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Category: Winter Storm
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/friday-evening-video-update-4/
Jan 31
10 Day Ag-Weather Outlook…
10 Day AG-Weather Outlook
Issued: 01.31.16
Forecast period: 02.01.16 – 02.10.16
Focal Items:
- Plains blizzard Days 1-3
- Severe threat from the Mid South to the Ohio Valley Tuesday
- Impactful winter event developing late in the period
Summary: The forecast period will begin with strong ridging across the eastern half of the CONUS, while a significant trough digs across the west. That trough will lift northeast through the middle of the upcoming work week before re-amplifying over the upcoming weekend into early week 2 across the Plains and Ohio Valley region.
Sensible Impacts: A significant storm system will move off the Rockies and into the Plains Monday. The surface low will track northeast from SE CO Monday night into SW MI Tuesday night. To the north and northwest of the surface low, heavy snow and blizzard conditions will impact areas from CO, KS, NE, IA, MN, and WI. South and southeast of the surface low track, strong to severe thunderstorms will rumble through the lower MS Valley, TN Valley, and Ohio Valley Monday night into Tuesday night. All modes of severe weather will be possible, including tornadoes.
We’ll need to keep a close eye on the potential of a clipper system diving SE across the N. Plains and upper Ohio Valley over the upcoming weekend, but the bigger event appears to be a developing winter storm threat centered on the end of the period (2/8-2/10 time period). There are, obviously, a lot of details to sort through, but an impactful winter event is very possible across the Ohio Valley towards the end of the forecast period.
Temperature Anomalies: The period will open much warmer than normal, but transition cold, and eventually colder than normal by the end of the period across the forecast region.
Anomalous warmth will engulf the Ohio Valley to open the forecast period. Source: Penn State E-Wall
The pattern shifts colder than normal towards the end of the period across the Plains into the southeast. Source: Penn State E-Wall
Precipitation: A stripe of heavy snows (10″-15″) will fall from CO, NE, IA, southern MN, and WI with the initial early week storm. .5″-1.5″ of rain will fall across the Southeast, TN, and OH Valley regions (locally heavier totals where strong storm train). Overall, quieter times return mid and late week for the forecast region before the next potential strong storm develops late in the period.
For private weather consulting and more detailed ag-weather updates, please e-mail bill@indywx.com.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/10-day-ag-weather-outlook/
Jan 23
Dry Weekend; Clipper Snow Next Week?
Highlights:
- Cold, but dry weekend
- Weak system delivers showers/ flurries early week
- Models disagree on clipper track
Cold, But Lots-O-Sunshine…A major winter storm is hammering areas still from the southern Appalachians into the Mid Atlantic and Northeast. Light flurries fell across central IN Friday evening, but drier air quickly built into the region overnight and sets the stage for a cold, but sunny weekend. Gusty NE winds that were felt Friday and overnight will also begin to diminish today.
Our next weather maker will blow into town Monday, but will be weak. Showers will accompany the frontal passage Monday evening before snow flurries/ light snow showers fly in the cold air advection Tuesday morning. All in all, this won’t be a big deal.
The next potential “trouble maker” awaits for the middle part of the week, but caution model data is all over the board on the eventual track of this clipper system. We’ll lean more towards the Canadian solution at this juncture (model of choice with clippers) and forecast snow showers to build into central IN Thursday. From this distance, model solutions range from snowy (light accumulation) to dry and mild. We wouldn’t have it any other way this winter. 😉
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/dry-weekend-clipper-snow-next-week/
Jan 23
Blizzard of 2016…
**A fresh 7-day will be posted here later this morning. The past few days we’ve been busy updating our friends across the beautiful east TN mountains on the Blizzard of…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/blizzard-of-2016/
Jan 22
Major Winter Storm Southeast to the Mid Atlantic…
A severe winter storm will track from the southeast today to the Mid Atlantic coast Saturday. Crippling snow will fall from the southern Appalachians northeast (the final product will be…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/major-winter-storm-southeast-to-the-mid-atlantic/