Category: Forecast Models

One sure would be hard-pressed to find an August evening that is more fall-like than today.  Heck, a check of temperatures even at the 3 o’clock hour across central IN revealed levels more typical of early October.  – Your’s truly isn’t complaining.  As I write this post just before 10p Friday evening, I’m fireside with a temperature in the upper 50s in Whitestown.  Call me crazy, but I’ll take it- even if it is a couple months early!

All across the Midwest temperatures are running 10° to 15° below normal at the 9p hour.

As we look ahead, Saturday is certainly the pick of the weekend.  Mixed clouds and sun will be with us for the balance of the day before we turn increasingly overcast late.  While temperatures will remain significantly below normal, it’ll be a very refreshing day and feel more like early-September (mid-upper 70s).

As mentioned, clouds will increase, lower, and thicken Saturday evening and widespread rain will follow.  This is all in association with our next approaching storm system that promises to result in a rather damp and unseasonably cool second half of the weekend.  Forecast radar timestamps Sunday morning into the afternoon show the overall widespread coverage of rain showers and embedded thunder.  We suggest indoor weekend plans Sunday.

Unsettled weather will continue into early Monday across the state.  By the time all is said and done, rainfall totals of 1″-1.5″ can be expected, including locally heavier amounts where thunderstorms develop.  Additionally, with the clouds and wet weather Sunday, temperatures will likely remain in the 60s most of the day.

As we push into the new work week, drier air will regain control of our region and high pressure should provide a stretch of pleasant (unseasonably cool) conditions through midweek.

Rain and storm chances will increase once again during the second half of next week as our next storm system approaches.  While we’ll moderate back to seasonal levels late-week, data suggests another blast of refreshing air will blow into town next weekend.  It’s far too early to signal “summer over,” but the early blasts of fall-like air do have to “raise an eyebrow” for what autumn may provide the region.  We’re in the camp of believing central IN is in position for earlier than normal frost risks…  Much more on that later.

Reinforcing cool air establishes itself in the 8-10 day period.