Wetter Trends…

The relatively quiet stretch of weather of the past several days has been nice. Unfortunately, as attention shifts to what lies ahead, quiet times are limited. Even in the short term, guidance has trended significantly wetter with the Thursday PM-Friday AM period, and longer term the story remains focused on heavy rain next week.

Tomorrow morning’s post will focus more on the longer range pattern, but tonight we wanted to provide a quick update on the storm system set to arrive tomorrow into Friday morning.

A few showers will be around the I-70 corridor tomorrow morning, but these shouldn’t be a huge deal and coverage will remain scattered in nature.

That begins to change as we move into Thursday afternoon with more widespread rain and some embedded moderate to heavy showers anticipated.

Thereafter, widespread rain should continue into early Friday morning. The axis of heavy rain has trended much further NW when compared to even this morning. Now, most guidance brings the 1” totals as far north as the Indianapolis region. Lighter amounts will be seen northwest of the city.

We still think rain will come to an end Friday morning and we should introduce an increasingly sunny sky as we get set to wrap up the work week.

Much more in the AM on what lies ahead over the weekend into next week…

VIDEO: Scattered Shower Chances Increase This Evening; Wet Pattern Develops Next Week…

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Reviewing Model Changes And Differences For The Weekend…

The theme this week is for relatively weak and fast-moving weather systems to impact our area. The first of (2) systems will slip through central Indiana this afternoon without much fanfare in the least (increased cloud cover and a noted wind shift that will deliver cooler air, but not much, if any, precipitation).

The 2nd system will have a bit more moisture to work with and, accordingly, we anticipate better rain chances in the Wednesday-Thursday time period. With that said, this is still nothing to “write home about.”

Scattered showers and possibly a couple of thunderstorms will return to the area Wednesday into Thursday. Rainfall amounts aren’t expected to be heavy in the least.

For most central Indiana rain gauges, an average of 0.25″ to 0.50″ can be expected with this midweek system.

Weak high pressure will return Friday to allow for a dry and increasingly sunny close to the work week. Sunshine should be with us to open the weekend Saturday morning, but models are speeding up our next weather maker. At one time what appeared to be a Sunday arrival, it now looks like clouds will be on the increase through the late morning and early afternoon Saturday with rain chances arriving as early as late afternoon Saturday.

Heaviest rainfall (and even snow) will be located to the north of the surface low track- well north of central Indiana. Nonetheless, better coverage of showers and embedded thunder is expected Saturday afternoon into the evening hours.

Early rain is possible Sunday, otherwise we anticipate an increasingly sunny sky to take hold as we move through the 2nd half of the weekend. The big story will be the cooler air to wrap up the weekend. Highs will top out around 60 Saturday and likely remain in the 50s Sunday.