Updated 08.24.23 @ 7:51a
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Category: Forecast Discussion
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/08/24/video-heat-gives-way-to-unseasonably-cool-run-up-to-the-labor-day-weekend/
Aug 23
Dinnertime Rambles: Labor Day Weekend Chatter; MJO Rumblings…
Updated 08.23.23 @ 6:09p I. Hottest conditions banked up against our far western counties today where temperatures climbed into the middle 90s. Heat indices topped the lower 100s in the…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/08/23/dinnertime-rambles-labor-day-weekend-chatter-mjo-rumblings/
Aug 23
VIDEO: Keeping An Eye On Storm Chances; BIG Heat Takes A Back Seat Early Next Week…
Updated 08.23.23 @ 7:50a While the heat and humidity grab headlines (and rightfully so), we’ll have to keep close eyes on the potential of outflow boundaries offering up some cooling…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/08/23/video-keeping-an-eye-on-storm-chances-big-heat-takes-a-back-seat-early-next-week/
Aug 22
VIDEO: Heat & Humidity Grab Headlines For Now; Scattered Strong Late Week Storm Potential As Heat Breaks?
Updated 08.22.23 4:45a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/08/22/video-heat-scattered-strong-late-week-storm-potential-as-heat-breaks/
Aug 21
VIDEO: Dry Times; Serious Heat This Week Trends Much More Refreshing By The Weekend…
Updated 08.21.23 @ 7:55a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/08/21/video-dry-times-serious-heat-this-week-trends-much-more-refreshing-by-the-weekend/
Aug 20
VIDEO: Heat Breaks Over The Upcoming Weekend…
Updated 08.20.23 @ 8:17a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/08/20/video-heat-breaks-over-the-upcoming-weekend/
Aug 19
VIDEO: Pleasant Now But Heat Builds In The Week Ahead; Quick Look At September…
Updated 08.19.23 @ 9:40a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/08/19/video-pleasant-now-but-heat-builds-in-the-week-ahead-quick-look-at-september/
Aug 18
Long Range Outlook Flips The Page Into Meteorological Fall…
Updated 08.18.23 @ 4:35a
Despite the blazing heat that awaits in the week ahead, another push of unseasonably cool and refreshing air that we’ll enjoy to open the weekend is a sign that autumn isn’t that far away.
As the El Niño continues to strengthen heading into fall, we’re bullish here at IndyWx.com that an unseasonably warm start to autumn is on tap. While not nearly as hot as what the week ahead will entail, we think we’ll remain close enough to the ‘mean’ upper ridge position to result in at least slightly to moderately above normal temperatures for September as a whole (say in the + 1.5° to + 3° range).
The latest European extended product and JMA Weeklies back this idea up, including a drier than normal look. While we’ll have to be on guard for the potential of ridge rider storm clusters as the ridge retrogrades west at times, the overall pattern through at least mid-September sure appears drier than normal as a whole.
While not quite as toasty, the GFS extended product is also painting a dry regime into mid-September.
From a temperature perspective into mid September, we prefer a blend of what the JMA/ Euro and GFS are suggesting. Again, slightly warmer than normal overall o/ the upcoming 3-4 week period.
As we evolve deeper into September and closer to early October, we believe the threat of an early season cold blast, including frost threat will show up a few weeks earlier than normal this season. This likely won’t be a full scale, permanent shift to cold, but rather a chilly “jolt.” Given the evolving Niño, we’ll have to likely wait until later into October before we have something more meaningful and sustained from a cold weather standpoint. . .
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/08/18/long-range-outlook-flips-the-page-into-meteorological-fall/
Aug 17
Cold Front Offers Up PM Storms & Reinforces Pleasant Weekend Airmass; Heat Is On Next Week…
Updated 08.17.23 @ 6:04a
A quiet start to the day will give way to a noisy lunchtime period as a line of thunderstorms drops in from the northwest.
Vivid lightning, brief gusty winds, and heavy downpours can be expected.
The Storm Prediction Center has hoisted a ‘marginal’ risk of severe today. Widespread severe weather isn’t anticipated with this frontal passage.
Our unseasonably cool, pleasant airmass we’ve enjoyed the past couple days will be reinforced with this frontal passage. Lows tomorrow and Saturday morning will dip into the upper 40s in outlying areas. Dry and sunny conditions will compliment the early fall-like air. Soak it up as a period of unseasonably hot weather still awaits next week.
The byproduct of the sprawling ridge above? A week ahead with highs well into the 90s and an extended period of dry, sunny weather.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/08/17/cold-front-offers-up-pm-storms-heat-is-on-next-week/
Aug 16
The Theme Of The Summer Rolls Along…
Updated 08.16.23 @ 7:26a
Most Hoosiers woke up to a hint of autumn this morning. We’re getting to that point on the calendar where we typically hear that most aren’t ready for the cooler days of autumn that are literally on the doorstep. If you find yourself in that club, take heart in knowing the hottest air of the season awaits next week as an upper level ridge expands overhead for a period of time.
This should feature multiple days next week with high temperatures into the low-mid 90s, however, this will at least be a “drier” heat compared to most other spells this summer. Most, if not all, of next week will be free of any rain along with plentiful sunshine. Aside from the big time heat, a quiet week is in store.
In looking at the long range charts, we see something similar with the ‘mean’ ridge position as it retrogrades west towards the Day 10-15 period. This should pull the more significant heat west and open us up for wetter times as we push into early September.
Perhaps the threat of some late summer/ early autumn ridge riding storm complexes are in our future? Regardless, while the upcoming week will feature significant heat, like so many other patterns this summer, there continues to be a light at the end of the hot tunnel before the “hot” pattern begins.
- Another note that will require our attention over the course of the upcoming couple weeks? The tropics. After a very quiet time of things, it sure appears as if activity will be on the uptick just in time for us to approach the peak of the season.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/08/16/the-theme-of-the-summer-rolls-along/