Category: Autumn

First Winter Storm System Of The Season…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/11/14/first-winter-storm-system-of-the-season/

Tuesday Evening Rambles: Notes On Wednesday Night-Thursday…

After reviewing the latest data, we wanted to take a moment to provide a couple of take-aways on the storm system that will impact the region tomorrow night and Thursday.…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/11/13/tuesday-evening-rambles-notes-on-wednesday-night-thursday/

Complex Thursday Event; Looking Ahead To Thanksgiving Week…

A complicated storm system will result in a mixed bag of precipitation for some and mostly wet snow for others Thursday. We need another 24 hours to “firm up” the…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/11/13/complex-thursday-event-looking-ahead-to-thanksgiving-week/

Looking At A Busy (Wintry) Week Ahead…

I.  A weak weather system will result in light precipitation (mostly snow) overspreading central and northern portions of the state later this evening into the overnight.  Moisture looks less and less impressive with each and every model run, but we’ll still go with a slushy coating to less than 1″ for the city, itself with a general 1″ to 2″ of wet snow for communities off to the north of the city.  Additionally, a lake effect snow band should get going Tuesday morning and this band may make it south into east-central Indiana in a weakened state.

Light snow will overspread the region tonight. Image courtesy of Weathermodels.com.

II.  Another push of unseasonably cold air will pour south into the region behind this storm system and set the stage for a potentially interesting time of things when a new storm system approaches a bit later in the week…

III.  A very complex storm system will impact the area Thursday.  While there are many details that are yet to be worked out, someone across the mid-south into the Ohio Valley will likely get a “plowable” snow out of this event.  Initially, available cold air will be marginal, but with an expected strong upper level low, this storm system is likely to “manufacture” its’ own cold air and result in a swath of heavy, wet snow to the north and northwest of where the upper low tracks.  Stay tuned.

Behind this storm, you guessed it- cold air will reinforce itself across the region heading into next weekend!

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/11/12/looking-at-a-busy-wintry-week-ahead/

1st Accumulating Snow Event Of The Season (For Most) Arrives Monday…

The first accumulating snow event of the young 2018-2019 season is upon us.  Thankfully, this won’t be any sort of “blockbuster” storm, but instead serve to gently “ease us” into the new snow season.

Upper level energy will eject out of the Plains today and push towards the Ohio Valley Monday.  At the same time, surface low pressure will develop along the Gulf Coast before scooting off to the eastern seaboard and tracking north Monday night and Tuesday.  Initially, it’ll take some time to moisten up what will be a relatively dry air mass, but a mix of cold rain and wet snow should begin making it to the surface during the late morning and early afternoon.

8a forecast radar. Image courtesy of Weathermodels.com.

Precipitation will become more widespread as we push into the late afternoon and early evening hours with the predominant precipitation type by this time falling in the form of snow across central Indiana- including Indianapolis.

6p forecast radar. Image courtesy of Weathermodels.com.

Widespread light snow will be falling tomorrow night across the region.

Forecast radar 10p Monday. Image courtesy of Weathermodels.com.

Snow will begin to diminish after midnight and by the time all is said and done, we forecast a general 1″ to 2″ across most of central Indiana.  (Some localized lake effect snow showers may add to additional accumulation across north-central portions the central IN Tuesday morning into the afternoon).

We’re left with unseasonably cold conditions through the remainder of the week, followed by reinforcing cold air arriving next weekend…

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/11/11/1st-accumulating-snow-event-of-the-season-for-most-arrives-monday/

Bitter Saturday By November Standards; Looking At Snow Chances Early Next Week…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/11/10/bitter-saturday-by-november-standards-looking-at-snow-chances-early-next-week/

Wintry Weekend And Looking Ahead…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/11/08/wintry-weekend-and-looking-ahead/

Putting The Cold Into Perspective…

An impressive shot of early season arctic air will come at us in a 1-2 punch format to wrap up the week and head into early next week.  Before we dig deeper into the details, let’s keep in mind averages for November 9th-15th include lows in the middle 30s and highs in the middle 50s.  Multiple days during that time frame will feature highs where our average lows should be (if not even colder a couple days) and overnight lows deep into the 20s (10s perhaps on a couple nights).

The initial blast of cold air will blow into town Thursday night and Friday and will be accompanied by a chilly rain ending as a touch of wet snow across central Indiana.  This will be a “novelty” level event for most across the region, but there could be a couple of slushy accumulation reports- especially north of the city.

The bigger story will be localized, but intense snow bursts that will likely develop as the true push of arctic air arrives Friday evening.  These will be accompanied by strong and gusty winds, as well.

We’ll awake to temperatures in the lower 20s across most of central Indiana Saturday morning.  By this point in time, attention will shift to what awaits during early stages of the new work week.  While details are murky with respect to the specifics associated with an eastern storm, cold air will be reinforced Monday night into Tuesday.

Keep a note in the back of your mind to check back often over the weekend concerning the forecast for early next week.  Model bias (“progressive” GFS; “sluggish” Euro) appears to be running rampant from this distance and what will likely be the ultimate result is something in between.  The sensible weather that would result is the opportunity for perhaps a better chance of more widespread accumulating snow across portions of the Ohio Valley Monday night into Tuesday.

Snow prospects aside, confidence remains high that the upcoming cold pattern will be the most significant so early since the early season bitter blast of air in November ’14!

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/11/07/putting-the-cold-into-perspective/

Milder Period Late Month? Perhaps, But Cold Is The Story Now…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/11/05/milder-period-late-month-perhaps-but-cold-is-the-story-now/

Wet Start To The Week; Early Taste Of Winter To Finish…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2018/11/04/wet-start-to-the-week-early-taste-of-winter-to-finish/

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