Category: 7-Day Outlook
Highlights:
- Afternoon light shower possible
- Very humid, tropical feel this weekend as things heat up
- Splash and dash weekend storms
- T-storms likely with a cold front Monday
We’re off to a pleasant start today, but clouds will increase this afternoon with a light shower possible, particularly from the city and points north. Most of today will be dry.
The big story this weekend will be a much more humid feel. While it’ll be hot, it won’t be anything out of the ordinary for late July around these parts. That said, factor in a dew point in the lower to middle 70s and it’ll feel extremely oppressive. A warm front will pass Friday morning with a thunderstorm threat, and then we’ll also mention a widely scattered thunderstorm during the afternoon/ evening through the weekend.
A cold front will move in Monday with more widespread showers and thunderstorms, along with a return to “average” temperatures by the middle of next week.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1″-1.5″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/16/nice-now-but-big-ticket-humidity-on-the-way/
Highlights:
- Another round of PM storms
- Cooler; drier stretch of weather midweek
- Storms rumble Friday as hot and humid weather builds
- Hot and very humid weekend
One more round of showers and thunderstorms will fire this afternoon, some of which may be strong to severe. Thankfully, needed drier (and cooler) air will build in tonight and help set up a very pleasant mid week.
With all of the rain, hot weather fans haven’t been able to enjoy much in the way of significant summer heat this summer; however, things will change (briefly) this weekend. Very humid air will expand into the region over the weekend, including true summer heat as highs go into the lower 90s both Saturday and Sunday. Showers and thunderstorms may accompany the push of hot, humid air, Friday but we think the weekend will be dry at this point.
The hot, humid weather won’t last long as a cold front moves in Monday with widespread showers and thunderstorms. A much cooler air mass will return next week behind the frontal boundary.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1″ – 1.5″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/14/pm-storms-cooler-and-more-pleasant-air-coming-for-mid-week/
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Flooding, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Hail, Heavy Rain, Severe Weather, Summer, T-storms, Tornadoes, Unseasonably Warm
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July 12, 2015
Highlights:
- Another round of strong to severe storms rumble in tonight
- Significant severe weather outbreak Monday
- Storms and flood threat continue Tuesday
- Drying out and turning hot late week
A very active weather pattern will remain through the short-term. Overnight storms have exited to the southeast and we’re now dealing with dry weather and sunshine. A few storms could bubble up this afternoon in the very humid air mass, but the more widespread showers and thunderstorms will hold off until late tonight as another northwest to southeast moving complex rumbles in. Similar to early this morning, flash flooding will be a concern, along with the potential of damaging wind, and hail.
Perhaps more concerning is what we think will be a secondary thunderstorm complex Monday evening into Monday night. Furthermore, conditions appear to favor the threat of a couple super cells developing in advance of the big storm cluster. These individual super cells will have the potential of producing tornadoes and large hail. We’re then concerned of a widespread damaging wind threat with the large storm complex as it moves southeast. Torrential rains and flash flooding will also be a big concern.
Showers and thunderstorms will continue Tuesday, but there’s a light at the end of this wet tunnel by mid week. We forecast a few days of dry weather in the Wednesday through Saturday time period. As ridging expands, heat and humidity will build in a big time way. For those holding out for true summer heat, next weekend may be your time! That said, the long range pattern still supports a wetter/ cooler than normal regime quickly returning so enjoy!
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 2″-3″ with locally heavier totals
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/12/active-pattern-severe-weather-a-major-concern/
Highlights:
- Wet start turns drier this afternoon
- More sunshine going into the weekend, but we still have storm chances
- Severe weather possible Sunday
- Scattered storms continue next week
Scattered showers remain on the radar this morning, but drier air will work in from the west this afternoon and we may even see some late day sunshine! While we can’t forecast dry weather this weekend, it won’t rain the entire time and periods of sunshine can also be expected. That said, we’ll have to be on the look out for a couple waves of showers and thunderstorms- particularly Friday and again Sunday afternoon/ evening. Those storms Sunday may reach strong to severe levels. As of now, the most isolated coverage of storms looks to come Saturday.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.5″ -2″ (locally higher totals)
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/09/turning-drier-this-afternoon/
Highlights:
- Periods of showers and storms through mid week
- Can’t shake weekend storm chances, but drier, and turning hot
- Scattered storms return early next week
A frontal boundary will slip south of central IN later this evening and take most of the heavy rain and storms south tonight into a good chunk of Wednesday. However, the boundary will return north Wednesday evening in response to an area of surface low pressure moving northeast out of the lower and middle MS River Valley. This will return the focus of showers and heavier thunderstorms for our region Wednesday evening into the first half of Thursday. Similar to that of today, locally heavy rainfall is a good bet at times.
