Category: Windy
Highlights:
- Shower and storm chances increase Wednesday night
- Coolest air so far this season to close the work week
- Warm push of air early next week
Nice Today Before Wednesday Night Storms…Mid and high level cloudiness will continue to scoot through the Ohio Valley today. While we noted a few sprinkles during the predawn hours, the air remains dry and we should be rain-free today with increasing PM sunshine.
Wednesday will turn increasingly breezy as the day progresses and a cold front will help kick up scattered showers and thunderstorms Wednesday night into the early morning hours Thursday. Behind the front, the coolest air so far this season will press southeast and set us up for a chilly close to the week.
The cool air won’t stay around long as we flip our air flow back to the south over the weekend. Showers are a good bet Sunday followed by a gusty south wind and a summer-like high in the lower 80s Monday.
A couple of notes: It’s beginning to be that time of year again when we have to get used to the wind. As the jet continues to mature, storm systems will become more frequent as we go deeper into fall. Strong winds are a given and the increasingly busy nature of the pattern is a signal of changes brewing. While we’re still a couple weeks away from a wholesale pattern change, don’t be surprised if we undergo a rather dramatic flip in the pattern as October gives way to November. This sure doesn’t look like last year in any way, and, in fact, it’s easy to argue it’s the exact opposite when it comes to early season cold and potentially wintry weather…
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.50″ – 0.75″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/10/11/wednesday-night-storms-before-a-much-cooler-push-of-air/
Heaviest concentration of storms Tuesday was along the I-70 corridor and points south. We think today coverage of rain and thunderstorms will be more widespread across the state…
We’re off to a cool and quiet start this morning, but think things will turn rather busy yet again as early as the early-mid afternoon hours. Unsettled conditions will continue through the night.
Latest scans of the HRRR future-cast radar product suggests we need to monitor for high wind potential during the early to mid afternoon hours. We’ll keep a close eye on this.
The high resolution NAM future-cast radar is slower, but also shows strong to possibly severe storms into central IN late tonight.
The current SPC outlook highlights far southwestern IN for the chance of severe weather today. Don’t be surprised if this is expanded northeast with later updates today.
Rainfall potential today-tonight should feature many neighborhoods accumulating an additional inch, with some locally heavier totals.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/04/27/another-round-of-storms-this-afternoon/
Highlights:
- Lots of sun through the daytime
- Storms rumble in late tonight
- Unsettled mid week pattern
- New storm delivers rain and wind this weekend
Beautiful Today; Storms Arrive Late Tonight…We couldn’t ask for better weather through the daytime today (despite a gusty SW wind), but chances for rather noisy thunderstorms increase late tonight into the predawn hours Tuesday. Unsettled conditions remain Tuesday, including scattered thunderstorms especially across the I-70 corridor and points south. Locally hefty downpours will be possible.
More widespread showers and embedded thunder are on tap Wednesday into Thursday, especially through the morning hours Thursday. Widespread 1″-1.5″ rain totals are a good bet between now and Thursday morning, with some locally heavier amounts.
We still think we get a briefly drier air mass in here to close the work week, but this won’t last long. Our next storm system is dialed up for a weekend arrival and will provide a stiff easterly breeze and rain Saturday PM through Sunday.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/04/25/bumpy-ride-this-week/
Highlights:
- Cold times continue
- Rain arrives Sunday
- Monday storms
- Slowly moderating late next week
Bundle Up…With temperatures in the middle and upper 20s this morning and ‘chills in the 10s, it’s hard to believe we’re nearing mid-April! It’s simply downright bitter by April standards. Early snow showers and flurries should diminish as we progress into the afternoon hours with decreasing cloudiness, as well.
Dry times won’t last long as a warm front approaches Sunday. This will deliver a thick overcast back to the region, along with developing showers and embedded thunder into Monday. Early rain numbers into the forecast office offer up the potential of 0.75″-1.25″ on average in the Sunday-Monday time period.
We’ll turn colder and breezy (surprise, surprise) Monday night into the middle of the week, BUT moderating temperatures will develop by late week! 60s are in store for afternoon highs Thursday-Friday with lots of sunshine! Hang in there, friends!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/04/09/bitterly-cold-by-april-standards/
While the morning is off to a frigid and quiet start, changes will begin to take place as early as late morning into the early afternoon hours. Another disturbance will rotate through central IN this afternoon and evening and interact with the unseasonably cold air (both aloft and at the surface) to ignite convective showers. Some of these showers, mixed at times with sleet and snow, will be accompanied by thunder.
Eventually, as cold air is reinforced this evening, all precipitation should transition to snow this evening into early Saturday. While it won’t snow for everyone, scattered heavy snow bursts will be plenty capable of producing a quick coating for some neighborhoods tonight.
