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Category: Winter Storm
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2020/11/26/video-quiet-weather-builds-in-latest-thoughts-on-an-increasingly-wintry-pattern-as-we-open-december/
Nov 26
Confidence Continues To Increase On A Major Winter Storm Early Next Week…
Good morning and happy Thanksgiving! From our home to yours we want to wish you a blessed holiday! During a year where it’s been a bit more “hectic” than normal,…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2020/11/26/confidence-continues-to-increase-on-a-major-winter-storm-early-next-week/
Nov 25
Strong Storm Potential By Evening; More Chatter About Late Weekend-Next Week…
It’s a wet morning across central Indiana as widespread rain (some of which is moderate to heavy) is falling for most of the region. This is due to a well organized low pressure system and associated frontal boundary currently spinning across the central Plains.
As the widespread shield of rain departs late morning and into the early afternoon hours, we’ll have a “lull” in the activity until late afternoon and early evening. That’s when we anticipate storms to fire as the area of low pressure moves across the state. Should we get into any sort of sunshine later this afternoon (questionable at best), the opportunity for severe weather would increase during the 4p to 9p window (west to east). As it is, a couple of strong-to-severe storms can’t be ruled out given the dynamics in play. The biggest threat would be localized hail and/ or damaging wind gusts with these stronger cells.
Widespread 1″+ rainfall can be expected (both from this morning’s rain and what’s ahead this evening) with locally heavier amounts- especially south of the I-70 corridor.
Things will quieten down tonight and we still anticipate a much calmer Thanksgiving Day, itself, continuing through Black Friday and Saturday as high pressure settles overhead.
By this time, of course, attention will turn to the “shenanigans” ahead early next week. We have no changes to our thinking a significant event is ahead and continue to favor this initial storm tracking west of the spine of the Appalachians. Operational model will likely continue to offer up a wide range of solutions (sometimes with each model update). The item we’ll be most focused on is the phasing of the 2 streams. The timing of this taking place will play a critical role into who ends up with a sizable snow/ wind event vs. mostly rain with backlash snow. Stay tuned and know, as per usual, we’ll be posting away right through the holiday.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2020/11/25/strong-storm-potential-by-evening-more-chatter-about-late-weekend-next-week/
Nov 24
Evening Client Video Update: Couple Of Strong Storms Tomorrow Evening? Stage Set For A Major Winter Event Sunday-Monday…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2020/11/24/evening-client-video-update-couple-of-strong-storms-tomorrow-evening-stage-set-for-a-major-winter-event-sunday-monday/
Sep 07
VIDEO: Discussing Where Strong Storms May Develop Later This Afternoon; Warm Week Ahead…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2020/09/07/video-discussing-where-strong-storms-may-develop-later-this-afternoon-warm-week-ahead/
Sep 06
VIDEO: Stormy 24 hours Ahead; Amplified Pattern This Week…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2020/09/06/video-stormy-24-hours-ahead-amplified-pattern-this-week/
Apr 17
Late Season Wet Snow Storm For Northern Portions Of The Ohio Valley; Fresh Long Range Thoughts Into May…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2020/04/17/late-season-wet-snow-storm-for-northern-portions-of-the-ohio-valley-fresh-long-range-thoughts-into-may/
Feb 26
VIDEO: Snow Increases In Coverage/ Intensity Late Morning Into The Afternoon; Active Pattern Over The Upcoming 10 Days…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2020/02/26/video-snow-increases-in-coverage-intensity-late-morning-into-the-afternoon-active-pattern-over-the-upcoming-10-days/
Feb 25
Tuesday Evening Check-Up On Wednesday’s Snow Event…
During a month that’s running 2.5° above normal, many across central Indiana will be sitting at “average” snowfall once to Thursday morning (with the potential of some “bonus” snow for some Friday). Not too shabby, heh?! Let’s dig into some of the latest data. In short, our going forecast remains in good shape and now it’s time to watch the event unfold.
As we type this around 6:30p Tuesday evening, snow is increasing in intensity across northern Indiana and precipitation will continue to become more organized across IL throughout the evening. The bulk of central Indiana is only dealing with drizzle and light rain this evening. It’s a damp, chilly night, but there’s no threat to travel if you’re heading out to dinner or other events with the family.
Colder air will continue to “ooze” into central Indiana throughout the night and as this takes place, a surface wave will develop south of the Ohio River. By 6a, the freezing line is expected to be just south of Indianapolis.
Light to moderate snow is expected to begin overspreading central Indiana in earnest around this time frame (earlier further north).
Snow will increase in overall intensity late morning into the afternoon hours (this is when we anticipate the greatest snowfall rates).
“System” snow will begin to diminish across central Indiana between 5p (west) and 7p (east), but we’ll have to monitor whether or not lake effect snow bands can make it as far south as portions of central Indiana tomorrow night as the wind flow backs around to the northwest and much colder air drives south.
Speaking of wind, we still anticipate northwest winds to increase to 30 MPH+ Wednesday evening across the area. This will lead to considerable blowing and drifting tomorrow night of what should become an increasingly dry/ powdery snow towards the 2nd half of the event.
Things should quieten down through the day Thursday, but cold air (well below normal) will rule into the 1st half of the weekend. We continue to believe the coldest morning of the bunch will come Saturday with widespread middle 10s. Before that, and as mentioned above, we’ll have to monitor some additional snow prospects for some Friday (more on that in the AM :-))!
Until then, enjoy our midweek snow. Our ongoing snowfall forecast first issued last night remains in place.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2020/02/25/tuesday-evening-check-up-on-wednesdays-snow-event/
Feb 25
VIDEO: Winter Storm Impacts Central Indiana Wednesday Into Thursday Morning…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2020/02/25/video-winter-storm-impacts-central-indiana-wednesday-into-thursday-morning/