Category: Arctic Cold

Feb 04

Not A Bad Weekend; Winter Returns Next Week…

Screen Shot 2016-02-04 at 9.31.11 PMHighlights:

  • Nice close to the work week
  • Enjoy a mild weekend
  • Much colder next week with snow

Not A Bad Weekend; Winter Returns Next Week…Weak ridging will be with us as we close out the work week.  This will supply a very nice Friday, after some freezing fog concerns in spots early.

The upcoming weekend will feature a weak weather maker scooting through here Saturday and that could have just enough “umph” to produce a flurry or sprinkle. Otherwise, look for mild weather for Super Bowl weekend. Enjoy it!

A cold front will push through the region late Sunday. A band of moisture will likely accompany this front- rain to snow type deal.  As we move into early and mid next week, the weather pattern will be dominated by strong western ridging and a significant eastern trough.  Models will likely continue to struggle handling the specifics concerning timing and strength with the individual disturbances and we’ll have to keep a close eye on early to mid next week moving forward.  As it stands now, we think most widespread snow showers/ squalls come Monday into Tuesday.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/not-a-bad-weekend-winter-returns-next-week/

Feb 03

Wednesday Evening Rambles…

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Feb 03

Northern Branch To Be Dealt With; Complicated Wintry Pattern Next Week…

A very busy, and WINTRY, pattern awaits next week. There are more questions than answers right now concerning the all-important specifics, but modeling is leaning more towards the northern stream dominating the pattern.  While this takes the chances of one big, phased storm out of the equation, challenges abound, and ultimately the sensible weather may be very similar once everything is said and done, locally.

The upcoming weekend will be tranquil and mild.  Continue Super Bowl prep and enjoy it.

Heading into Monday, an arctic cold front will move through the Ohio Valley and may be accompanied by a band of precipitation- likely rain to snow.

As we move into Monday night and Tuesday, forecast models are liking the idea of low pressure developing over the Great Lakes region and suggest this low slowly moves south into the Ohio Valley Tuesday night into Wednesday.  At the same time, individual “spokes” of energy, or upper air disturbances, will move through the area in the fast, cold northwest flow.

Nstream

500mb pattern Monday night. Source: Tropicaltidbits.com

GFS ensembles. Source: Weatherbell.com

GFS ensembles. Source: Weatherbell.com

From a temperature perspective, what at one time (now) was a warm pattern, suddenly turns much colder than normal (early next week).

2

3Stay tuned as we move forward and continue to fine tune the details.  As of now, we’re confident on an accumulating snow event early-mid next week, but have a long way to go concerning details on timing, duration, etc.

Video update later this evening.  Make it a great Wednesday!

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/northern-branch-to-be-dealt-with-complicated-wintry-pattern-next-week/

Feb 02

Tuesday Evening: Stormy For Some Tonight; Wintry Next Week…

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Feb 02

Stormy Evening…

Screen Shot 2016-02-02 at 7.24.07 AMHighlights:

  • Strong to severe storms this evening
  • Rain and snow showers Wednesday
  • Dry and chilly to wrap up the work week
  • Nice weekend ahead
  • MUCH colder next week

Stormy Evening…Tuesday is dawning nice and quiet with dry and chilly conditions in place.  A bit of fog has been reported just west and north of the city.  The quiet times will give way to a bumpy ride by this evening as a warm front passes, allowing a strong SW breeze to boost temperatures close to 60 (after dark high).

Scattered showers will develop this afternoon, but it’s the evening hours that we bracket (between 4-10p west to east) for the potential of strong to severe storms.  Some of these storms will be capable of damaging winds, and even a quick spin-up tornado can’t be ruled out.  Have a way to get the latest weather information this evening.

We turn cooler Wednesday with lingering moisture falling in the form of mixed rain and snow showers.  This won’t be a big deal.

Dry times will be with us to end the week and rumble into the Super Bowl weekend, with moderating temperatures.  The moderating trend won’t last long as models continue to suggest an arctic blast looms next week.  To go along with that cold, snow chances will also come.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/stormy-evening/