May 2017 archive

May 31

Pleasant Now; Weekend Storm Chances Return…

Highlights:

  • Sunshine returns
  • Very pleasant
  • Weekend storms
  • Much cooler next week

Very Pleasant…After a couple of gusty thundershowers overnight we’re quickly back to dry and very pleasant weather conditions today.  Thankfully, sunshine and refreshing temperatures will continue Thursday.

Moisture begins to return as early as Friday afternoon and scattered late-day thunderstorms are possible.  While scattered thunderstorms will continue Saturday, there will be more dry time than wet and stormy.  The most widespread shower and thunderstorm activity will occur Sunday as a cold front moves in.

That cold front will be off to our east Sunday night and help usher in a much cooler feel early next week.  Gusty northwest winds and a couple showers are still possible at times through early week.  The bigger story will be the unseasonably cool temperatures as we expect highs in the upper 60s both Monday and Tuesday.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 1.00″ – 2.00″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/05/31/pleasant-now-weekend-storm-chances-return/

May 30

Challenging Northwest Flow Remains…

The region will remain in a challenging northwest flow for the balance of the upcoming 10-14 day period.  This can play havoc with forecast models, particularly from a timing standpoint.  In short, expect a continuation of active weather, including wetter and cooler than normal conditions.

Another weak disturbance will kick up a few scattered showers and potentially an embedded thunderstorm tonight.  Similar to Monday, this will come after a gorgeous day.

Forecast radar at 1a Wednesday shows scattered showers still impacting portions of the state:

The majority of our midweek stretch looks rain-free, but more widespread showers and thunderstorms will return as we push into the weekend.  Recent trends have also slowed the FROPA (frontal passage) down significantly- now perhaps not until late Sunday.

There will be dry time this weekend, but with a moisture laden air mass in place, locally heavy downpours can be expected, including rainfall potential of 1″+ this weekend for neighborhoods that get under a heavier storm.

Longer-term, modeling continues to suggest a cooler than normal pattern persists as we push through the first half of June.

In fact, there may be a couple of days early next week where highs struggle to reach 70° with lows in the upper 40s to lower 50s.  Very refreshing, indeed, for early June.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/05/30/challenging-northwest-flow-remains/

May 29

Pleasant Weather As We Close May…

Highlights:

  • Pleasant weather ahead
  • Storm chances return to close the week
  • Drier trend this weekend

Happy Memorial Day…Before we look forward to the rest of the week, a secondary cold front will pass this evening and a couple of showers could bubble up as sunset nears.  These won’t be a big deal and should be quick movers with cooler, drier air building in overnight.  That will set the stage for a very pleasant midweek stretch, temperature-wise.  Another round of showers are possible Wednesday, but more dry time can be expected than wet.

More widespread showers and thunderstorms will return as we close the work week and open the weekend.  A cold front will push southeast Saturday morning and we’ll turn briefly warmer and more humid Friday with increasing thunderstorm chances during the back half of the day.  Once the front slides to our south, drier and cooler air will quickly return.  From this distance the weekend doesn’t look bad, at all.  Unseasonably cool, dry air will continue next week.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall:  0.50″ – 1.00″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/05/29/pleasant-weather-as-we-close-may/

May 28

VIDEO: Not Bad For Race Day, But Storms May Threaten This Afternoon In Spots…

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/05/28/video-not-bad-for-race-day-but-storms-may-threaten-this-afternoon-in-spots/

May 27

More Dry Time Than Not, But Keeping A Close Eye On Storm Chances…

Highlights:

  • Much more dry time than stormy
  • Timing storm chances
  • Unseasonably cool open to June

Best Storm Chances Arrive Overnight…Low clouds and areas of fog should dissipate and give way to partial sunshine as we progress into the late morning and afternoon hours.  A warm and humid feel will develop this afternoon.

The majority of the long race and holiday weekend will be free of any rain and storms, but we will continue to keep a close eye on the potential of more widespread storm activity:

Overnight tonight into early Sunday morning and again Sunday afternoon.

Data would place more emphasis on the potential of widespread severe weather across southern parts of the state tonight.  Damaging wind and hail are the primary concerns.  Additionally, as a cold front rumbles into the warm and moist airmass in place Sunday afternoon, additional strong to severe storms may develop.  These will be more scattered in nature when compared to the overnight round of storms, but any one particular neighborhood across central Indiana is fair game for getting wet for a brief time Sunday afternoon.

