Oct 28

Monday Forecast: Halloween Storm In The Works

Updated 10.28.13 @ 9:01a

Zionsville, IN We’re opening the work week with cold and frosty conditions, but changes are brewing that will provide significant rain, strong winds, and thunderstorms by Halloween.  The details are below!

Status-weather-clear-iconMonday: Mostly sunny; 29/ 59

We remain under the influence of high pressure today and this will supply the region with plenty of vitamin D before “cloudier, stormier” times await later this week.  After a frosty start to the day, temperatures will moderate very near the 60 degree mark!

 

Status-weather-showers-day-iconTuesday: Increasing clouds; Nighttime showers; 0.25″; 37/ 58

A warm front will lift through central Indiana Tuesday afternoon. As the warmer, more moist air runs over the top of the chilly, drier air at the surface clouds will develop and we think scattered showers and perhaps a rumble of thunder begin to roll into the state Tuesday evening/ night.

Status-weather-showers-day-iconWednesday: Scattered showers; 0.25″; 52/ 67

We’ll remain in an unsettled weather pattern for the middle of the week. While most of Wednesday looks dry as of now, we can’t rule out a scattered shower or thunderstorm. Wednesday will be a warmer and windy day as south winds blow ahead of our approaching cold front. In fact, temperatures will approach the 70 degree mark for many Wednesday.

Status-weather-storm-night-iconHalloween: Showers and thunderstorms; 1.25″; 55/ 65

Showers and thunderstorms will become widespread on your Halloween, particularly Thursday evening and night. Some stronger storms are possible with a severe report or two not out of the question.  As of now, our thinking is the more widespread severe threat will remain to our south, and include portions of southwestern Kentucky and western Tennessee. Just make a mental note if your travel plans take you south Thursday.

Status-weather-showers-day-iconFriday: Scattered showers; 0.20″; 43/ 59 (falling)

The cold front will push east of the state Friday morning and a cooler air mass will move in for the weekend. We’ll include the mention of left over light showers/ drizzle Friday, but the bigger story will be gusty northwest winds and falling temperatures.

imagesSaturday: Mostly cloudy; Scattered shower (wet snow flake?); 0.05; 36/ 47

A much colder, northwesterly flow will be in control Saturday. This will keep the region much cooler than normal. Some upper level energy will rotate southeast over the region and may be strong enough to generate some scattered showers (potentially mixed with a wet snow flake).

Status-weather-clear-iconSunday: Mostly sunny; 31/ 55

We’ll wrap up the weekend with sunshine returning and cool, crisp fall conditions in place!

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Oct 21

Cold Close To October; Watching Halloween Closely…

Right on cue, the well advertised cold pattern is settling in and looks to remain entrenched over the region to close October and open November. Note the eastern trough and…

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Oct 17

Afternoon Thoughts…

1.) Model data continues to point towards some impressively cold air for so early in the season as we move through October’s 2nd half.  2.) Latest raw ECMWF numbers suggest highs next week remain in the 40s for (4) consecutive days- beginning Tuesday and continuing through Friday.  This is extremely impressive for so early in the season. 3.) Northern hemisphere snow and ice cover is running well ahead of this time last year.  There have been studies that suggest this helps promote blocking in the winter months ahead.  (Latest image is posted below).  Time will tell…. 4.) We’re not looking at particularly heavy precipitation amounts over the next week, or so, but there will be a few systems that will produce rain and/ or snow showers (yes, snow) between now and this time next week. Model precipitation amounts range from one tenth to one half inch over the next 7-10 days.  5.) There are some hints we may be looking at another surge of even colder air just in time (or around) Halloween.  You may want to invest in a warm costume this year! 🙂

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Oct 15

Wednesday Forecast: Getting To Be That Time Of Year!

Updated 10.15.13 @ 4:42p

Zionsville, IN Rain showers will continue pushing east of the region tonight and we should be rain-free Wednesday. We discuss what’s sure to be a busy, chilly forecast below!

Status-weather-clouds-iconWednesday: Partly cloudy; 50/ 61

Tuesday’s rain will be all, but a memory Wednesday with sunshine returning to your forecast. A north breeze will be in play, helping usher in cooler temperatures.

 

Status-weather-showers-day-iconThursday: Scattered showers; 0.10; 44/ 58

Some weak upper level energy will move across the state on Thursday and this could help spark a scattered shower.  We’re not looking at all day rains or significant rainfall by any means.  Besides the rain, the other big weather story Thursday will be the chilly air.  We’ll be far below the middle 60s, which is considered the normal high for this time of year.

Status-weather-clouds-iconFriday: Partly cloudy; 42/ 63

We’ll wrap up the work week with very pleasant autumn weather.  A secondary cold front and resurgent chilly air will be set to invade for the weekend, but we think the frontal passage holds off until Friday night. As of now, we forecast the front to come through dry.

Status-weather-clouds-iconSaturday: Partly cloudy; 40/ 54

Cool Canadian air will flow into the Hoosier state Saturday amidst chilly northerly breezes.  Winds may gust upwards of 20 MPH or so during the daytime Saturday.  You’ll certainly need that jacket or sweater as you head out to the fall festivals or the pumpkin patch!

Status-weather-clouds-iconSunday: Partly cloudy; 38/ 57

Weather conditions will be very similar to that of Saturday on Sunday.  Dry skies and chilly breezes will dominate our landscape.  Temperatures will remain below average.

 

Status-weather-showers-day-iconMonday: PM shower chance; 0.10; 39/ 64

Our winds will back around briefly to the southwest and allow just enough moisture northward to potentially lead to a broken band of showers to move through the region Monday evening/ early Tuesday ahead of our next cold front. Most of your daytime Monday will remain dry and rain-free.  This front is packing a punch in the temperature department and will likely produce the coldest air so far this fall season by the middle of next week, including the chance of the first official freeze for IND.

imagesTuesday: Mostly cloudy; 41/ 49

As of now, next Tuesday is shaping up to be a rather cloudy, raw day.  Strong cold air advection will be ongoing.  Gusty north winds will help usher in the coldest air so far this fall season.  In fact, highs likely will remain below 50 degrees next Tuesday with mostly cloudy skies and chilly north winds.

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Oct 15

Change On The Horizon…

So far, October 2013 is running well above normal in the temperature department: As shown above, the lower lakes and Ohio valley region has been the target for the biggest…

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