Category: 7-Day Outlook
Highlights:
- Widespread rain and strong storms today
- Falling temperatures, windy, and wet Monday
- Midweek storm brewing
Flooding Concerns Remain High…Another slug of moisture will lift north through central Indiana this afternoon into the nighttime hours. Locally heavy rain will result in big flooding concerns as saturated soils are in place and many creeks and streams are already out of their banks. Throw in an additional 1″-2″ with locally heavier totals and you have the makings of a dangerous flood situation into early week. If that wasn’t enough to be concerned about, we’ll also have to watch how things evolve closely this afternoon for the potential of severe thunderstorms. Damaging straight line winds are of greatest concern.
We’ll transition to a much cooler regime to open the new work week with gusty winds and showers continuing. Temperatures will fall through the 50s during the day. Jackets will be required!
Tuesday will provide a brief break from the wet weather and we should also introduce some sunshine for a while. Unfortunately, we won’t have much time to dry out as a wet, windy, and chilly storm is brewing Wednesday evening into Thursday. Widespread rain (some heavy) will combine with a raw easterly wind and temperatures in the 50s to lead to a rather miserable Thursday.
While shower chances remain early Friday, the theme heading into next weekend is a drier one and we should finally enjoy very pleasant weather by Saturday.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1.50″ – 3.00″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/04/30/more-heavy-rain-and-storms-ahead-cooler-week-on-deck/
Highlights:
- AM showers then cooler and windy
- Stormy weekend ahead
- Cooler next week
Busy Times In The Weather Office…A cold front will sweep through the state this morning with lingering showers and an abrupt wind shift. Gusty westerly winds and cooler air (we’ve already seen our high for the day) will be with us this afternoon, along with a variably cloudy sky.
Unfortunately, we don’t have many changes to the ongoing idea of hefty weekend rains. A warm front will begin to slowly lift north Friday into Saturday and this will be the focal point for heavy rain and thunderstorms. Overall coverage and intensity of rain and thunderstorms will increase as we rumble through the second half of Friday. A couple of storms could be strong to severe- especially across southern Indiana Friday afternoon and night.
The aforementioned warm front will lift north and be located across the southern Great Lakes region Sunday. This will put our neck of the woods squarely into the warm and humid air mass Sunday. Though storm coverage will likely be more scattered in nature when compared to Saturday, heavy thunderstorms will develop, especially during the afternoon and evening hours. With a deep-rooted tropical connection along with saturated soils in place from early weekend rains, flood and flash flood potential will be high as we go into early portions of next week.
As we open up the work week, we’ll shift gears from a moisture-rich southerly flow to one that’s out of the northwest and much cooler. Showers will continue through Monday. Our next storm system will then set it’s eyes on the region by the middle of next week.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 2.50″ – 3.50″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/04/27/busy-weather-pattern/
Highlights:
- Unsettled times ahead
- Weekend heavy rain
- Much cooler and windy early next week
Enjoy The Dry Time While You Can…While most of Wednesday will remain rain-free, we do note the potential of a diminishing line of thunderstorms that could impact portions of far northwest sections of the state Wednesday morning. As mentioned, these should diminish relatively quickly and give way to a mostly dry day. A cold front will approach the state Wednesday night into Thursday morning and result in more widespread showers and thunderstorms during that time. Briefly drier air will arrive Thursday evening into Friday and we should wrap up the work week mainly dry.
We’ll take whatever dry weather we can get as the weekend still looks wet and stormy. We discussed the weekend setup this morning and thoughts haven’t changed a bit. Today’s model data continues to suggest we’re looking at periods of heavy rainfall with widespread weekend totals of 2″-3″ (locally heavier amounts possible). Of the two days, Saturday appears to offer up the most widespread rains, but we caution that the scattered showers and thunderstorms that develop Sunday will have the potential of depositing hefty totals in relative short order. Due to the projected steering currents, we’re also concerned for the possibility of “training” of heavy rain and that would quickly create a flash flood concern in localized areas. Stay tuned. Another item of interest is the possibility of “bust potential” with regard to the temperature forecast Saturday. Latest modeling wants to keep the warm front just south of the immediate region for most of the day now and, as such, we’ve trended cooler with Saturday’s temperatures before that warm southwesterly air flow wins out Sunday.
The warmth won’t last long as we quickly transition to a cooler west and northwest regime to open the work week. Along with the much cooler air, scattered showers and strong and gusty winds will be with us. We’ll finally begin to calm down with a very pleasant Tuesday expected.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 3.00″ – 4.00″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/04/25/dry-time-is-limited/
Highlights:
- Sun-filled open to the week
- Midweek storms
- Warm, humid, and stormy weekend
Dry Open To The Week Transitions To A Stormy Finish…High pressure and a refreshing northeast flow will continue to dominate our weather as we open up the work week. Dry skies will prevail and the crisp mornings will warm quickly into the 70s both today and Tuesday.
A cold front will approach late Wednesday and help showers and thunderstorms increase Wednesday night into Thursday morning.
We’ll be in between storm systems Friday and a pleasant close to the work week will result. That said, a warm front will lift north and move through the region Saturday and this will help shower and thunderstorm coverage increase significantly Saturday morning. A much warmer and more humid feel will overspread the area once the front blows through and an unstable airmass will continue to promote shower and thunderstorm chances Sunday. Locally heavy rains are a good bet this weekend.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 2.50″ – 3.00″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/04/24/nice-open-to-the-week-before-a-stormy-finish/
Highlights:
- Showers south today
- Unseasonably cool and blustery
- Increasing sunshine Sunday
- Midweek storms
Jackets Required Today, But Improving Weather Tomorrow…A stiff northeast wind is “eating away” at the northern extent of rain today. Steadiest rains will fall across the southern third of the state, but a couple of showers may make it as far north as Indianapolis later this afternoon. The bigger story will easily be the brisk northeast flow and unseasonably chilly air. In fact, we’re waking up to wind chills in the 30s this morning. Jackets are required today.