The cold front will sweep through the state Sunday evening and usher in a less humid and pleasant Memorial Day.  We’ll keep an eye on Tuesday into Wednesday for shower chances, but think we’ll remain mostly rain-free.  The region will be under a fast-paced northwest flow aloft and models can struggle with specifics associated with weak disturbances in that northwest flow.  The next chance of storms arrives Friday, along with a warmer feel.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 1.00″ – 1.50″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/05/27/more-dry-time-than-not-but-keeping-a-close-eye-on-storm-chances/

May 25

Latest Thoughts On Memorial Day And Race Weekend…

As the race weekend and Memorial Day draw ever-closer, data is able to pick up on some of the specifics associated with our weather for the all-important long weekend.

After scrolling through the data this evening, it appears as if we need to bracket late Friday night-Saturday morning and again late Saturday into Sunday morning for the potential of two rounds of gusty storms.  Some of these storms could reach strong to severe levels, and the Storm Prediction Center continues to outline central Indiana for a Slight Risk Saturday (large hail and damaging straight line winds are of greatest concern, locally).

Despite having to dodge a couple rounds of gusty storms this weekend, we want to stress that the majority of the holiday weekend should feature rain-free hours, and certainly isn’t worth cancelling any outdoor plans.  In fact, after a beautiful Carb Day, most of the daytime hours both Saturday and Sunday should be rain and storm free.  Have a means of getting the latest weather information, but plan to enjoy long stretches of rain-free hours this weekend.

Much more later!

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/05/25/latest-thoughts-on-memorial-day-and-race-weekend/

May 25

Pleasant Weather Later Today; Unsettled Conditions Return…

Highlights:

  • Rain ends and sunshine arrives later today
  • Pleasant Carb Day
  • Stormy at times this weekend

Trend Is Our Friend Today…Showers are “pinwheeling” around an area of low pressure to our east this morning, but these will begin to diminish as we move through the late morning and into the early afternoon.  In fact, we think sunshine works in here later this afternoon and provides a pleasant finish to the day!

The majority of Friday will feature sunshine and pleasantly warm conditions by afternoon.  We’ll keep a close eye on the radar Friday evening/ night, but currently believe thunderstorms will remain just north of here.

Unfortunately, the long race and Memorial Day weekend won’t be rain-free, but it also won’t be a wash-out.  Most widespread thunderstorm activity should arrive Saturday evening into Sunday morning and some of these could become strong to severe.  The current Day 3 (Saturday) Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center places central and southern portions of the state under a Slight Risk.

While we can’t completely rule out an afternoon shower or storm Sunday, the most widespread activity should occur during the morning hours- before race time. Stay tuned.  We’ll turn cooler early next week…

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 1.25″ – 1.75″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/05/25/pleasant-weather-later-today-unsettled-conditions-return/

May 24

Cool And Increasingly Wet Today…

The morning is starting off dry across most of central Indiana, but that will begin to change as we progress into the afternoon and evening hours as rainfall grows in coverage and intensity.

10a forecast radar

2p forecast radar

Widespread rain will continue tonight as low pressure tracks north out of the TN Valley and slowly meanders across eastern IN and OH tonight before pulling off to the northeast Thursday.

Thankfully, rain will begin to diminish Thursday morning and we’re back to mostly dry conditions by Thursday afternoon.  Before dry weather returns, some neighborhoods can expect to accumulate between 1″-2″ of rain.

With the clouds and showers around, expect unseasonably cool conditions both today and Thursday.  Highs will only reach the mid to upper 60s both days.

As we look ahead, we think our dry Thursday afternoon should continue into most of Friday before scattered showers and thunderstorms return to the forecast Saturday and Sunday.  More on those details later today!  Make it a great Wednesday!

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/05/24/cool-and-increasingly-wet-today/

May 23

VIDEO: Unsettled Weather Returns For Midweek And Looking Ahead To Race Day Weather…

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/05/23/video-unsettled-weather-returns-for-midweek-and-looking-ahead-to-race-day-weather/

May 22

Busy Week Of Weather…

Highlights:

  • Sunny open to the work week
  • Midweek storms
  • Storm chances remain for the long race and holiday weekend ahead

Pleasant Open To The Work Week…High pressure will support dry and pleasant weather conditions as we open up the work week. Expect plentiful sunshine and comfortable conditions to spend time outdoors today!  Enjoy!

Unsettled weather will return for midweek as low pressure moves into the Ohio Valley.  Scattered showers Tuesday will increase in overall coverage and intensity Wednesday, including the potential of locally heavy rainfall.  With all of the clouds and rain around through midweek, temperatures will run significantly below average.

Thankfully, we’ll get a breather Friday, with a mostly dry day expected.  We’ll turn the temperature up a couple notches heading into the long race and Memorial Day weekend.  Additionally, expect an increasingly muggy feel with scattered thunderstorms returning to the forecast this weekend.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall:  1.50″ – 2.00″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/05/22/busy-week-of-weather/

IndyWx.com