Category: Hail
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Hail, Heavy Rain, Independence Day, Rain, Severe Weather, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather
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June 28, 2014
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A warm front is lifting north through the region this morning and rain will continue to expand in coverage this morning as the front lifts north. Sunshine will then quickly build back into central Indiana this afternoon, along with plenty of humidity. We’ll get back into the scattered afternoon/ evening “splash and dash” thunderstorm regime later today and again Sunday. Looking further ahead, concern is growing about a potential severe weather event here Monday and we’ll have an additional post later this weekend discussing this potential in more detail. For now, plan to pay special close attention to Monday’s forecast with damaging severe weather potential in play (all modes of severe weather at hand). We still forecast a MUCH cooler, drier regime building in mid week and remaining in place through the upcoming holiday weekend.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/humid-weekend-severe-potential-monday/
The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Slight Risk of severe weather that includes central Indiana, primarily for potential thunderstorms late today and tonight.
Primary Threats:
- Large hail
- Damaging straight line winds
Discussion:
There are a few questions regarding the potential of severe weather across our immediate region. It’s unclear how leftover outflow boundaries from thunderstorms during the overnight will interact as they push east. That said, it’s possible these boundaries could help ignite a couple of clusters of thunderstorms across Iowa and Illinois later this afternoon. This activity would then ride southeast. Should we get storms to fire, they would likely hold together as they approach western and central Indiana. CAPE will reach 2000-2200 J/kg this evening and low level moisture will be on the uptick, as well. We’ll have an updated post this afternoon after we have a chance to see if convection (thunderstorms) fires to our west.
Enjoy your Saturday morning!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/severe-threat-later-tonight-but-questions-abound/
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Hail, Heavy Rain, NAM Model, Rain, Severe Weather, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Warm, Weather Videos, Windy
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June 17, 2014
Good afternoon! We wanted to cut a video discussing our thinking around timing and primary threats from any severe weather that gets going across central Indiana tomorrow evening.
4km NAM forecast radar suggests a stormy time of things Wednesday evening. We discuss in your afternoon video update!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/focusing-on-wednesday-evening-severe-potential/
Our nice weekend is set to continue for another 18-24 hours with another unseasonably cool night ahead. While humidity will increase during the afternoon Sunday, most of Sunday will be dry, albeit warmer. High temperatures will climb into the middle 80s for many central Indiana communities.
Times will begin to change as we go into Sunday night as just the beginning of a series of convective elements come together to impact the region through Tuesday. Thunderstorms will likely rumble into far western portions of the state as early as 4-5pm. Speaking of far western portions of Indiana, the updated severe weather outlook from the Storm Prediction Center highlights western Indiana for a slight risk of severe thunderstorms. Again, this is a late day severe weather risk with damaging wind and large hail of greatest concern.
Forecast simulated radar shows the convection rumbling east Sunday night and most of central and eastern Indiana get in on the thundery action before Sunday is finished. Here’s a look at what the radar may look like from 8pm Sunday to midnight Monday morning.
While the storms will likely weaken as they track east, a strong thunderstorm or two is certainly possible for the greater Indianapolis region Sunday night. We’ll keep you posted with future updates. Have a relaxing Saturday night.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/sunday-night-thunder/
Wed. Thr. Fri. Sat. Sun. Mon. Tue. 64/ 77 57/ 75 53/ 75 52/ 80 63/ 78 60/ 74 52/ 78 Moderate –…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/severe-storms-south-today-breath-of-fresh-air-coming/