Drier air arrives on the scene tonight and clouds will decrease overnight, paving way for a beautiful Sunday. Expect plentiful sunshine and moderating temperatures. Dry and pleasant weather continues into midweek before an approaching cold front delivers our next chance of thunderstorms Wednesday evening.
Another fast-moving weather maker will deliver thunderstorm chances to close the work week.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1.00″ – 1.50″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/04/22/chilly-saturday-gives-way-to-improving-weather-sunday/
Highlights:
- Strong storms possible Thursday afternoon
- Cooler close to the work week
- Raw Saturday
- Delightful open to next week
Thursday Rumbles…While storms have pressed through the northern portions of the state today, we’ve enjoyed a couple days of pleasant weather across most of central Indiana. That will come to an end Thursday as scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms develop, especially during the afternoon into the evening hours. A few of these storms could become strong-to-severe, including damaging wind and large hail potential. The cold front will pass Thursday night and help usher in a briefly drier and much cooler air mass to close out the work week.
Our next storm system will pass south of the region Saturday and result in thickening and lowering clouds Friday evening, and showers Saturday. With a stiff east wind, showers at times, and temperatures well below average, we have the makings for a downright “raw” spring day Saturday. The second half of the weekend will easily be “the pick” as we return to drier air and increasing sunshine Sunday afternoon.
Early next week looks to get off to a pleasant start, including plentiful sunshine and moderating temperatures.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.75″ – 1.25″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/04/19/thursday-storms-before-a-cooler-trend/
Highlights:
- Nice open to the week
- Midweek storms
- Wet, chilly weekend ahead
Pleasant Open To The Week…High pressure will slowly build into the Ohio Valley through early portions of the work week. Periods of clouds will be with us today before we clear things out in earnest tonight, resulting in a mostly sunny and beautiful Tuesday.
Our next storm system arrives Wednesday afternoon into Thursday morning with scattered thunderstorms. With a southerly wind flow in place, a touch of humidity can also be expected Wednesday afternoon. A cold front will pass early Thursday and result in a much cooler close to the work week.
Attention then shifts to our next storm system that will, unfortunately, arrive on the scene this weekend. Clouds will overspread the region Saturday and rain will develop. Early indications suggest we’ll also need to hit the wind and unseasonably cool air, as well for the weekend.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.75″ – 1.25″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/04/17/increasing-early-week-sunshine-raw-weekend-ahead/
Highlights:
- Warm Easter weekend
- Scattered storms, but more dry time than wet
- Bigger storm system looms late next week
Summer-Feel This Weekend…The big weather story for the Easter weekend will be the unseasonably warm temperatures, including a “touch” of humidity for the first time this spring. That warmth and humidity will aid in storm development, at times, this weekend, but the balance of the holiday weekend will be rain-free.
We think best storm coverage comes this evening (primarily after the evening rush) and again on Easter Sunday. While an isolated storm is possible Saturday, most of the day should be dry.
A cold front will sweep through the state Easter evening and help set-up a dry, slightly cooler regime to open the new work week. Dry conditions remain Tuesday before scattered storms return to the forecast Wednesday. A bigger, more significant storm system looms by the end of next week and could result in heavy rainfall totals. We’ll keep an eye on things.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.50′ – 1.00″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/04/14/warm-easter-weekend/
Highlights:
- Drier air arrives
- Unsettled Easter weekend
- Drier; cooler early next week
Brighter Days Ahead…Needless to say, our storm system to open the work week has “overachieved.” Severe thunderstorm warnings were hoisted as early as this morning northwest of the city, including Lafayette- where damaging hail was reported. Storms remained northwest of the city through the rush hour before a line of slow-moving “gully washers” arrived just as Hoosiers were heading home from work. Thankfully these remained below severe levels, but heavy rain and vivid lightning was noted and most certainly led to a slow commute home.
Drier (and brighter) days are ahead this week. High pressure returns as we progress through midweek and should allow for increasing sunshine and beautiful weather.
Unfortunately, we can’t dial up 3 nice weekends in a row, but it will be far from a wash-out. A warm front will lift north Friday into Saturday and result in scattered showers and thunderstorms before a cold front pushes southeast with showers and thunderstorms Easter, especially in the morning. We want to reiterate there will be plenty of dry time this weekend…just have the rain gear handy as needed. Drier air will return Easter afternoon and remain in place early next week.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.50″ – 1.00″ (locally heavier totals)
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/04/10/drier-weather-arrives-for-midweek-unsettled-easter-weekend/
Highlights:
- Sun-filled weekend
- Sunday turns windy
- Storms arrive Monday evening
Sunscreen Required This Weekend…It’s not very often around these parts where we can dial-up two beautiful weekends in back-to-back fashion, but that’s exactly what we’ll do. High pressure will supply a gorgeous Saturday and Sunday, complete with plentiful sunshine. We’ll add 10° Sunday, but also throw in 30-40 MPH wind gusts, especially by afternoon. Get outside and enjoy this weather!
A weak frontal boundary will slip into the state Monday afternoon and will likely kick-up some thunderstorms as it pushes southeast Monday afternoon and evening. A strong thunderstorm, or two, can’t be ruled out. We’re back to dry weather midweek before unsettled weather returns to close out the work week. Looking ahead just beyond the current 7-Day would suggest a wet and stormy beginning Easter Sunday before a drier finish. Stay tuned as we still have time for things to change.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.50″ – 1.00″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/04/08/cant-beat-this-weekend-weather/
