Jul 12
Updated 07.12.24 @ 6:49a (4). That’s the consecutive number of days we’ve gone so far this summer with temperatures at, or above, the 90° mark and took place between June…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2024/07/12/long-range-update-worst-of-the-summer-heat-dryness-behind-us-for-the-year/
Jul 01
Updated 07.01.24 @ 4:43p Officially, we remain ENSO “neutral” as of this post, but the transition to La Nina is well underway. I suspect we’ll see an official classification to…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2024/07/01/looking-at-the-remainder-of-meteorological-summer/
Jun 21
Updated 06.21.24 @ 7:45a The theme as we enter the weekend will continue to be a dry one, along with increasingly hot temperatures. Low-mid 90s will be common each afternoon…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2024/06/21/the-dry-theme-continues-for-now-keeping-an-eye-on-sunday-and-mid-next-week/
Jun 19
Updated 06.19.24 @ 6:18a Officially, we’re in ENSO neutral at present and this is expected to remain the case through July. Thereafter, we will likely transition into a weak La…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2024/06/19/wednesday-morning-rambles-thoughts-on-the-pattern-as-we-get-into-the-2nd-half-of-meteorological-summer/
Jun 03
Updated 06.03.24 @ 7p It’s been a nice start to the work week! Unfortunately, storm chances will be on the increase as we navigate the next 48 hours. We dive…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2024/06/03/video-storm-chances-return-and-tracking-another-cool-refreshing-pattern-on-the-horizon/
May 28
Updated 05.28.24 @ 7:10a Most of today will be on the dry side. That is until we get to this evening when cool air reinforcements (secondary FROPA) will knock on…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2024/05/28/video-pattern-evolution-into-the-1st-half-of-june/
May 10
Updated 05.10.24 @ 5a As we look ahead to the long range pattern for the 2nd half of May and early June we see a lack of heat and a…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2024/05/10/video-long-range-musings-to-close-out-may-and-open-june/
Apr 26
Updated 04.26.24 @ 7:19a
Our Friday is off to a pleasant start but a few showers and embedded thunder will push across the state later this afternoon and evening as a warm front lifts north across the region. This will place Indiana in an increasingly warm, moist airmass over the weekend and on into early and middle portions of next week. Rounds of heavier rain and storms are expected next week ahead of a brief push of cooler, drier air heading into the first weekend of May…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2024/04/26/video-talking-storms-and-wetter-trends-next-week/
Feb 10
Updated 02.10.24 @ 7:20a
Though we still have a few weeks left of meteorological winter, spring and the #Plant24 season will be here before we know it! The headlines that we anticipate to claim the coming months include the following:
Long range, seasonal forecast models, continue to show the current El Niño collapsing and moving swiftly towards a La Niña late spring and early summer.
This transition will certainly have impacts on the anticipated precipitation and potential of a busier severe weather season this spring. We forecast a rather swift Nino collapse and subsequent onset of La Niña, which ups the ante for a wet spring, not only locally, but across a widespread chunk of the country. Undoubtedly, this could lead to plant24 impacts (delays) at times.
Seasonal products see the above average rain expected for spring 24.
From a temperature perspective, we forecast widespread milder than normal temperatures as a whole for the season across the northern tier, including central Indiana. We caution though that the way we get to slightly (1° to 2° above normal on the season) milder overall may include wild swings through the season. For example, we forecast a colder than normal 1st half of March, the potential of a significant flip to warmer the 2nd half and a cooler pattern to return for the bulk of April.
IndyWx.com Spring/ #Plant24 Outlook for central Indiana:
Wishing the best of luck and positive vibes to all in the months ahead, especially our #AGwx partners. Happy spring!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2024/02/10/spring-plant24-outlook/
Feb 07
Updated 02.07.24 @ 1:39p
Today’s midday computer guidance is trending more bullish for trailing energy to deliver heavier precipitation across central IN and the Ohio Valley. While there are many more questions than answers with respect to precipitation type, confidence is increasing significantly that a period of more significant precipitation will come at us in (2) waves this weekend into early next week: Saturday and again Monday.
Today’s ensemble guidance (12z total precipitation GEFS and EPS shown below) is showing a northward adjustment in more significant moisture into the Ohio Valley over the weekend into early next week.
We’ll continue to closely monitor the trends over the next couple of days but as of now, we feel confident enough to hit the prospects of rain harder Saturday (still nothing overly heavy but certainly more than guidance suggested over the past few days) and another period of widespread precipitation to open the new work week on Monday. As colder air works into the region over the weekend, this secondary wave of moisture may feature more in the way of wintry conditions across at least a portion of the area. Far too early for specifics beyond this overall idea for this time period, but should wet snow work into the picture for some, the recent warm ground and marginal temperatures would likely limit pavement impacts. As colder air becomes more significant and entrenched down the road, winter weather headlines will likely become more frequent late Feb into March…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2024/02/07/lunchtime-rambles-trends-for-the-weekend-and-early-next-week/