Category: 7-Day Outlook

VIDEO: Rain Pushes Out Of The Region This Afternoon; Quiet Open To Christmas Week…

Updated 12.18.21 @ 6:30a

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Rain Moves Out; Much Colder Air Arrives…

Updated 11.25.21 @ 6:53a

Our Thanksgiving morning is off to a wet start but the rain won’t last all day. A cold front will push across the state this afternoon (arriving into Indianapolis around noon) putting an end to the rain and allowing much colder air to blow in. Before that takes place, anywhere from 0.25” – 0.50” of rain is expected through the morning hours.

The airmass will grow cold enough by evening to allow snow showers and squalls to fire up off Lake Michigan and track into north and east central parts of the state (not expecting any significant accumulation).

Black Friday will feature a return of dry and sunny conditions but it’ll be cold. A gusty northwest wind will mean you’ll want to grab the heavier coat out the door as temperatures that start out in the lower 20s won’t rise out of the 30s Friday afternoon.

The upcoming week will showcase a series of storm systems zipping by across the northern tier but most, if not all, of those systems will remain north of our immediate area. A generally quiet week of weather is forecast for now, once we get the upcoming 12-24 hours behind us.

From our family to yours, have a safe, happy, and blessed Thanksgiving.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/rain-moves-out-much-colder-air-arrives/

Weekly #AGwx And #Harvest21 Outlook…

Updated 10.16.21 @ 8:10a

The upcoming 7-day will feature a trough of low pressure along the eastern seaboard and a new trough pushing into the West. In between, transitional ridging will take place through the central.
Above average temperatures will be found across the northern tier with below normal air strung across the south.
Most of the country can expect below normal precipitation this week. The exception being northern New England and the far PAC NW.
We forecast between 0.10″ and 0.20″ of rain here in central Indiana during the 7-day period. That will be associated with a low pressure system and associated cold front Thursday.

Forecast Period: 10.16.21 through 10.23.21

A true fall cold front blew through the region during the overnight. You can certainly feel the difference out the door this morning as northwest winds blow the chilly, much drier air into the region. Highs today will struggle to crack the 60° mark. “Sweater weather, anyone?!” We’ll prep for the first round of patchy frost in outlying areas by Sunday morning as temperatures dip into the mid and upper 30s, winds go calm, and skies are clear.

As we head into the new week, much needed dry time can be expected to open things up as high pressure dominates. Look for a string of sunny days and cool, clear nights. This will give the “nudge” needed to ignite what’s otherwise been a delayed and sluggish fall foliage season.

Our next system of note will arrive Thursday in the form of a low pressure system and trailing cold front. Showers are expected to arrive Thursday morning from the west. We’re not talking about impressive rainfall numbers with the front, itself (on the order of 0.10″ to 0.20″ Thursday), but the period heading into next weekend remains in limbo between forecast models duking it out with the wetter GFS and drier European. We’ll see if we can get more agreement over the next day or two.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/weekly-agwx-and-harvest21-outlook-7/

Weekly #AGwx And #Harvest21 Outlook…

Updated 09.05.21 @ 8a

The upper air pattern this week will feature a trough across the Northeast and Great Lakes with an upper ridge anchored over the Four Corners.
Temperatures will run below average from the Ohio Valley into the MS Valley, with well above normal temperatures expected across the West.
Most of the country can expect below to well below average precipitation in the week ahead. The one exception? Northern New England.
We only forecast 0.10″ to 0.25″ of rain here in central Indiana during the 7-day period.

Forecast Period: 09.05.21 through 09.12.21

A very quiet weather pattern will settle into the region as we go through the upcoming week. The one exception to that is Tuesday night as a cold front quickly passes through the area. Moisture levels will return ever so slightly ahead of the boundary and may be enough to produce a couple of storms Tuesday evening (widely scattered coverage). The front will help to reinforce the dry airmass in place, along with provide cooler temperatures for mid and late week. As we look ahead beyond this week, indications are that things will moderate and turn a bit more active (though that’s admittedly not saying much, considering just how quiet things will be this week).

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/weekly-agwx-and-harvest21-outlook/

Weekly #AGwx And Severe Weather Outlook: Heat, Humidity Top Story, Locally; Henri Impacts New England…

Updated 08.22.21 @ 6:30a

An upper level ridge will expand across the Ohio Valley through the upcoming week. Meanwhile, a trough will continue to provide unseasonably chilly air for the northern Rockies and inner-mountain region.
Well above average temperatures will take up shop from the central Plains into the Great Lakes and Northeast. Unseasonably chilly conditions will prevail across the northern/ central Rockies.
Above normal precipitation is expected in association with Henri across New England. The northern Plains and upper Midwest can also expect above normal rainfall in the week ahead.
We forecast on average between 0.50″ and 1.00″ of rain across central Indiana in the upcoming 7-day period.

Forecast Period: 08.22.21 through 08.29.21

The overall weather pattern in the week ahead will feature an expanding ridge of high pressure into the Ohio Valley and lower Great Lakes. This will lead to oppressive heat and humidity expanding northeast (multiple days of highs into the lower 90s with high humidity values will make it feel closer to 100° through early and middle parts of the work week). Meanwhile, a persistent trough will continue to take up residence through the early part of the forecast period across the northern Rockies (additional early season snow will fly for the high peaks above 12k feet). The other big story during this forecast period? Henri, of course. Henri will deliver quite a blow to our friends in New England beginning later today, continuing a heavy interior rainfall threat through the early and middle part of the work week.

Back here on the home front, each and every day will feature isolated storm coverage. While “isolated” is the key word, if you find yourself under one of these storms, a quick 1″+ of rain is a good bet with the moisture content we’ll be dealing with. Somewhat better storm coverage is anticipated during the 2nd half of the work week (we’ll label it “widely scattered to scattered.” ;-)).

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/weekly-agwx-and-severe-weather-outlook-heat-humidity-top-story-locally-henri-impacts-new-england/