Monday Evening Video Update; Feeling Very Much Like Summer…

Quick video update tonight discusses some of our thoughts as we progress through the week ahead!

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Monday Morning Weather Rambles…

Walking out the door this morning feels dramatically different than what we’ve enjoyed over the weekend!  Not only are humidity levels much higher, but temperatures are 15-20 degrees warmer than what they were this time 24 hours ago across the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes.

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With the increased warmth and humidity, it’s not going to take much to kick scattered showers and thunderstorms off.  That’s exactly what we’re seeing across central Indiana this morning.  Locally heavy downpours are possible under any of the stronger storms.

Look at the Northeast region radar snapped at 8am, courtesy of the Penn State e-wall site:

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As for precipitation amounts, it still appears as if we’re in a wetter than normal regime over the next couple weeks.  As of this morning, we’re officially running 1.56″ above normal at IND year-to-date.  A look over a blend of GFS, Euro, and Canadian would imply widespread 2-3″ amounts over the upcoming two weeks, with locally heavier totals where local downpours occur.  This is NOT what one wanting a hot pattern to lock in wants to hear.

While warmth and humidity will be the story this week, we still think we turn cooler to wrap up June.  We’ve been talking about a cooler than normal pattern developing for late month and latest guidance continues to suggest that thinking has merit.  Much more later!  BTW- your 7-day forecast can be found here.

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Very Humid; Splash And Dash Storms…

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We’ve been timing this whole weather thing just right, haven’t we?! It seems as if late spring and meteorological summer has already featured countless pleasant weekends and whatever rain and storms we deal with arrive during the work week.  I say let’s just keep going with that schedule, what about you?!  🙂  As promised, a much more humid and warmer brand of air will greet us to kick off the new work week and isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms will dot themselves across the central Indiana landscape.  With all of the humidity in place, it’s going to be tough to get a completely rain-free day region wide this week, but we’re targeting Tuesday and Wednesday as days with limited, to no, storm coverage.  Additionally, we’ve reached the time of year where it’s mighty tough to get into any sort of all day rain (unless some type of tropical feature is in play) so expect many dry hours on the days we’re featuring rain chances and some places won’t see any rain, whatsoever.  This is what we call the “splash and dash” variety of showers and storms.  All in all, the upcoming week will feature weather conditions very similar to summer!

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Sunday Morning Rambles

Good morning and happy Father’s Day to all of the dads out there. A beautiful morning is underway and this weather will continue today, albeit with a warmer and increasingly…

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Sunday Night Thunder

Our nice weekend is set to continue for another 18-24 hours with another unseasonably cool night ahead. While humidity will increase during the afternoon Sunday, most of Sunday will be dry, albeit warmer.  High temperatures will climb into the middle 80s for many central Indiana communities.

Times will begin to change as we go into Sunday night as just the beginning of a series of convective elements come together to impact the region through Tuesday.  Thunderstorms will likely rumble into far western portions of the state as early as 4-5pm.  Speaking of far western portions of Indiana, the updated severe weather outlook from the Storm Prediction Center highlights western Indiana for a slight risk of severe thunderstorms.  Again, this is a late day severe weather risk with damaging wind and large hail of greatest concern.

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Forecast simulated radar shows the convection rumbling east Sunday night and most of central and eastern Indiana get in on the thundery action before Sunday is finished.  Here’s a look at what the radar may look like from 8pm Sunday to midnight Monday morning.

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While the storms will likely weaken as they track east, a strong thunderstorm or two is certainly possible for the greater Indianapolis region Sunday night.  We’ll keep you posted with future updates.  Have a relaxing Saturday night.

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