22 through 06.16.22
After a calm open to our Monday, a storm system will blow in from the west and lead to an expanding area of storms this afternoon into the evening. From the area in and around Indianapolis and points south, some of these storms could become strong to severe (large hail and damaging winds being of greatest concern). Localized flash flooding is also possible due to the training nature some cells may take. Unfortunately, a rough evening commute is a good bet due to the timing of this storm complex.
After a quiet Tuesday, a similar setup can be expected of that from today on Wednesday. We’ll time the afternoon and evening hours for the arrival of the unsettled, stormy conditions. Additional chances of strong to severe storms will be likely, including threats that are similar to today.
Finally, another system will deliver a round of showers and storms Friday. The good news is that for the 3rd consecutive weekend, it appears as if the area will enjoy pleasant weather, including unseasonably cool, refreshing temperatures.
As we flip the page to next week, the week will open with a similar pattern dominating (northwesterly flow aloft) that will have to be monitored for the likelihood of additional storm clusters. Thereafter, models are in a bit of a disagreement on what takes place with building heat to our west. It’s possible this hot dome nudges far enough east to heat us up the middle of next week. With that said, indications are that even if this is the case, we wouldn’t see prolonged hot, humid times that our friends across the southern Plains and Southwest are contending with.
10-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.5” to 2” (localized heavier amounts in excess of 2” will be likely where storms train).
Notes and Asides: Have been on the road the past few days. Travel day tomorrow but will be back at home base by evening. As such, please expect a delay in tomorrow’s post. We’ll have a client video posted towards late afternoon.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/06/06/weekly-severe-and-agwx-outlook/
Jun 01
VIDEO: Unsettled 24 Hours Before Drier And Cooler Air Arrives To Close The Week; Wet Times Of Things Next Week…
Updated 06.01.22 @ 5:56a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/06/01/video-unsettled-24-hours-before-drier-and-cooler-air-arrives-to-close-the-week-wet-times-of-things-next-week/
May 25
VIDEO: Unsettled Through Friday, But The Trade Off Will Be Well Worth It Just In Time For The Busy Holiday/ Race Weekend…
Updated 05.25.22 @ 8:06a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/05/25/video-unsettled-through-friday-but-the-trade-off-will-be-well-worth-it-just-in-time-for-the-busy-holiday-race-weekend/