Category Archives: Heavy Rain

Still Warm, But Much More Active…

So far, May-to-date has run well above average in the temperature department (+8.5°) and below average from a precipitation perspective.  While we’ll continue to run much warmer than normal through the second half of the month, we’ll begin to make up for “lost time” in the rainfall department, and that starts this week.

Daily chances of showers and thunderstorms are included in your latest 7-day and, at times, storm complexes will likely reach strong to severe levels as disturbances ride the periphery of an upper level ridge off to our south.  It certainly won’t rain the entire time over the upcoming week and we’ll still enjoy more dry hours than wet and stormy.  That said, for a region running around 1.5″ below average, the more active times will be a welcome sight for many.  By next Sunday, we expect many area rain gauges to accumulate 1.5″ to 2.5″ of rain with locally heavier amounts.

Warmth will continue to dominate through the next couple of weeks.
For a change, above normal precipitation is expected over the upcoming week.
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Tracking Storms To Close The Work Week Before A Fantastic Saturday!

Storms are ongoing across northern portions of the state this evening and these will continue into the wee morning hours, as illustrated by the latest high resolution forecast radar products.

Forecast radar at 1a Thursday.

As we progress into the predawn hours, we’ll notice increasing coverage of shower and thunderstorm activity across central Indiana.  It sure appears as if the Thursday morning commute will feature noisy storms, including locally heavy rain.

Forecast radar at 8a Thursday.

After the morning round of storms scoots off to the east, drier times are forecast to arrive through the early afternoon, but storms should quickly redevelop during the evening hours, continuing in scattered fashion into the first half of Friday.

Forecast radar at 6p Thursday.

Finally, as the front passes Friday afternoon, a line of strong storms may impact southern Indiana prior to sunset Friday.  Here across central Indiana, we’ll notice a drier brand of air working in from northwest to southeast through the evening hours.

Forecast radar at 7p Friday.

Thoughts haven’t changed with respect to rainfall totals: 0.50″ to 1″ with locally heavier amounts, especially across northern portions of the state.

High pressure returns Saturday and will help set up a fantastic weather day.  We’ll enjoy an increasingly sunny sky and pleasant temperatures topping out in the middle 70s Saturday afternoon.  It’ll be a perfect day for those Cinco de Mayo and Derby festivities!

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Week Ahead: Cool Continues To Dominate…

A significant spring storm system will continue to grab headlines through the short-term. In addition to a raging blizzard across the northern tier into the Great Lakes, severe weather will be an issue across the deep South today.  Here on the home front, morning rain will give way to drier conditions for the afternoon and evening hours only to return yet again tonight and into Sunday morning.

At times, rain will fall at a moderate to heavy intensity tonight into Sunday, especially across the eastern half of the state.  Additional rainfall totals of 1″ to 2″ can be expected in and around the city, itself, and points east.

The other item of interest tonight will be the tight temperature gradient across the state.  Don’t be surprised by perhaps as much of a 30° spread from north to central parts of the state this evening as the “backdoor” cold front begins to drop south.  You’ll certainly notice once the front passes.

Eventually, cold will overwhelm and the second half of the weekend will wrap up on a downright “raw” note.  As precipitation wraps around the area of low pressure Sunday night and Monday, it’ll fall as snow here.  In fact, snowfall intensity is likely to be great enough to put down a coating in spots Monday morning across central Indiana.

Drier weather returns Tuesday before a weak weather system deliver gusty winds and a possible shower Wednesday (not a big deal).  The majority of the upcoming week will run well below average- highlighted by the coldest day on Monday and reinforcing chill Thursday and Friday.

Our next storm system of significance will be slated for an arrival next weekend. While we’ll have to fine tune timing as we get closer, plan on increasing rain chances as the day progresses next Saturday.

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