Category: Arctic Cold

Northern Branch To Be Dealt With; Complicated Wintry Pattern Next Week…

A very busy, and WINTRY, pattern awaits next week. There are more questions than answers right now concerning the all-important specifics, but modeling is leaning more towards the northern stream dominating the pattern.  While this takes the chances of one big, phased storm out of the equation, challenges abound, and ultimately the sensible weather may be very similar once everything is said and done, locally.

The upcoming weekend will be tranquil and mild.  Continue Super Bowl prep and enjoy it.

Heading into Monday, an arctic cold front will move through the Ohio Valley and may be accompanied by a band of precipitation- likely rain to snow.

As we move into Monday night and Tuesday, forecast models are liking the idea of low pressure developing over the Great Lakes region and suggest this low slowly moves south into the Ohio Valley Tuesday night into Wednesday.  At the same time, individual “spokes” of energy, or upper air disturbances, will move through the area in the fast, cold northwest flow.

Nstream

500mb pattern Monday night. Source: Tropicaltidbits.com

GFS ensembles. Source: Weatherbell.com

GFS ensembles. Source: Weatherbell.com

From a temperature perspective, what at one time (now) was a warm pattern, suddenly turns much colder than normal (early next week).

2

3Stay tuned as we move forward and continue to fine tune the details.  As of now, we’re confident on an accumulating snow event early-mid next week, but have a long way to go concerning details on timing, duration, etc.

Video update later this evening.  Make it a great Wednesday!

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Tuesday Evening: Stormy For Some Tonight; Wintry Next Week…

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Stormy Evening…

Screen Shot 2016-02-02 at 7.24.07 AMHighlights:

  • Strong to severe storms this evening
  • Rain and snow showers Wednesday
  • Dry and chilly to wrap up the work week
  • Nice weekend ahead
  • MUCH colder next week

Stormy Evening…Tuesday is dawning nice and quiet with dry and chilly conditions in place.  A bit of fog has been reported just west and north of the city.  The quiet times will give way to a bumpy ride by this evening as a warm front passes, allowing a strong SW breeze to boost temperatures close to 60 (after dark high).

Scattered showers will develop this afternoon, but it’s the evening hours that we bracket (between 4-10p west to east) for the potential of strong to severe storms.  Some of these storms will be capable of damaging winds, and even a quick spin-up tornado can’t be ruled out.  Have a way to get the latest weather information this evening.

We turn cooler Wednesday with lingering moisture falling in the form of mixed rain and snow showers.  This won’t be a big deal.

Dry times will be with us to end the week and rumble into the Super Bowl weekend, with moderating temperatures.  The moderating trend won’t last long as models continue to suggest an arctic blast looms next week.  To go along with that cold, snow chances will also come.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/stormy-evening/

Monday Evening Video Update…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/monday-evening-video-update-6/

Saturday Weather Chit-Chat…

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