Category: GFS

From 76 Today To Snow Monday Night…

Today will be a beauty of a day- partly to mostly cloudy, windy, and warm.  We’re forecasting an official IND high of 76.  Clouds thicken this evening and showers and…

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The Weekend Is Here!

After a few clouds this morning, we’re looking at increasing sunshine as we progress through the day.  Simulated satellite shows this well.

7am forecast satellite

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2pm forecast satellite

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Thankfully, this is a sign of things to come and a very nice (and warm) weekend is on tap!

High pressure will build in through the day, helping skies turn increasingly sunny.  A north breeze will keep temperatures cooler today than yesterday’s official downtown high of 74.

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Most of Saturday will be dry and feature partly cloudy skies, but clouds will develop and a widely scattered shower will be possible during the afternoon and evening as moisture begins to increase.  Most will stay dry Saturday, however.

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Sunday will be a windy and warm day, but with partly cloudy and dry conditions for the better part of the day.  Heavier rain and strong storms will develop to our west Sunday, but it’s really not until Sunday night into Monday when our immediate region will deal with this rainy and stormy weather.

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  • Friday: Increasing sunshine; 65
  • Saturday: Partly cloudy; widely scattered PM shower; 43/ 71
  • Sunday: Partly cloudy and windy; developing nighttime rain/storms; 59/ 73

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Taste Of True Spring Coming, But Another Shot Of Winter On Deck…

Wed.

Thr.

Fri.

Sat.

Sun.

Mon.

Tue.

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36/ 58

44/ 70

49/ 63

43/ 70

56/ 68

39/ 56

28/ 40

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Light

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Light

Moderate

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Custom IndyWx.com Forecast Updated 04.09.14 @ 8:31a

Sunshine Returns; Warming Up. . .Instability-driven thundershowers developed Tuesday afternoon across central Indiana and even produced small hail in a few locations, especially east of the city.  Thankfully though the sunshine we experienced Tuesday evening is a sign of things to come for the mid week stretch.  We forecast a mostly sunny to partly cloudy sky both today and Thursday, along with moderating temperatures.

A strong southwest breeze will help usher in potentially the first 70 degree day of the year Thursday.  We also note winds may gust upwards of 30 MPH (especially in the open country) Thursday afternoon.

Late Week Front. . .A cold front will move through the region during the day Friday.  Latest model data suggests a little more moisture will be available than we thought earlier this week and as a result we’ll hit the shower and potential thundershower chance a little harder Friday.  Anywhere from 0.25-0.50 of rain will be possible with this system as it moves through the area.

Watching The Weekend. . .While Friday’s front will only make it so far south, we’re still thinking Saturday will be rain-free for the majority of central Indiana.  We’ll note the threat of a shower down state and keep a close eye on things, but for now we’ll keep Saturday’s forecast dry and warm.  Get out there and enjoy a beautiful day!

Our next storm system will take aim on the region Sunday.  As such, clouds will increase and shower and thunderstorm chances will be on the rise as we go through the day.  We do note a rather large range in model forecast temperatures Sunday between the middle 70s per the European data to the lower 60s per the GFS.  For now, we’ll split the difference and forecast upper 60s Sunday with increasing rain chances as we progress through the day.  Stay tuned.

Brief, But Potent Blast Of Winter Chill. . .Another significant rain maker will blow through the region Sunday night into Monday.  At this early stage in the game, there’s a rather high probability of moderate to heavy rainfall (greater than 1″), but the bigger story will likely be the blast of winter-like chill that will invade next Monday night into Tuesday.  In fact, there may be just enough moisture lingering to result in some light snow or flurries Tuesday as the cold air pours in.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1″ – 1.5″
  • 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″

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Looking At Tonight’s Weather And Another Storm Monday…

Good evening.  It’s been a busy day across central Indiana and we’re not finished just yet.  While the heaviest rains and strong to severe thunderstorms targets southern parts of the…

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Where We’ve Been And Where We’re Going…

It was a cold winter across the Lower 48, including Indiana:

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March has followed suite, month-to-date:  Cold continues for the majority of the upcoming week, but we note moderating late week temperatures.

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It’s been dry as of late, but after a snowy winter, the region is doing just fine from a drought perspective.  We note abnormally dry conditions west:

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Latest CFSv2 data points to a wet spring ahead.  We also note the latest European weeklies suggesting a potentially “busy” 1st half of April, including a couple of “bowling ball” systems of note.  With the changing seasons, it’s not unusual to see big spring cut off lows slowly moving through portions of the country.

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Note the GFS (7-day) and Canadian (10-day) precipitation forecast:

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We also are still forecasting light snow Tuesday.  Most of this won’t accumulate with the high sun angle and low snowfall rates, but a brief coating to less than an inch is possible in spots:

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