Saturday Morning Rambles…

Updated 11.04.23 @ 8:35a

I. November has opened on a chilly note. Through the 1st few days of the month, Indianapolis is running a whopping 6° below average. Warming will take place in the days ahead and we’re not finished with the 70s just yet. Wednesday stands the best shot at 70° warmth but it’s an admittedly tricky forecast with a wavy front hanging nearby.

After a cold start, November will take a milder turn.

II. A cold front and associated area of low pressure will offer up the best chance of widespread rain midweek, but we’re still not talking about any sort of heavy rain amounts. The bigger deal will be the cooler air moving in behind this system for late week and next weekend.

III. The type of air mass behind the boundary, though cooler, won’t have the same arctic nature to it that our last cold spell included. We’re talking a few days of highs in the 45° to 50° range and overnight lows in the lower 30s. An upper level ridge should return for mid month along with an unseasonably mild pattern. After midweek, the pattern as a whole is also a dry one into mid month.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/11/04/saturday-morning-rambles-13/

VIDEO: The Roller Coaster Ride Of Autumn; Checking In On The New European Weeklies…

Updated 11.03.23 @ 6:34a

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/11/03/video-the-roller-coaster-ride-of-autumn-checking-in-on-the-new-european-weeklies/

LR Update: Looking Ahead Towards Thanksgiving…

Updated 11.02.23 @ 7:40a

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/11/02/lr-update-looking-ahead-towards-thanksgiving/

VIDEO: Welcome To November…

Updated 11.01.23 @ 7:40a

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/11/01/video-welcome-to-november/

VIDEO: Tricks And Treats Today; Tracking Another Storm Next Week…

Updated 10.31.23 @ 5:45a

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/10/31/video-tricks-and-treats-today-tracking-another-storm-next-week/

Pre-Dinner Rambles: Halloween Snow And New Winter “Tidbit”…

Updated 10.30.23 @ 5:36p

I. Vigorous upper level energy will dive southeast and impact our Halloween weather. Many will see their 1st snowflakes of the season (at least those who didn’t today) tomorrow afternoon and into the evening. This is the type setup that will lead to localized heavier squalls within the broader area of snow showers and I imagine this will carry deep into Tuesday night- longer than what most high resolution guidance currently suggests.

II. Cold and wind will also make for bitter conditions by Halloween standards. Trock or treaters will certainly need the layers under those costumes tomorrow night as wind chills fall into the 10s at times. Gusts up to 30-40 MPH will also create for “spooky” conditions at times.

III. New long range, “seasonal” data continues to suggest we’re heading for a Modoki Nino event. If this does, indeed, verify then we’ll look for colder and potentially snowier trends to take hold (certainly compared to a “traditional” Nino event) towards late December and on into the middle of winter. To no surprise, this should also play into some other drivers that suggest we should see more in the way of high latitude blocking periods this winter, compared to the past few. Stay tuned.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/10/30/pre-dinner-rambles-halloween-snow-and-new-winter-tidbit/

VIDEO: Wintry Feel For Halloween; Closely Watching Week 2…

Updated 10.30.23 @ 7:45a

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/10/30/video-wintry-feel-for-halloween-closely-watching-week-2/

VIDEO: Gearing Up For Another Wave Of Rain Ahead Of A Taste Of Winter; Watching The Week 2 Time Period For Another Storm…

Updated 10.29.23 @ 8:50a

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/10/29/video-gearing-up-for-another-wave-of-rain-ahead-of-a-taste-of-winter-watching-the-week-2-time-period-for-another-storm/

VIDEO: 2 Rounds Of Heavier Rain On Deck; 1st Flakes Of The Season Await…

Updated 10.28.23 @ 9:50a

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/10/28/video-2-rounds-of-heavier-rain-on-deck-1st-flakes-of-the-season-await/

Friday Morning Rambles: Blast Of Arctic Air; Halloween Night Snow And More On November…

Updated 10.27.23 @ 7:09a

I. Most of our Friday will be rain-free and unseasonably pleasant. Enjoy as time is ticking. A cold front arrives tonight with increasing shower and thunderstorm chances after dark, continuing through the overnight. Most area rain gauges will accumulate 0.10” to 0.25” with this initial wave of rain, but there will be a few lucky folks that pick up 0.50” +.

II. A second, more widespread, round of rain will push across central Indiana Saturday night and Sunday morning followed by a potential break through most of the daytime Sunday. One final round of rain will then arrive Sunday night into the predawn hours Monday. Look for nearly steady or slowly falling temperatures into the upper 40s Sunday and highs remaining stuck in the 40s area wide Monday.

III. As attention shifts to Halloween, itself, a vigorous piece of upper level energy will dive into the Ohio Valley. Originating in Alberta, this will officially be the season’s first Alberta Clipper.

This feature will offer up a round of gusty winds and snow showers Halloween night into the predawn hours Wednesday.

We’ll wake up to temperatures in the 20s and ‘chills in the 10s Wednesday morning.

IV. We’ll dive in to our November pattern in greater detail with a video this weekend, but as of now, the early call is for a fairly typical November with many “ups and downs” and an overall transitional regime through the bulk of the month. Again, more on this and the associated pattern drivers a bit later!

Make it a great Friday!

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/10/27/friday-morning-rambles-blast-of-arctic-air-halloween-night-snow-and-more-on-november/

IndyWx.com