Category: Winter thoughts…

UPDATED SST CA Model Is In The House…

As promised, we wanted to provide some thoughts around the updated sea surface temperature constructed analog model that was released this morning.  In short, there aren’t many huge differences from…

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Rambling Around On An Early November Morning…

The latest SST configuration has to continue putting a smile on the face of central and eastern winter lovers for the upcoming season.    We’re not going to feel anything…

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More On Our Thinking Around The Upcoming Winter…

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I Like It Euro…

We posted our annual IndyWx.com Winter Outlook last Saturday.  If you haven’t read it yet, or want some good material to put you to sleep :-), feel free to click here.

Tonight we see the latest seasonal long range European model shifting the Nino to more of a central-based El Nino as we rumble deeper and deeper into winter.  This is another indicator that mid and late winter could be cold.  In any event, here you go:

Nov, Dec, Jan

Screen Shot 2015-10-19 at 11.45.13 PMDec, Jan, Feb

Screen Shot 2015-10-19 at 11.45.28 PMJan, Feb, March

Screen Shot 2015-10-19 at 11.45.39 PMThere sure have been a lot of comparisons of this El Nino to that of ’97-’98.  That’s fine in talking strength, but the overall SST profile both in the Pacific AND Atlantic is vastly different.

Hmmm…time to go dream about snow storms.  – Combine a positive PDO with a central-based El Nino and there could very well be plenty of wintry “fun and games” in the months ahead.

Click here for more from the fantastic European Centre For Medium Range Forecasts site.

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Friday Weather Notebook…

A cold front will pass through central IN early this afternoon. As expected, most of the region will experience a dry frontal passage (FROPA). Latest high resolution short term model…

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