The area of low pressure will track east Thursday afternoon and take most of the moisture with it. We’ll forecast drier times to wrap up the work week along with rising temperatures. While we can’t shake weekend storm chances, Friday through Sunday will be drier, overall, when compared to the next couple days. With the heat and humidity around, a few strong to severe storms are possible- particularly Sunday afternoon. We’ll keep an eye on things.
Scattered, “splash and dash,” coverage of storms returns early next week.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 2″ – 2.5″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/07/more-rain-and-storms-ahead/
Highlights:
- Scattered showers around today
- Awesome weekend weather on tap
- Dry conditions continue into early next week
- Cold front delivers unsettled weather
A disturbance is moving along a cold front that sits to our south this morning. This will keep scattered showers around central IN through the afternoon hours.
As we move into the holiday weekend we expect the frontal system to sink further south and focus best shower and thunderstorm coverage through the TN Valley. Dry air will move in this evening and set the stage for perfect weekend weather- look for lots of sunshine, comfortable temperatures, and a light northeast breeze Saturday.
Our next weather maker will head our direction early next week in the form of a cold front. Shower and thunderstorm coverage will be on the uptick Tuesday into the mid week period as the front stalls nearby.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.75″-1″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/03/beautiful-weekend-shaping-up/
Highlights:
- Lots of clouds, but mostly dry and cooler than normal
- Increasing sunshine for the holiday weekend
- Scattered storm chances increase early next week
While we have considerable cloudiness around, rain chances across central IN will remain few and far between over the next several days (great news)! Better chances of rain and storms will remain across southwestern portions of the state.
We’ll increase our sunshine going into the holiday weekend with only an isolated thunderstorm chance. With the increasing sunshine, temperatures will also be on the rise, but still remain a couple degrees below normal.
Better coverage of showers and thunderstorms can be expected as we roll into early next week.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1″ – 1.5″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/02/mostly-dry-and-cool-looking-nice-for-the-4th/
Highlights:
- Scattered strong to severe storms this afternoon
- Mostly dry mid week
- Still think we’re mostly dry for the 4th
- Scattered storms return early next week
A cold front will sweep through the area tonight and ahead of the boundary we expect showers and thunderstorms to increase in coverage by this afternoon and evening. A few of these storms will likely reach strong to severe levels, including damaging winds and large hail. The good news is the front should be to our south by Wednesday morning, and as a result Wednesday and Thursday should be mostly dry and less humid.
Another disturbance will move through the area late week and we’ll increase coverage of thunderstorms Friday, but still think the holiday, itself, will be mostly rain-free across central IN.
Showers and thunderstorms (scattered variety) will return to our forecast early next week.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1″ – 1.5″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/06/30/another-day-of-storms-but-a-break-is-coming/
Highlights:
- Cool and refreshing start
- Sunny Sunday before clouds increase late
- Storms rumble in tonight
- Unsettled week
Sunday has dawned bright and sunny, along with an unseasonably cool feel (I’ll take this every day this time of the year)! Most of today will feature lots of sunshine, but clouds will be on the increase this evening and thunderstorms will rumble into central and northern IN later tonight.
Unsettled weather will be the rule this week, including multiple disturbances tracking across the region. These individual disturbances will enhance coverage of showers and thunderstorms from time to time this week. While no all day rains are anticipated, the additional rain and storms certainly isn’t good news for the region.
We continue to keep a close eye on the all-important 4th of July forecast. As of now, it appears as if we’ll see a cold front pass Friday night and provide drier weather for Saturday, but stay tuned.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall forecast: 1.5″-2″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/06/28/sunny-sunday/
Highlights:
- Couple round of storms today
- Heavy rain; flood threat Friday afternoon into early Saturday
- Much cooler and drier this weekend
The morning is off to a wet start, including some embedded thunder and while we anticipate a break in the rain from late morning into the afternoon, additional thunderstorm development is possible by evening. A slight risk of severe storms is in place across the southern half of the state.
Low pressure will move this way Friday and strengthen as it tracks into the eastern Lakes region. This will spell very wet times around these parts from the second half of Friday into the wee morning hours Saturday. Much cooler air and windy conditions will push into central IN Saturday on the backside of the low pressure system. Before we enjoy those cooler conditions, heavy downpours are likely Friday afternoon into Friday night, including the potential of localized flooding. If you live near a creek or stream, be sure to have your flood plan in place should rapid water rise occur.
As mentioned above, we’ll dry out rather rapidly Saturday afternoon and this will be followed by a beautiful Sunday. How many times can we say late June starts in the lower to middle 50s, no humidity, lots of sunshine, and highs in the upper 70s?! 🙂
We’re back to scattered shower and thunderstorm chances early next week, with continued cooler than average temperatures.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 2″-3″ (locally heavier totals)
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/06/25/more-heavy-rain-to-go-before-weekend-clearing/