Speaking of the cold, highs Saturday will remain in the 30s for most. Yes, this is April…
Hang in there, friends. After another chilly week next week, changes are in the offing for late month. Warmth is coming….eventually. 🙂
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/04/08/thundersleet-and-thundersnow-possible-later-today/
Highlights:
- Increasing rain chances today
- Turning colder and continued unsettled to wrap up the work week
- Snow showers Friday night-Saturday
- Wet start next week
Active Times Continue…Despite some thunderstorms across northern portions of the state this morning, most are dry. That will change this afternoon and evening as widespread showers and embedded thunder increase in coverage. On average, expect 0.25″-0.50″ by tonight. Winds will also be gusty (40 MPH+).
We’ll shift into a much colder pattern to wrap up the work week and upper level energy will help produce showers Thursday. As even colder air gets involved, rain will transition to snow Friday night into Saturday morning. Saturday will be downright cold.
Another wet weather maker approaches early next week. After a hard freeze Sunday morning, things will cloud up, turn windy, and feature evening showers. More widespread rains and storms arrive on the scene Monday. Colder air returns Tuesday!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/04/06/cold-and-unsettled-pattern/
Highlights:
- Prolonged unseasonably chilly pattern
- Mid week thunderstorms
- Snow flurries and another hard freeze late week
Have The Jackets And Sweaters Handy…A cold front slipped through central IN this morning and a NW wind shift is already doing the “dirty work” in delivering a much colder air mass to greet us out the door this morning. Get used to it, as a very chilly week is on tap!
A hard freeze will occur tonight as skies turn mostly clear and winds diminish. Tuesday will dawn sunny, but clouds will increase late and a light shower is possibly by the evening hours.
Better coverage of showers and thunderstorms will push into the region Wednesday morning. While it’ll be briefly warmer (still slightly below average though), don’t get used to it. Much colder air will be with us to wrap up the work week.
A secondary push of late season arctic air will blow into town Thursday with showers before transitioning to snow flurries/ scattered snow showers Friday morning. The coldest morning in this late season chilly pattern looks to arrive Saturday morning, including widespread lower 20s.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/04/04/chilly-pattern/
Highlights:
- Busy, active pattern
- Unseasonably cool
- Multiple hard freezes ahead
Fast-Moving Weather Pattern…The upcoming forecast period will feature multiple fast-moving weather systems in an almost every other day format. It’s an unseasonably chilly pattern, as whole, as well.
Saturday has opened with plentiful sunshine, but clouds will quickly increase and winds will turn strong (50+ MPH gusts) as we progress into the afternoon. Batten down the hatches. A few showers will accompany those clouds and some small hail is also possible with a few “stronger” showers. As colder air pours in this evening, widely scattered snow showers will impact north-central IN.
A hard freeze will take place tonight into Sunday morning. High pressure will briefly supply a mostly sunny day Sunday, but our next system will approach late Sunday night. Consequently, SW winds will turn strong and gusty late Sunday and a broken band of showers will be associated with reinforcing chilly air late Sunday night into the pre dawn hours Monday.
A more significant storm system will arrive on the scenes mid week and feature more widespread rains Wednesday (perhaps an embedded thunderstorm, as well). As a cold front slides through here Thursday, MUCH colder air will push into central IN and transition lingering left over moisture into scattered snow showers/ flurries late Thursday night into early Friday morning. Friday certainly won’t feel much like April around these parts…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/04/02/unseasonably-chilly-active-pattern/
The SPC has shifted the slight risk area NW with their latest outlook. Before we talk storms, today is actually the pick of the week as we’re dry during…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/03/15/storms-late-tonight/
We have scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms to deal with today and Monday (along with plenty of dry time, too), but our attention is beginning to shift to the potential of strong to severe thunderstorms Tuesday- particularly Tuesday night.
The SPC has outlined most of the state for a *Slight Risk* of severe thunderstorms Tuesday.
We note surface dew points surge into the upper 50s and lower 60s Tuesday.
This should be sufficient enough to help fuel a developing thunderstorm cluster in IL Tuesday afternoon/ evening that will likely race eastward with time Tuesday night. We note a strong area of low pressure over the upper Mid West that will “bull-whip” a cold front through the region Tuesday night. This will tap into the available moisture and relative warmth (lower to middle 70s a good bet for highs Tuesday) to continue the storm threat through IN and into western OH during the late evening/ overnight.
All modes of severe weather appear to be in play right now, but we’re particularly concerned about the potential of damaging straight line winds within any thunderstorm complex that develops Tuesday afternoon/ evening. We’ll also have to monitor the potential of discrete cells that develop away from the primary storm complex.
We turn cooler and windy Wednesday.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/03/13/monitoring-severe-potential-tuesday-night/
