Tonight’s video update highlights:
- Tuesday severe threat
- Big-time weekend heat
- Cooler pattern to wrap up August
The Storm Prediction Center has outlined a risk of severe weather Tuesday across the state.
August 2014 archive
Aug 18
Severe Weather Threat Tuesday
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/18/severe-weather-threat-tuesday/
Aug 18
The Heat Is On…
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64/ 83 |
65/ 85 |
68/ 87 |
69/ 89 |
71/ 90 |
72/ 92 |
72/ 93 |
Mostly Dry Start To The Work Week…Dense fog is around in spots this morning, particularly northwest of the city. Otherwise, a broad circulation around a departing area of low pressure may help spark an isolated shower or thunderstorm across east-central parts of the state this afternoon. The key word here is “isolated,” however, and most will remain rain-free today.
Better Rain/ Storm Chances…Details on timing are still murky, but we forecast better rain and storm chances Tuesday afternoon on through the mid week period. With all of the moisture in the air, locally heavy downpours can be expected. The nature of the showers and thunderstorms will be what you would expect this time of year- scattered, meaning not everyone will see beneficial rains.
Serious Heat And Humidity…Temperatures will reach the hottest levels of the summer late week into the weekend. Plenty of humidity will be in place as well and conditions may warrant watches, warnings, or advisories for the heat and humidity Friday-Sunday. In a summer that’s spoiled many of us with unseasonably cool conditions, we’ll make up for at least a portion of lost time over the upcoming weekend.
7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″-1.00″
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″
While today will be mostly dry, better chances of scattered thunderstorms lie ahead Tuesday.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/18/the-heat-is-on/
Aug 17
Active Week Ahead…
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67/ 79 |
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69/ 85 |
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More Like Summer…The upper air pattern this week will be unlike what we’ve seen the majority of the summer. A ridge of high pressure will expand across the southeast region and build northwest. Meanwhile, a trough and associated cooler air mass will impact the northern Rockies and northwest region.
Low pressure will dominate our sensible weather today with lots of clouds and widespread rain downstate. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will impact central portions of the state. As we progress into the work week, we’ll have to remain on our toes for thunderstorm complexes that may ride the periphery of the expanding hot dome to our south. This will keep things rather active and unsettled through the forecast period.
The other topic of interest will be our temperatures. Whether we crack the official 90 degree mark or not is yet to be seen, but it’ll certainly feel very hot and humid around these parts through the week, especially the back half of the week. “Air you can wear” will be the weather theme this week.
7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.50″-2.00″
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″
Cool shifts northwest this week while heat builds across the south and central.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/17/active-week-ahead/
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/16/talking-heat-humidity-and-rain/
Aug 16
JAMSTEC Take On Upcoming Fall/ Winter
With each passing day our thoughts turn more and more towards the upcoming busy fall and winter months ahead. Among the vast array of data to sort through, we wanted to show you the latest JAMSTEC (Japan Agency For Marine-Earth-Science And Technology) take on the upcoming fall and winter. Admittedly, we’re still a ways off from being able to tell you with any sort of certainty what the upcoming winter holds in store, as far as the “concrete details” go. That said, thinking, at least here, remains on the side of the camp that believes another colder/ snowier than normal winter lies ahead for our region.
As far as the fall goes, we’re likely to see a predominant southeast ridge dominate the pattern, with more of a “back and forth” fight across our immediate neck of the woods. In some ways, we’re beginning to see this type reflection in the pattern this week.
In any event, the latest JAMSTEC fall (Sept-Nov) idea as far as temperature anomalies go:
Note the southeast ridge should keep the south-central and south-east (on up along the eastern seaboard) a touch warmer than average. The center of the cool will back west for a time to include the Rockies, N Plains, and northern Lakes. Again, more of a back and forth fight here, and quite active!
Before we close, as stated above, we think another cold, snowy winter lies ahead for our area. The JAMSTEC remains bullish on another cold winter (Dec-Feb) for the 3rd month in a row:
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/16/jamstec-take-on-upcoming-fall-winter/
Aug 16
Unsettled Weekend…
Some are waking up to the pitter-patter of rain drops this morning and this is a sign of what’s ahead this weekend. While it won’t rain the entire time, most folks will see beneficial rainfall over the weekend. In this case, rain is a good thing, as we’re running under normal rainfall totals month-to-date by 1.23″.
Morning showers will push through the region before dry conditions return late morning into the early afternoon. Scattered showers will then again “dot” the central Indiana landscape this evening before potentially a more widespread rain moves in overnight.
Forecast radar at 10am:
Forecast radar at 6pm:
Heavier rainfall may push in overnight from the west as low pressure draws closer…
Forecast radar at 10pm:
Sunday will have a more humid feel to the air and scattered showers and thunderstorms will remain in our forecast:
This is only the beginning of a rather unsettled week ahead, including multiple rain and storm chances. Widespread upcoming 7-day precipitation totals range between 1.5″ and 2″, but locally heavier totals can be expected.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/16/unsettled-weekend/
Aug 15
Crisp, Chilly Start…
Fri. Sat. Sun. Mon. Tue. Wed. Thr. 48/ 77 58/ 80 66/ 80 68/ 81 63/ 84 67/ 88 70/ 89 Perfect Close…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/15/crisp-chilly-start/
Aug 14
Throw An Extra Blanket On The Bed Tonight…
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55/ 78 |
48/ 76 |
56/ 81 |
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70/ 81 |
67/ 85 |
Reinforcing Cool Air Blowing In…A reinforcing push of cool air is blowing into town today and will result in a downright chilly night ahead (especially considering the time of year). A couple showers can still be expected across south-central parts of the state, but won’t amount to much. The big news will be the chilly temperatures tonight as we forecast upper 40s officially in the city and low to mid 40s across northeastern suburbs. Highs will only climb into the middle 70s with lots of sunshine Friday.
Warmer And More Unsettled…Temperatures will moderate into the weekend, but we’re also going to introduce rain chances back into the picture. Most of Saturday will remain rain-free, but we can’t rule out scattered showers and thunderstorms as the first in a series of disturbances tries to overcome initial dry air in place. Better rain and storm chances will prevail Sunday.
Heavy Rain Next Week…Forecast rainfall numbers continue to rise next week as a series of weather makers impacts central Indiana. A good consensus would place 1.5″ to 2″ of rain down, with locally heavier totals. Stay tuned as we fine tune timing.
7-Day Precipitation Outlook:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.5″-2″
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″
We’re enjoying another colorful sunrise across central Indiana this morning. John Salewicz snapped this scenic photo earlier this morning. Thanks, John!
Throw an extra blanket on the bed tonight! Temperatures will dip into the mid to upper 40s for many.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/14/throw-an-extra-blanket-on-the-bed-tonight/
Aug 13
Model Battle Late Month
We spoke about this on the video this evening, but there are still more questions than answers in regards to the pattern as we move through the back half of…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/13/model-battle-late-month/
Aug 13
Cool Close To The Work Week; Longer Range Talk…
Clouds will increase this evening and an isolated shower is possible though most will remain dry. More on this and a look ahead to the weekend and beyond in the…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/13/cool-close-to-the-work-week-longer-range-talk/