Category: Forecast Discussion
Severe clear can be used to sum up the start to our Sunday. High pressure is in control and will result in a sun-filled day with temperatures trying their best…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/03/sunday-morning-a-look-at-where-weve-been-and-where-were-going/
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Filed under European Model, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, GFS, Hail, Heavy Rain, JAMSTEC, Summer, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Winter thoughts...
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August 2, 2014
Happy Saturday! Upper level energy will hang around the region today, creating a continued chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms. Similar to Friday, a few of these could be strong…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/02/saturday-morning-rambles-3/
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60/ 81
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60/ 82
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60/ 83
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60/ 84
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61/ 86
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62/ 84
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64/ 83
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Upper Level Disturbance…An upper level disturbance will help lead to better coverage of shower and thunderstorm activity later this afternoon and again Saturday. While everyone won’t get wet, more neighborhoods can expect to see a passing storm than the past couple of days. Temperatures will remain below seasonal levels.
Drying Out And Warming Up…We’ll build a drier and warmer picture into your forecast for the back half of the weekend on into the first half of the new work week. High pressure should supply a partly cloudy sky and while temperatures will moderate from the cool readings of late, they certainly won’t be too hot for early August. All-in-all, very comfortable readings can be expected with lots of sunshine.
Watching A Potential Late Week Storm…Forecast model guidance is a bit inconsistent at this time period, but we’re still eyeing the next chance of showers and thunderstorms towards the end of next week. More details to come as we move forward.
7-Day Precipitation Outlook:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″-1.00″
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″
Upper level energy will move overhead late today and Saturday and help lead to better coverage of showers and thunderstorms.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/01/unsettled-1st-half-of-the-weekend/
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, European Model, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, GFS, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm
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July 31, 2014
Thr. Fri. Sat. Sun. Mon. Tue. Wed. 58/ 80 60/ 81 60/ 81 59/ 82 62/ 84 63/ 86 66/ 87 …
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/07/31/focusing-on-saturday/
Tonight’s video update takes a closer look at rain and embedded storm chances over the course of this evening and again Wednesday. Additionally, we look more in-depth at the mid…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/07/29/tuesday-evening-video-update-cooler-than-normal-pattern-continues/
July 2014 is already much cooler than normal month-to-date across the Ohio Valley and Mid West region. With a continued much cooler than normal pattern in place through month’s end,…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/07/29/early-fall-feel-continues/
Mon. Tue. Wed. Thr. Fri. Sat. Sun. 58/ 71 50/ 73 56/ 78 54/ 78 57/ 80 57/ 80 57/ 79 Trace 0.05″-0.10″…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/07/28/autumn-feel/
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Autumn, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, NAM Model, Rain, Severe Weather, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather
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July 27, 2014
Good morning and happy race day Indy! This morning’s visible satellite shows our cold front off to the northwest still. The pre-dawn storms have exited to the southeast, but we…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/07/27/sunday-morning-weather-rambles/
Concern continues to grow in regards to a possible enhanced damaging wind threat with an evolving complex of storms Saturday night. It wouldn’t surprise us to see the Storm Prediction…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/07/25/enhanced-damaging-wind-threat-saturday-night/
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Flooding, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Heavy Rain, Rain, Severe Weather, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather
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July 25, 2014
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54/ 77
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64/ 87
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70/ 84
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58/ 70
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52/ 73
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49/ 78
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52/ 79
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0.10″
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0.50″-1.00″
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0.50″-1.00″
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We’re keeping a close eye on showers and thunderstorms to our northwest (across Iowa and Minnesota) this morning as these will continue to drop southeast with time today. We know we’ll see clouds increase locally from this complex of storms and some of the latest short-term model data brings in light rain during the afternoon as the complex drops southeast into IL and IN- though in a much weaker state. We’ll include mention of an afternoon shower due to this.
As we move into the weekend concern remains around the possibility of multiple thunderstorm complexes impacting our area. The Storm Prediction Center includes us in a Slight Risk of severe weather Saturday and Sunday, including the chance of some storms producing a damaging wind and hail threat. We target Saturday morning and again Saturday night and Sunday for the best chances of thunderstorm complexes. Saturday night/ Sunday morning may provide the greatest risk of severe storms, and we’ll continue to monitor. We also note high precipitable water values present this weekend suggesting the threat of some localized flooding where storms train. Widespread 1″ rainfall can be expected this weekend, but we do caution some areas will see locally heavier totals in excess of 2″.
A much cooler, drier and fall-like feel is still slated to blow into town early next week, setting the stage for an incredible close to July and open to August!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/07/25/stormy-weekend-before-another-push-of-autumn-weather/