Category: Arctic Cold
*Part of what we send our clients is a daily (two times/ day during active periods) ensemble discussion. Here’s an excerpt of this morning’s discussion that went out earlier. By the way, if you’re interested in joining our weather consulting services, please e-mail bill@indywx.com for more details.
…We note some significant differences in our morning ensemble data that’s creating some doubt in terms of the longevity of the coming cold. We still feel the heart of the cold is in the Mid West and Ohio Valley with this early February surge. The EC is likely a battle zone, at least initially.
The European is much more progressive in breaking down the cold across the central and east, while the GFS ensembles look much more realistic to us. Why? The GoA trough placement. The EPS is likely “dragging its heels” across the southwest with the southern energy and in return deepens the trough too much across the four corners region.
We see the GEFS going to a significant cold period in the 10-14 day period, centered over the mid section into the Ohio Valley. This is also during the time frame we think the first of two winter events impacts the Ohio Valley.
We’ll issue an afternoon ensemble discussion after having an opportunity to digest 12z data. Look for it in your inbox by 6p.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/morning-ensemble-disco/
-
Filed under Arctic Cold, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Rain, Severe Weather, snow, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm, Weather Videos
-
January 27, 2016
You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access. Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access? Log-in here.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/quick-wednesday-evening-video-update-3/
-
Filed under Arctic Cold, Blizzard, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Rain, snow, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm, Weather Rambles
-
January 27, 2016
January, to date, has been cold and dry, locally. Officially, Indianapolis is running 1° below normal and nearly 1″ below normal. After several relatively “boring” days, much more…
You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access. Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access? Log-in here.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/wednesday-morning-rambles-6/
A severe winter storm will track from the southeast today to the Mid Atlantic coast Saturday. Crippling snow will fall from the southern Appalachians northeast (the final product will be…
You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access. Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access? Log-in here.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/major-winter-storm-southeast-to-the-mid-atlantic/
Highlights:
- Cold, dry, and increasingly windy
- Heavy snow across far southern IN
- Weak system Monday
Watching A Major Winter Storm To Our South…As busy as things will be for our friends to our south and east, the weather, locally, will be about as quiet as we can expect this time of year. Hefty (and in some cases crippling) snows will fall to our south and southeast. Here on the home front we can expect a day with mixed clouds and sun today before we turn mostly cloudy Friday. We’ll feel the “outer impacts” of the major winter storm to our south Friday in the form of strong and gusty east winds that slowly begin to diminish Saturday. Sunday looks beautiful and it’ll feel downright balmy when compared to the bitterly cold air of late.
Our next weather maker is looking less and less impressive and will deal a few showers Monday followed by cold air returning Tuesday and Wednesday with scattered snow showers. – Doesn’t look like a big deal in the least from this distance.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/action-to-our-south-relatively-quiet-here/
