Updated 12.31.22 @ 8:45a
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December 2022 archive
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/12/31/video-strong-storm-system-targets-the-region-early-next-week/
Dec 30
Wet And Eventually Stormy Weather Highlights The Short-Term Package…
Updated 12.30.22 @ 9:38a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/12/30/wet-and-eventually-stormy-weather-highlights-the-short-term-package/
Dec 30
Reasons Why Another Significant Pattern Change Likely Looms In January…
Updated 12.30.22 @ 7:50a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/12/30/reasons-why-another-significant-pattern-change-likely-looms-in-january/
Dec 29
VIDEO: Localized Flooding Concerns Increase Over The Next Few Days Into The Middle Of Next Week…
Updated 12.29.22 @ 7:50a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/12/29/video-localized-flooding-concerns-increase-over-the-next-few-days-into-the-middle-of-next-week/
Dec 28
What A Flip…
Updated 12.28.22 @ 6:45a
The past 7 days have featured temperatures running anywhere from 10° to 25° colder than average from the Ohio Valley into the upper Mid West.
As a whole, temperatures are running anywhere from 2° to 10° below normal for the month across the region. Officially, Indianapolis is running 2.3° below normal.
The upcoming 7-days will feature a major flip to close December and open January. Note the significant eastern ridge. This will help power temperatures into the 50s for highs into the middle of next week, with a couple 60°+ days possible.
The pattern is also going to turn quite wet as the mean storm track pulls to the northwest. Multiple low pressure systems will be able to tap into that Gulf connection, leading to periods of moderate to heavy rain at times into the middle of next week.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/12/28/what-a-flip/
Dec 27
VIDEO: Wet Close To The Year And Open To January…
Updated 12.27.22 @ 5:45a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/12/27/video-wet-close-to-the-year-and-open-to-january/
Dec 26
Significant Thaw Ahead, But Bullish On Winter’s Return…
Updated 12.26.22 @ 9:40a
It’s certainly no secret that a big thaw is ahead. As we set the bar with this current cold spell, we’ll set the bar for the upcoming period of warmth: minimum of (2) days of highs of 60°, or greater, between Jan. 1 and Jan. 5. It’s another case of a significant thaw following a bitter blast of arctic air. In researching classic arctic outbreaks of the past, this happens many more times than not.
In any event, we continue to see the relatively mild and wet pattern carrying us through the first week of January.
But seeds are already being planted for a renewed wintry spell. In particular, the teleconnections are bullish on cold returning around, or just after, Jan. 10. We note the longer range charts keep these pattern drivers in a favorable position for more of a prolonged period of cold, as well:
Forecasters have to love the overall alignment as this helps build medium to longer range confidence in the overall pattern progression.
Then we add in the MJO rumbling into Phase 7 for early January. While there will be a bit of a lag, this is another signal for a cold look across the eastern portion of the country, especially by that Jan. 10 time frame.
While I can’t say we’ll see another arctic shot to the magnitude of this current frigid regime, I am more confident than normal from this distance in the period that runs from Jan. 10 through Jan. 25 being colder than normal as a whole. I would anticipate the longer range modeling (Weeklies, in particular) becoming increasingly cold with updates this week during that aforementioned period.
More updates to come as we rumble through this holiday week…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/12/26/significant-thaw-ahead-but-bullish-on-winters-return/
Dec 26
VIDEO: Light Snow Today; Warmer, Wetter Pattern Takes Hold To Open The New Year…
Updated 12.26.22 @ 8:23a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/12/26/video-light-snow-today-warmer-wetter-pattern-takes-hold-to-open-the-new-year/
Dec 25
Merry Christmas To All: Another Accumulating Snow Event On Deck Followed By A Significant Warm-Up As We Close Out The Year…
Updated 12.25.22 @ 8:11a
From our family to yours, here’s wishing you a blessed and very merry Christmas!
Our Christmas morning is getting off to another frigid start, with all of the immediate region featuring temperatures just above the 0° mark (wind chill values remain well below zero).
All but far northeastern IN is at least seeing sunshine this morning. We can thank that lake influence for keeping our northeastern neighbors overcast this morning.
53% of the country is enjoying a White Christmas. That’s the most since back in ’09 when 63% of the country was snow covered on Christmas Day.
Speaking of snow, our next snow maker will arrive overnight and remain with us through our Monday. In general, we anticipate 1″ to 2″ of snow with this system with a couple of 3″ reports. While certainly not a heavy snow event, expect slick travel Monday thanks to the recent frigid stretch of temperatures. Most persistent snow will likely fall from late morning into the early afternoon across central Indiana.
A couple of days of uneventful weather will follow our snow maker. Sunshine will return Tuesday. While still cold, temperatures will moderate close to the freezing mark for daytime highs.
Our airflow will then back around to the southwest Wednesday and this will be the beginning of a significant period of moderation. “Zoom, zoom, up and away” is how we’ll label the temperature regime heading into next weekend, including New Year’s Eve with highs into the lower 60s for many. Talk about another infamous “snap back” warm-up following an arctic intrusion. (Don’t worry winter weather fans, we’re already eyeing the return of our next cold, snow pattern by mid-January).
The trade off to the warmer weather? An extended period of gloom. Clouds will increase Wednesday and eventually give way to drizzle that will turn into periods of rain Thursday through next weekend. The heaviest rain will likely fall New Year’s Eve as an area of low pressure lifts north into the western Great Lakes.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/12/25/merry-christmas-to-all-another-accumulating-snow-event-on-deck-followed-by-a-significant-warm-up-as-we-close-out-the-year/
Dec 24
VIDEO: Another Snow Maker On Deck; Warmer, Wetter Pattern Evolves Next Week…
Updated 12.24.22 @ 8:40a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/12/24/video-another-snow-maker-on-deck-warmer-wetter-pattern-evolves-next-week/